The daily read from the close of 20 Aug 2025
Computed on the morning of 21 Aug 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 776 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +2.9% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.1% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +0.9%.
The read from the close of 20 Aug 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 775
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
95.7
score /100rank 1 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,186.30close 20 Aug
Upside reference₹1,284.68+8.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,123.14-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+152.0% over six months · +142.7% vs Nifty · +136.7% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.0% (+4.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 775
CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
▲ Look at
94.4
score /100rank 2 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,847.80close 20 Aug
Upside reference₹3,068.65+7.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,677.44-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+113.7% over six months · +104.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +16.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.1% (+0.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 775
CRAFTSMAN
Craftsman Automation Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.9
score /100rank 3 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹6,892.00close 20 Aug
Upside reference₹7,370.65+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹6,519.49-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+71.2% over six months · +61.8% vs Nifty · +55.8% vs its sector · 93% of its six-month range · after results +14.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.8% (+0.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 775
CARYSIL
CARYSIL LIMITED
▲ Look at
92.6
score /100rank 4 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹914.35close 20 Aug
Upside reference₹969.42+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹869.24-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+64.7% over six months · +55.3% vs Nifty · 97% of its six-month range · after results +18.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.2% (-0.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 775
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 5 of 775
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹62.41close 20 Aug
Upside reference₹67.60+8.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹58.65-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+107.0% over six months · +97.7% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +9.1% (+10.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 775
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
3.9
score /100rank 775 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹652.15close 20 Aug
Upside reference₹692.75+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹612.88-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-53.3% over six months · -62.7% vs Nifty · 10% of its six-month range · after results -29.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.4% (-5.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 774 of 775
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
4.1
score /100rank 774 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹239.64close 20 Aug
Upside reference₹246.91+3.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹233.66-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.9% over six months · -36.3% vs Nifty · 13% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.5% (-4.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 775
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.3
score /100rank 773 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹104.60close 20 Aug
Upside reference₹110.34+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹98.22-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-25.3% over six months · -34.7% vs Nifty · 8% of its six-month range · after results -5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.3% (-2.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 775
SIGACHI
Sigachi Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.9
score /100rank 772 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹31.32close 20 Aug
Upside reference₹33.39+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹29.42-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-19.9% over six months · -29.3% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -3.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.1% (+1.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 775
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
7.3
score /100rank 771 of 775
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹536.60close 20 Aug
Upside reference₹579.92+8.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹511.31-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-35.1% over six months · -44.5% vs Nifty · -44.1% vs its sector · 11% of its six-month range · after results -12.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +3.4% (+4.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +1.0% | +1.3% | -4.0% | -4.2% | -2.2% | -0.4% | +5.3% | +8.5% | +4.4% | +4.3% |
| CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | -2.5% | -3.0% | -1.6% | -2.8% | -3.4% | -0.8% | +0.6% | -0.9% | -0.1% | +0.2% |
| CRAFTSMANCraftsman Automation Ltd. | -0.0% | -0.3% | -0.4% | +5.2% | +3.3% | +2.8% | +5.6% | +3.0% | +1.4% | +0.4% |
| CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | -1.9% | -1.4% | -5.6% | -5.7% | -6.0% | -3.5% | -4.0% | +0.8% | -0.5% | -0.9% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.0% | -0.2% | -2.3% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -1.0% | +4.9% | +9.2% | +9.2% | +10.4%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | -3.1% | -4.0% | -3.4% | -3.8% | -4.9%▼ | -5.6%▼ | -5.8%▼ | -4.6%▼ | -4.3%▼ | -5.1%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +1.2% | -0.1% | -1.5% | -1.9%▼ | -2.9%▼ | -6.9%▼ | -5.7%▼ | -3.9%▼ | -4.7%▼ | -4.2%▼ |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +0.4% | -1.3% | -1.6% | -2.1% | -1.9% | +1.2% | -0.6% | -0.7% | +0.5% | -2.1% |
| SIGACHISigachi Industries Limited | +0.2% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +0.2% | +1.5% | +4.5% | +3.5% | +3.0% | +1.2% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +4.1% | +5.8% | +9.2% | +5.2% | +3.1% | +1.8% | +5.1% | +6.3% | +4.4% | +4.7% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.2% | -1.0% | -3.7% | -1.3% | -0.4% | +1.0% | +3.0% | +4.0% | +3.1% | +4.0% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 20 Aug minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 95.7 | 50% | ₹1,186.30 | +152.0% | +142.7% | +136.7% | 100% | +7.1% | +8.4 pp | +3.0% | +4.3% |
| 2 look at | CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | 94.4 | 50% | ₹2,847.80 | +113.7% | +104.3% | — | 100% | +16.5% | +5.6 pp | -1.1% | +0.2% |
| 3 look at | CRAFTSMANCraftsman Automation Ltd. | 93.9 | 50% | ₹6,892.00 | +71.2% | +61.8% | +55.8% | 93% | +14.0% | +9.2 pp | -0.8% | +0.4% |
| 4 look at | CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | 92.6 | 50% | ₹914.35 | +64.7% | +55.3% | — | 97% | +18.1% | +7.5 pp | -2.2% | -0.9% |
| 5 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 92.0 | 50% | ₹62.41 | +107.0% | +97.7% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +4.8 pp | +9.1% | +10.4% |
| 771 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 7.3 | 55% | ₹536.60 | -35.1% | -44.5% | -44.1% | 11% | -12.9% | +0.4 pp | +3.4% | +4.7% |
| 772 stay away | SIGACHISigachi Industries Limited | 5.9 | 55% | ₹31.32 | -19.9% | -29.3% | — | 2% | -3.7% | -14.1 pp | -0.1% | +1.2% |
| 773 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 5.3 | 55% | ₹104.60 | -25.3% | -34.7% | — | 8% | -5.2% | -10.0 pp | -3.3% | -2.1% |
| 774 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 4.1 | 55% | ₹239.64 | -26.9% | -36.3% | — | 13% | -7.0% | -17.1 pp | -5.5% | -4.2% |
| 775 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 3.9 | 55% | ₹652.15 | -53.3% | -62.7% | — | 10% | -29.6% | -4.5 pp | -6.4% | -5.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.