The daily read from the close of 14 Aug 2025
Computed on the morning of 15 Aug 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 775 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +2.7% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +1.4% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +2.0%.
The read from the close of 14 Aug 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 774
CRAFTSMAN
Craftsman Automation Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
96.7
score /100rank 1 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹7,093.00close 14 Aug
Upside reference₹7,592.56+7.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹6,709.91-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+80.3% over six months · +72.9% vs Nifty · +71.1% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +14.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.9% (+1.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 774
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
94.7
score /100rank 2 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,075.30close 14 Aug
Upside reference₹1,156.14+7.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,018.49-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+127.9% over six months · +120.5% vs Nifty · +118.6% vs its sector · 95% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +14.3% (+14.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 774
ANURAS
Anupam Rasayan India Ltd.
▲ Look at
93.8
score /100rank 3 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,158.40close 14 Aug
Upside reference₹1,210.53+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,133.41-2.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+71.8% over six months · +64.4% vs Nifty · 99% of its six-month range · after results +11.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.7% (-4.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 774
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
93.1
score /100rank 4 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹801.70close 14 Aug
Upside reference₹833.75+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹787.90-1.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+62.8% over six months · +55.4% vs Nifty · +49.2% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.2% (-1.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 774
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
91.0
score /100rank 5 of 774
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹61.82close 14 Aug
Upside reference₹66.75+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹58.09-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+139.3% over six months · +131.9% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +9.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.2% (+4.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 774 of 774
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
4.8
score /100rank 774 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹233.82close 14 Aug
Upside reference₹240.92+3.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹227.90-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.6% over six months · -37.0% vs Nifty · 8% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.1% (-5.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 774
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.8
score /100rank 773 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹101.39close 14 Aug
Upside reference₹106.93+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹95.31-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-28.5% over six months · -35.9% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.8% (+0.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 774
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
6.2
score /100rank 772 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹358.50close 14 Aug
Upside reference₹393.68+9.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹340.26-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-8.6% over six months · -16.1% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -16.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.6% (+1.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 774
IDEA
Vodafone Idea Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
6.9
score /100rank 771 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹6.15close 14 Aug
Upside reference₹6.44+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹5.69-7.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-25.1% over six months · -32.5% vs Nifty · -38.6% vs its sector · 0% of its six-month range · after results -4.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +6.3% (+6.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 774
SEPC
SEPC Limited
▼ Stay away
7.8
score /100rank 770 of 774
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹11.18close 14 Aug
Upside reference₹12.05+7.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹10.23-8.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.6% over six months · -32.0% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -9.3% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +3.0% (+3.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| CRAFTSMANCraftsman Automation Ltd. | -4.0% | -4.5% | -4.5% | -4.6% | -4.8% | -4.9% | +0.6% | -1.3% | -1.7% | +1.0% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +5.6% | +7.8%▲ | +8.6%▲ | +9.8%▲ | +10.0%▲ | +4.2%▲ | +3.9%▲ | +6.0%▲ | +8.0%▲ | +14.4%▲ |
| ANURASAnupam Rasayan India Ltd. | -3.5% | -3.2% | -2.6% | -4.0% | -3.4% | -4.2% | -3.3% | -2.1% | -1.6% | -4.7% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | +0.7% | +0.8% | -2.3% | -3.7% | -0.8% | -1.0% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -1.1% |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -1.8% | -1.3% | -0.7% | -0.7% | -1.0% | -3.1% | -1.7% | -0.8% | -1.8% | +4.2% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +1.2% | +1.0% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +0.7% | -0.7% | -1.1% | -2.2%▼ | -6.3%▼ | -5.1%▼ |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -0.7% | +1.1% | +1.5% | +1.9% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.7% | -0.6% | +2.7% | +0.8% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +4.2% | +5.3% | +4.8% | +2.4% | +4.7% | +4.6% | +2.9% | +1.4% | +3.1% | +1.6% |
| IDEAVodafone Idea Ltd. | +4.0% | +5.6% | +8.7% | +4.7% | +14.0% | +19.0% | +8.8% | +7.4% | +6.4% | +6.4% |
| SEPCSEPC Limited | +2.7% | +7.0% | +7.4% | +5.7% | +5.2% | +3.9% | +3.0% | +2.1% | +1.4% | +3.1% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -2.9% | -4.0% | -4.9% | -4.0% | -4.9% | -7.1% | -2.7% | -1.3% | -0.8% | +1.4% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 14 Aug minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | CRAFTSMANCraftsman Automation Ltd. | 96.7 | 50% | ₹7,093.00 | +80.3% | +72.9% | +71.1% | 100% | +14.0% | +8.2 pp | +0.9% | +1.0% |
| 2 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 94.7 | 50% | ₹1,075.30 | +127.9% | +120.5% | +118.6% | 95% | +7.1% | +8.2 pp | +14.3% | +14.4% |
| 3 look at | ANURASAnupam Rasayan India Ltd. | 93.8 | 50% | ₹1,158.40 | +71.8% | +64.4% | — | 99% | +11.2% | +6.8 pp | -4.7% | -4.7% |
| 4 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 93.1 | 50% | ₹801.70 | +62.8% | +55.4% | +49.2% | 100% | +5.2% | +8.2 pp | -1.2% | -1.1% |
| 5 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 91.0 | 50% | ₹61.82 | +139.3% | +131.9% | — | 100% | +9.0% | +3.5 pp | +4.2% | +4.2% |
| 770 stay away | SEPCSEPC Limited | 7.8 | 55% | ₹11.18 | -24.6% | -32.0% | — | 2% | -9.3% | -1.9 pp | +3.0% | +3.1% |
| 771 stay away | IDEAVodafone Idea Ltd. | 6.9 | 55% | ₹6.15 | -25.1% | -32.5% | -38.6% | 0% | -4.1% | -3.9 pp | +6.3% | +6.4% |
| 772 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 6.2 | 55% | ₹358.50 | -8.6% | -16.1% | — | 0% | -16.6% | -14.2 pp | +1.6% | +1.6% |
| 773 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 5.8 | 55% | ₹101.39 | -28.5% | -35.9% | — | 2% | -5.2% | -9.6 pp | +0.8% | +0.8% |
| 774 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 4.8 | 55% | ₹233.82 | -29.6% | -37.0% | — | 8% | -7.0% | -15.3 pp | -5.1% | -5.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.