The daily read from the close of 16 Jul 2025
Computed on the morning of 17 Jul 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 774 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -2.3% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -7.9% (5 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -5.1%.
The read from the close of 16 Jul 2025 · Week
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 773
IIFL
IIFL Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 1 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹526.75close 16 Jul
Upside reference₹557.14+5.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹490.01-7.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+10.9% over the week · +11.9% vs Nifty · +10.7% vs its sector · 100% of its week range · after results +12.7% vs Nifty (last result, before the week) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.3% (-2.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 773
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▲ Look at
91.4
score /100rank 2 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹400.30close 16 Jul
Upside reference₹434.57+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹367.95-8.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+7.0% over the week · +8.0% vs Nifty · 100% of its week range · after results +28.9% vs Nifty (last result, before the week)
10 sessions on: -18.2% (-16.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 773
TEGA
Tega Industries Ltd.
▲ Look at
90.7
score /100rank 3 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,903.00close 16 Jul
Upside reference₹2,018.99+6.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,794.70-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+12.7% over the week · +13.7% vs Nifty · 100% of its week range · after results +10.6% vs Nifty (last result, before the week) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.1% (+1.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 773
SCHNEIDER
Schneider Electric Infrastructure Ltd.
▲ Look at
90.5
score /100rank 4 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹886.00close 16 Jul
Upside reference₹927.13+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹837.12-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+8.2% over the week · +9.2% vs Nifty · 100% of its week range · after results +13.6% vs Nifty (last result, before the week)
10 sessions on: +7.8% (+9.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 773
SOBHA
Sobha Ltd. · REALTY
▲ Look at
88.7
score /100rank 5 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,650.60close 16 Jul
Upside reference₹1,716.29+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,562.97-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+8.6% over the week · +9.6% vs Nifty · +6.9% vs its sector · 100% of its week range · after results +13.0% vs Nifty (last result, before the week) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.0% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 773
FIVESTAR
Five-Star Business Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
7.6
score /100rank 773 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹745.90close 16 Jul
Upside reference₹786.92+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹701.38-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-3.3% over the week · -2.3% vs Nifty · -3.5% vs its sector · 0% of its week range · after results -13.2% vs Nifty (last result, before the week) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -18.1% (-16.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 773
EQUITASBNK
Equitas Small Finance Bank Limited
▼ Stay away
9.3
score /100rank 772 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹63.47close 16 Jul
Upside reference₹65.88+3.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹60.54-4.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-6.6% over the week · -5.6% vs Nifty · 20% of its week range · after results -8.4% vs Nifty (last result, before the week) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.2% (-3.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 773
TEJASNET
Tejas Networks Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
9.3
score /100rank 771 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹653.65close 16 Jul
Upside reference₹692.16+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹616.10-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-7.3% over the week · -6.4% vs Nifty · -5.9% vs its sector · 1% of its week range · after results -6.9% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -10.0% (-8.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 773
INOXWIND
Inox Wind Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
10.6
score /100rank 770 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹166.46close 16 Jul
Upside reference₹178.62+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹155.25-6.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-7.5% over the week · -6.5% vs Nifty · -7.1% vs its sector · 11% of its week range · after results -12.3% vs Nifty (last result, before the week)
10 sessions on: -6.2% (-4.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 773
MCX
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
11.4
score /100rank 769 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,676.10close 16 Jul
Upside reference₹1,813.89+8.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,583.00-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-5.7% over the week · -4.7% vs Nifty · -5.9% vs its sector · 40% of its week range · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.1% (-5.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| IIFLIIFL Finance Ltd. | +0.4% | +2.1% | +2.3% | +1.2% | +1.3% | +1.1% | -0.4% | -3.7% | -0.7% | -2.9% |
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -0.6% | -1.5% | -3.6% | -5.5% | -5.4% | -9.5% | -13.1% | -16.4% | -13.5% | -16.8% |
| TEGATega Industries Ltd. | +0.2% | +2.8% | +5.5% | +5.5% | +2.6% | +2.4% | -0.4% | +0.5% | -0.1% | +1.3% |
| SCHNEIDERSchneider Electric Infrastructure Ltd. | +2.4% | +3.3% | +4.0% | +5.9%▲ | +5.8%▲ | +5.0%▲ | +4.6%▲ | +2.8%▲ | +4.2%▲ | +9.2%▲ |
| SOBHASobha Ltd. | +3.1% | +3.7% | +3.3% | +1.9% | +0.2% | -0.8% | -0.7% | -0.8% | -3.7% | -2.6% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| FIVESTARFive-Star Business Finance Ltd. | +0.1% | -1.2% | -1.2% | -2.4% | -2.3% | -2.6% | -6.0%▼ | -8.0%▼ | -11.4%▼ | -16.7%▼ |
| EQUITASBNKEquitas Small Finance Bank Limited | -0.2% | +0.7% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -1.3% | -1.5% | -2.1% | -3.8%▼ | -4.6%▼ | -3.8%▼ |
| TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | -0.5% | -1.3% | -3.1% | -3.7% | -5.9%▼ | -4.2%▼ | -6.5%▼ | -9.6%▼ | -8.0%▼ | -8.6%▼ |
| INOXWINDInox Wind Ltd. | +0.8% | -0.2% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -2.2% | -3.3% | -3.4% | -4.6% | -4.8% |
| MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | -1.0% | -0.8% | -1.1% | -2.1% | -1.5% | -1.1% | -2.6% | -5.6%▼ | -4.9%▼ | -5.7%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 48% | 49% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 51% | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| … on the record | 54% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 53% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +1.3% | +2.6% | +3.3% | +3.5% | +3.2% | +2.0% | +2.1% | +2.6% | +3.9% | +5.6% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 16 Jul minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the week | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | IIFLIIFL Finance Ltd. | 92.0 | 49% | ₹526.75 | +10.9% | +11.9% | +10.7% | 100% | +12.7%* | +8.3 pp | -4.3% | -2.9% |
| 2 look at | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 91.4 | 49% | ₹400.30 | +7.0% | +8.0% | — | 100% | +28.9%* | — | -18.2% | -16.8% |
| 3 look at | TEGATega Industries Ltd. | 90.7 | 49% | ₹1,903.00 | +12.7% | +13.7% | — | 100% | +10.6%* | +8.6 pp | -0.1% | +1.3% |
| 4 look at | SCHNEIDERSchneider Electric Infrastructure Ltd. | 90.5 | 49% | ₹886.00 | +8.2% | +9.2% | — | 100% | +13.6%* | — | +7.8% | +9.2% |
| 5 look at | SOBHASobha Ltd. | 88.7 | 49% | ₹1,650.60 | +8.6% | +9.6% | +6.9% | 100% | +13.0%* | +5.9 pp | -4.0% | -2.6% |
| 769 stay away | MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | 11.4 | 52% | ₹1,676.10 | -5.7% | -4.7% | -5.9% | 40% | — | -8.2 pp | -7.1% | -5.7% |
| 770 stay away | INOXWINDInox Wind Ltd. | 10.6 | 52% | ₹166.46 | -7.5% | -6.5% | -7.1% | 11% | -12.3%* | -0.2 pp | -6.2% | -4.8% |
| 771 stay away | TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | 9.3 | 52% | ₹653.65 | -7.3% | -6.4% | -5.9% | 1% | -6.9% | -2.6 pp | -10.0% | -8.6% |
| 772 stay away | EQUITASBNKEquitas Small Finance Bank Limited | 9.3 | 52% | ₹63.47 | -6.6% | -5.6% | — | 20% | -8.4%* | -10.2 pp | -5.2% | -3.8% |
| 773 stay away | FIVESTARFive-Star Business Finance Ltd. | 7.6 | 52% | ₹745.90 | -3.3% | -2.3% | -3.5% | 0% | -13.2%* | -22.8 pp | -18.1% | -16.7% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the week (last week plus this week so far), each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.