The daily read from the close of 19 Aug 2025
Computed on the morning of 20 Aug 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 775 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +2.6% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -0.5% (2 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +1.1%.
The read from the close of 19 Aug 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 774
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
95.8
score /100rank 1 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,174.90close 19 Aug
Upside reference₹1,267.95+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,112.35-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+152.1% over six months · +143.1% vs Nifty · +135.3% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.1% (+5.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 774
CRAFTSMAN
Craftsman Automation Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.3
score /100rank 2 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹6,876.00close 19 Aug
Upside reference₹7,353.54+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹6,504.35-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+67.8% over six months · +58.9% vs Nifty · +51.1% vs its sector · 93% of its six-month range · after results +14.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.3% (+1.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 774
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.9
score /100rank 3 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹819.10close 19 Aug
Upside reference₹852.50+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹805.00-1.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+66.4% over six months · +57.5% vs Nifty · +53.0% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.3% (-3.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 774
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 4 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹61.92close 19 Aug
Upside reference₹66.86+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹58.19-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+110.2% over six months · +101.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +9.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +8.7% (+9.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 774
CARYSIL
CARYSIL LIMITED
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 5 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹906.30close 19 Aug
Upside reference₹960.21+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹861.58-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+71.8% over six months · +62.9% vs Nifty · 95% of its six-month range · after results +18.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.9% (+0.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 774 of 774
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
4.1
score /100rank 774 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹239.36close 19 Aug
Upside reference₹246.62+3.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹233.30-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.2% over six months · -36.1% vs Nifty · 12% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.9% (-4.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 774
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
4.5
score /100rank 773 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹654.75close 19 Aug
Upside reference₹695.76+6.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹614.95-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-53.3% over six months · -62.2% vs Nifty · 10% of its six-month range · after results -29.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.1% (-5.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 774
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.8
score /100rank 772 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹103.94close 19 Aug
Upside reference₹109.62+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹97.56-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-20.8% over six months · -29.7% vs Nifty · 7% of its six-month range · after results -5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.2% (+0.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 774
SIGACHI
Sigachi Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.9
score /100rank 771 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹31.23close 19 Aug
Upside reference₹33.29+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹29.33-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-21.3% over six months · -30.2% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -3.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.9% (+3.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 774
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
8.8
score /100rank 770 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹540.30close 19 Aug
Upside reference₹584.09+8.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹515.11-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.0% over six months · -42.0% vs Nifty · -42.5% vs its sector · 11% of its six-month range · after results -12.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +2.4% (+3.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +0.7% | +1.7% | +2.0% | -3.3% | -3.6% | -1.6% | +0.3% | +6.1% | +9.3% | +5.2% |
| CRAFTSMANCraftsman Automation Ltd. | -0.0% | -0.1% | -0.3% | -0.5% | +5.2% | +3.2% | +2.7% | +5.5% | +2.9% | +1.4% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | -3.0% | -4.4% | -1.5% | -1.7% | -0.9% | -0.8% | -0.6% | -1.8% | -2.4% | -3.3% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.5% | +0.6% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -0.4% | +0.4% | -0.5% | +5.4% | +9.8%▲ | +9.8%▲ |
| CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | +0.6% | -1.3% | -0.8% | -5.0% | -5.1% | -5.4% | -2.9% | -3.4% | +1.4% | +0.1% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.2% | +1.0% | -0.2% | -1.6% | -2.0%▼ | -3.0%▼ | -7.0%▼ | -5.9%▼ | -4.1%▼ | -4.9%▼ |
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | -0.7% | -3.7% | -4.7% | -4.0% | -4.4% | -5.5%▼ | -6.2%▼ | -6.5%▼ | -5.2%▼ | -5.0%▼ |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +0.4% | +0.8% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -1.7% | -1.6% | +1.6% | -0.3% | -0.3% | +0.8% |
| SIGACHISigachi Industries Limited | +0.0% | +0.2% | +1.0% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +1.5% | +4.6% | +3.6% | +3.0% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -1.0% | +3.1% | +4.8% | +8.1% | +4.2% | +2.1% | +0.9% | +4.1% | +5.3% | +3.5% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.0% | -1.0% | -0.1% | -3.1% | -0.3% | +0.7% | +1.7% | +3.1% | +4.4% | +3.2% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 19 Aug minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 95.8 | 50% | ₹1,174.90 | +152.1% | +143.1% | +135.3% | 100% | +7.1% | +8.4 pp | +4.1% | +5.2% |
| 2 look at | CRAFTSMANCraftsman Automation Ltd. | 93.3 | 50% | ₹6,876.00 | +67.8% | +58.9% | +51.1% | 93% | +14.0% | +9.2 pp | +0.3% | +1.4% |
| 3 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 92.9 | 50% | ₹819.10 | +66.4% | +57.5% | +53.0% | 100% | +5.2% | +7.8 pp | -4.3% | -3.3% |
| 4 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 92.5 | 50% | ₹61.92 | +110.2% | +101.3% | — | 100% | +9.0% | +4.9 pp | +8.7% | +9.8% |
| 5 look at | CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | 92.5 | 50% | ₹906.30 | +71.8% | +62.9% | — | 95% | +18.1% | +7.2 pp | -0.9% | +0.1% |
| 770 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 8.8 | 55% | ₹540.30 | -33.0% | -42.0% | -42.5% | 11% | -12.9% | +1.2 pp | +2.4% | +3.5% |
| 771 stay away | SIGACHISigachi Industries Limited | 5.9 | 55% | ₹31.23 | -21.3% | -30.2% | — | 2% | -3.7% | -13.5 pp | +1.9% | +3.0% |
| 772 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 5.8 | 55% | ₹103.94 | -20.8% | -29.7% | — | 7% | -5.2% | -9.7 pp | -0.2% | +0.8% |
| 773 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 4.5 | 55% | ₹654.75 | -53.3% | -62.2% | — | 10% | -29.6% | -3.5 pp | -6.1% | -5.0% |
| 774 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 4.1 | 55% | ₹239.36 | -27.2% | -36.1% | — | 12% | -7.0% | -16.4 pp | -5.9% | -4.9% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.