The daily read from the close of 2 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 3 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 771 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.2% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -2.2% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -1.2%.
The read from the close of 2 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 770
CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
▲ Look at
95.8
score /100rank 1 of 770
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,769.60close 2 Sep
Upside reference₹3,002.25+8.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,595.39-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+130.1% over six months · +119.0% vs Nifty · 95% of its six-month range · after results +21.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.8% (-5.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 770
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
95.8
score /100rank 2 of 770
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,265.00close 2 Sep
Upside reference₹1,378.96+9.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,197.65-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+172.7% over six months · +161.6% vs Nifty · +147.9% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.1% (+1.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 770
CARYSIL
CARYSIL LIMITED
▲ Look at
94.1
score /100rank 3 of 770
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹904.25close 2 Sep
Upside reference₹955.66+5.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹859.63-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+75.5% over six months · +64.4% vs Nifty · 94% of its six-month range · after results +20.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.1% (+0.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 770
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
92.2
score /100rank 4 of 770
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹923.60close 2 Sep
Upside reference₹983.58+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹884.87-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+59.2% over six months · +48.1% vs Nifty · +47.1% vs its sector · 99% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.7% (-3.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 770
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 5 of 770
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹67.00close 2 Sep
Upside reference₹72.69+8.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹62.92-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+125.6% over six months · +114.6% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +8.5% (+5.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 770
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.2
score /100rank 770 of 770
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹610.00close 2 Sep
Upside reference₹647.97+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹574.50-5.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-52.8% over six months · -63.9% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.0% (+0.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 770
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.2
score /100rank 769 of 770
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹225.74close 2 Sep
Upside reference₹232.31+2.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹220.42-2.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.5% over six months · -42.6% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.3% (-2.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 768 of 770
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
3.8
score /100rank 768 of 770
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹101.95close 2 Sep
Upside reference₹108.67+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹95.80-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-22.2% over six months · -33.3% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.1% (-2.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 767 of 770
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.2
score /100rank 767 of 770
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹367.05close 2 Sep
Upside reference₹403.07+9.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹344.28-6.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-6.2% over six months · -17.3% vs Nifty · 5% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.6% (-5.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 766 of 770
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
5.3
score /100rank 766 of 770
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹560.30close 2 Sep
Upside reference₹604.63+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹533.61-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.5% over six months · -40.6% vs Nifty · -44.1% vs its sector · 15% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.7% (-1.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | +0.8% | +1.1% | +6.4% | +6.1% | -0.1% | -6.1% | -8.2% | -4.5% | -5.2% | -5.5% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -3.9% | -4.0% | -5.7% | -4.3% | -1.7% | -1.8% | -3.4% | -4.8% | +1.0% | +1.4% |
| CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | -1.2% | -1.7% | +5.4%▲ | +3.5%▲ | +2.3%▲ | +2.5%▲ | +4.1%▲ | +2.1%▲ | +1.4%▲ | +0.5%▲ |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | +0.5% | -0.5% | -1.3% | -3.1% | -4.2% | -2.3% | -4.0% | -6.1% | -4.1% | -3.4% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -0.1% | +1.0% | +2.6% | +3.0% | +4.8% | +5.4% | +6.3% | +6.6%▲ | +5.8%▲ | +5.8%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +0.3% | -0.5% | -0.4% | -1.2% | -0.9% | +0.5% | -0.3% | -1.4% | +0.0% | +0.3% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.8% | -0.3% | -1.4% | -2.2% | -2.6% | -3.4% | -2.9% | -4.5% | -3.5% | -2.4% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +1.1% | -1.4% | -0.6% | -1.5% | -2.9% | -3.5% | -3.7% | -3.6% | +0.3% | -2.8% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -0.3% | -0.9% | -1.7% | -2.1% | -6.8% | -5.1% | -5.4% | -6.3% | -5.3% | -5.2% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -1.8% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -2.3% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +0.3% | -1.0% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.5% | +0.1% | +2.7% | +2.9% | +2.9% | +1.7% | +1.4% | +1.9% | +1.4% | +2.0% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 2 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,860 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | 95.8 | 50% | ₹2,769.60 | +130.1% | +119.0% | — | 95% | +21.2% | +9.0 pp | -2.8% | -5.5% |
| 2 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 95.8 | 50% | ₹1,265.00 | +172.7% | +161.6% | +147.9% | 100% | +7.1% | +7.7 pp | +4.1% | +1.4% |
| 3 look at | CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | 94.1 | 50% | ₹904.25 | +75.5% | +64.4% | — | 94% | +20.5% | +9.4 pp | +3.1% | +0.5% |
| 4 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 92.2 | 50% | ₹923.60 | +59.2% | +48.1% | +47.1% | 99% | +18.3% | +6.2 pp | -0.7% | -3.4% |
| 5 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 92.0 | 50% | ₹67.00 | +125.6% | +114.6% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +3.9 pp | +8.5% | +5.8% |
| 766 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 5.3 | 55% | ₹560.30 | -29.5% | -40.6% | -44.1% | 15% | -9.8% | -5.0 pp | +1.7% | -1.0% |
| 767 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.2 | 55% | ₹367.05 | -6.2% | -17.3% | — | 5% | -15.2% | -11.7 pp | -2.6% | -5.2% |
| 768 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 3.8 | 55% | ₹101.95 | -22.2% | -33.3% | — | 3% | -7.1% | -10.1 pp | -0.1% | -2.8% |
| 769 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.2 | 55% | ₹225.74 | -31.5% | -42.6% | — | 6% | -7.0% | -21.3 pp | +0.3% | -2.4% |
| 770 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.2 | 55% | ₹610.00 | -52.8% | -63.9% | — | 6% | -32.0% | -8.4 pp | +3.0% | +0.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.