The daily read from the close of 15 Jul 2025
Computed on the morning of 16 Jul 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 773 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.6% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -4.1% (5 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.4%.
The read from the close of 15 Jul 2025 · Week
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 772
IIFL
IIFL Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
93.5
score /100rank 1 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹525.00close 15 Jul
Upside reference₹555.04+5.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹488.94-6.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+10.6% over the week · +11.6% vs Nifty · +10.3% vs its sector · 100% of its week range · after results +12.7% vs Nifty (last result, before the week) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.9% (-0.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 772
SCHAEFFLER
Schaeffler India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
91.9
score /100rank 2 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹4,236.00close 15 Jul
Upside reference₹4,434.88+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹4,041.53-4.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+7.7% over the week · +8.8% vs Nifty · +8.0% vs its sector · 100% of its week range · after results +17.0% vs Nifty (last result, before the week) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.5% (-3.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 772
TEGA
Tega Industries Ltd.
▲ Look at
91.4
score /100rank 3 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,833.30close 15 Jul
Upside reference₹1,945.04+6.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,728.97-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+8.6% over the week · +9.6% vs Nifty · 100% of its week range · after results +10.6% vs Nifty (last result, before the week) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.0% (+3.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 772
SOBHA
Sobha Ltd. · REALTY
▲ Look at
91.3
score /100rank 4 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,647.60close 15 Jul
Upside reference₹1,711.15+3.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,560.31-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+8.4% over the week · +9.5% vs Nifty · +7.2% vs its sector · 100% of its week range · after results +13.0% vs Nifty (last result, before the week) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.1% (-3.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 772
CUMMINSIND
Cummins India Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
89.3
score /100rank 5 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,576.50close 15 Jul
Upside reference₹3,700.82+3.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,425.07-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+7.0% over the week · +8.1% vs Nifty · +8.6% vs its sector · 100% of its week range · after results +11.1% vs Nifty (last result, before the week) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.2% (+0.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 772
NELCO
NELCO Limited
▼ Stay away
4.7
score /100rank 772 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹878.50close 15 Jul
Upside reference₹958.55+9.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹807.72-8.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-12.3% over the week · -11.3% vs Nifty · 0% of its week range · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.6% (-2.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 772
TEJASNET
Tejas Networks Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
5.9
score /100rank 771 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹653.20close 15 Jul
Upside reference₹691.69+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹615.99-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-7.4% over the week · -6.4% vs Nifty · -5.9% vs its sector · 0% of its week range · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -9.5% (-8.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 772
INOXWIND
Inox Wind Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
8.9
score /100rank 770 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹164.75close 15 Jul
Upside reference₹176.90+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹153.62-6.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-8.5% over the week · -7.4% vs Nifty · -7.9% vs its sector · 0% of its week range · after results -12.3% vs Nifty (last result, before the week)
10 sessions on: -5.1% (-3.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 772
EQUITASBNK
Equitas Small Finance Bank Limited
▼ Stay away
9.6
score /100rank 769 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹63.42close 15 Jul
Upside reference₹65.83+3.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹60.49-4.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-6.6% over the week · -5.6% vs Nifty · 19% of its week range · after results -8.4% vs Nifty (last result, before the week) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.1% (-4.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 768 of 772
IDFCFIRSTB
IDFC First Bank Ltd. · BANK
▼ Stay away
10.6
score /100rank 768 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.93close 15 Jul
Upside reference₹75.00+2.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹70.67-3.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-6.4% over the week · -5.3% vs Nifty · -6.3% vs its sector · 0% of its week range · after results +2.2% vs Nifty (last result, before the week) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.6% (-2.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| IIFLIIFL Finance Ltd. | +0.3% | +0.7% | +2.4% | +2.6% | +1.5% | +1.6% | +1.3% | -0.1% | -3.4% | -0.4% |
| SCHAEFFLERSchaeffler India Ltd. | -1.4% | -1.2% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +1.6% | -0.6% | -1.3% | -3.4% | -2.1% | -3.0% |
| TEGATega Industries Ltd. | +3.7% | +3.9% | +6.6% | +9.4%▲ | +9.4%▲ | +6.4%▲ | +6.2%▲ | +3.2%▲ | +4.2%▲ | +3.5%▲ |
| SOBHASobha Ltd. | +0.1% | +3.2% | +3.8% | +3.5% | +2.1% | +0.3% | -0.7% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -3.6% |
| CUMMINSINDCummins India Ltd. | -0.3% | +0.6% | -0.2% | +1.6% | +0.8% | +1.0% | +0.2% | +0.3% | +0.7% | +0.3% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| NELCONELCO Limited | +0.8% | +2.0% | -0.9% | -0.4% | +0.2% | -1.2% | -0.6% | -1.3% | -1.7% | -2.1% |
| TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | +0.0% | -0.5% | -1.3% | -3.1% | -3.7% | -5.9%▼ | -4.2%▼ | -6.5%▼ | -9.6%▼ | -8.0%▼ |
| INOXWINDInox Wind Ltd. | +1.0% | +1.8% | +0.8% | +1.7% | +1.0% | +0.5% | -1.3% | -2.4% | -2.5% | -3.6% |
| EQUITASBNKEquitas Small Finance Bank Limited | +0.0% | -0.2% | +0.7% | -0.3% | -0.5% | -1.3% | -1.5% | -2.0% | -3.8%▼ | -4.6%▼ |
| IDFCFIRSTBIDFC First Bank Ltd. | +1.2% | +1.1% | +1.1% | +1.9% | -0.1% | -0.4% | +0.5% | -1.6% | -1.0% | -2.1%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 48% | 49% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 51% | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 0/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| … on the record | 54% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 54% | 53% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.1% | +0.6% | +2.5% | +3.8% | +3.7% | +3.4% | +2.6% | +2.6% | +3.4% | +3.4% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 15 Jul minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the week | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | IIFLIIFL Finance Ltd. | 93.5 | 49% | ₹525.00 | +10.6% | +11.6% | +10.3% | 100% | +12.7%* | +15.2 pp | -1.9% | -0.4% |
| 2 look at | SCHAEFFLERSchaeffler India Ltd. | 91.9 | 49% | ₹4,236.00 | +7.7% | +8.8% | +8.0% | 100% | +17.0%* | +9.9 pp | -4.5% | -3.0% |
| 3 look at | TEGATega Industries Ltd. | 91.4 | 49% | ₹1,833.30 | +8.6% | +9.6% | — | 100% | +10.6%* | +18.0 pp | +2.0% | +3.5% |
| 4 look at | SOBHASobha Ltd. | 91.3 | 49% | ₹1,647.60 | +8.4% | +9.5% | +7.2% | 100% | +13.0%* | +10.9 pp | -5.1% | -3.6% |
| 5 look at | CUMMINSINDCummins India Ltd. | 89.3 | 49% | ₹3,576.50 | +7.0% | +8.1% | +8.6% | 100% | +11.1%* | +7.8 pp | -1.2% | +0.3% |
| 768 stay away | IDFCFIRSTBIDFC First Bank Ltd. | 10.6 | 52% | ₹72.93 | -6.4% | -5.3% | -6.3% | 0% | +2.2%* | -15.4 pp | -3.6% | -2.1% |
| 769 stay away | EQUITASBNKEquitas Small Finance Bank Limited | 9.6 | 52% | ₹63.42 | -6.6% | -5.6% | — | 19% | -8.4%* | -9.7 pp | -6.1% | -4.6% |
| 770 stay away | INOXWINDInox Wind Ltd. | 8.9 | 52% | ₹164.75 | -8.5% | -7.4% | -7.9% | 0% | -12.3%* | +0.5 pp | -5.1% | -3.6% |
| 771 stay away | TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | 5.9 | 52% | ₹653.20 | -7.4% | -6.4% | -5.9% | 0% | — | -4.9 pp | -9.5% | -8.0% |
| 772 stay away | NELCONELCO Limited | 4.7 | 52% | ₹878.50 | -12.3% | -11.3% | — | 0% | — | -7.3 pp | -3.6% | -2.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the week (last week plus this week so far), each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.