The daily read from the close of 18 Aug 2025
Computed on the morning of 19 Aug 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 774 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +4.0% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +0.9% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +2.4%.
The read from the close of 18 Aug 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 773
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
95.6
score /100rank 1 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,146.70close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹1,234.92+7.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,086.12-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+154.4% over six months · +146.0% vs Nifty · +139.3% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +10.3% (+11.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 773
CRAFTSMAN
Craftsman Automation Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.5
score /100rank 2 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹6,882.50close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹7,363.86+7.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹6,510.64-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+73.0% over six months · +64.6% vs Nifty · +57.8% vs its sector · 93% of its six-month range · after results +14.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.2% (+2.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 773
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 3 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹814.95close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹847.64+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹801.14-1.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+65.1% over six months · +56.7% vs Nifty · +50.8% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.5% (-2.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 773
CARYSIL
CARYSIL LIMITED
▲ Look at
91.3
score /100rank 4 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹884.95close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹937.37+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹841.29-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+78.5% over six months · +70.1% vs Nifty · 90% of its six-month range · after results +18.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.2% (+3.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 773
RBLBANK
RBL Bank Ltd. · PRIVATE BANK
▲ Look at
91.2
score /100rank 5 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹259.25close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹272.77+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹247.11-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+71.7% over six months · +63.3% vs Nifty · +61.8% vs its sector · 92% of its six-month range · after results +5.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.9% (+5.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 773
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
4.7
score /100rank 773 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹238.87close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹246.12+3.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹232.91-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.5% over six months · -35.9% vs Nifty · 12% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.5% (-4.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 773
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.7
score /100rank 772 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹101.74close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹107.30+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹95.57-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-21.5% over six months · -30.0% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.2% (+1.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 773
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
6.3
score /100rank 771 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹612.30close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹650.87+6.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹575.02-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-54.4% over six months · -62.8% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -31.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: -0.4% (+0.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 773
SIGACHI
Sigachi Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
8.3
score /100rank 770 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹30.94close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹32.98+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹29.06-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-11.4% over six months · -19.8% vs Nifty · 1% of its six-month range · after results -3.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.9% (+4.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 773
SEPC
SEPC Limited
▼ Stay away
9.3
score /100rank 769 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹11.59close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹12.49+7.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹10.62-8.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-17.3% over six months · -25.7% vs Nifty · 10% of its six-month range · after results -9.3% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.2% (+2.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +2.0% | +2.8% | +3.8% | +4.1% | -1.4% | -1.6% | +0.4% | +2.3% | +8.2% | +11.5%▲ |
| CRAFTSMANCraftsman Automation Ltd. | -0.5% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -1.0% | +4.7% | +2.7% | +2.2% | +5.0% | +2.4% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | +0.1% | -2.9% | -4.3% | -1.4% | -1.7% | -0.8% | -0.7% | -0.5% | -1.8% | -2.3% |
| CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | +2.0% | +2.6% | +0.6% | +1.2% | -3.1% | -3.3% | -3.6% | -1.0% | -1.5% | +3.4% |
| RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | +0.5% | -1.7% | -2.8% | -2.3% | -1.3% | -0.8% | -1.7% | +2.5% | +3.2% | +5.1% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.2% | -0.4% | +0.8% | -0.5% | -1.8% | -2.3%▼ | -3.2%▼ | -7.3%▼ | -6.1%▼ | -4.3%▼ |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +1.7% | +2.1% | +2.6% | +0.8% | +0.4% | -0.0% | +0.1% | +3.3% | +1.5% | +1.4% |
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +6.5% | +5.8% | +2.5% | +1.5% | +2.2% | +1.7% | +0.5% | -0.3% | -0.5% | +0.8% |
| SIGACHISigachi Industries Limited | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +1.5% | +2.4% | +0.9% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +5.1% | +4.1% |
| SEPCSEPC Limited | +4.2% | +4.6% | +2.9% | +2.4% | +1.2% | +0.3% | -0.6% | -1.2% | +0.4% | +2.4% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.7% | -2.5% | -2.6% | -1.0% | -2.6% | -0.5% | -0.1% | +1.8% | +2.6% | +3.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 18 Aug minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 95.6 | 50% | ₹1,146.70 | +154.4% | +146.0% | +139.3% | 100% | +7.1% | +8.0 pp | +10.3% | +11.5% |
| 2 look at | CRAFTSMANCraftsman Automation Ltd. | 93.5 | 50% | ₹6,882.50 | +73.0% | +64.6% | +57.8% | 93% | +14.0% | +8.3 pp | +1.2% | +2.4% |
| 3 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 92.4 | 50% | ₹814.95 | +65.1% | +56.7% | +50.8% | 100% | +5.2% | +7.9 pp | -3.5% | -2.3% |
| 4 look at | CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | 91.3 | 50% | ₹884.95 | +78.5% | +70.1% | — | 90% | +18.1% | +6.5 pp | +2.2% | +3.4% |
| 5 look at | RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | 91.2 | 50% | ₹259.25 | +71.7% | +63.3% | +61.8% | 92% | +5.0% | +8.5 pp | +3.9% | +5.1% |
| 769 stay away | SEPCSEPC Limited | 9.3 | 55% | ₹11.59 | -17.3% | -25.7% | — | 10% | -9.3% | -2.0 pp | +1.2% | +2.4% |
| 770 stay away | SIGACHISigachi Industries Limited | 8.3 | 55% | ₹30.94 | -11.4% | -19.8% | — | 1% | -3.7% | -13.2 pp | +2.9% | +4.1% |
| 771 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 6.3 | 55% | ₹612.30 | -54.4% | -62.8% | — | 6% | -31.1% | -1.5 pp | -0.4% | +0.8% |
| 772 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 5.7 | 55% | ₹101.74 | -21.5% | -30.0% | — | 3% | -5.2% | -9.4 pp | +0.2% | +1.4% |
| 773 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 4.7 | 55% | ₹238.87 | -27.5% | -35.9% | — | 12% | -7.0% | -15.9 pp | -5.5% | -4.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.