The daily read from the close of 15 May 2025
Computed on the morning of 16 May 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 748 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -1.6% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +2.9% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +0.6%.
The read from the close of 15 May 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 748
NAZARA
Nazara Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
94.8
score /100rank 1 of 748
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹311.90close 15 May
Upside reference₹325.81+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹303.23-2.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+36.8% over six months · +30.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.3% (+4.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 748
ANURAS
Anupam Rasayan India Ltd.
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 2 of 748
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹958.10close 15 May
Upside reference₹990.07+3.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹932.98-2.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+30.4% over six months · +23.9% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +3.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.3% (+4.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 748
GODFRYPHLP
Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
92.3
score /100rank 3 of 748
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,059.00close 15 May
Upside reference₹3,392.13+10.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,815.11-8.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+50.1% over six months · +43.6% vs Nifty · +48.5% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +6.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -9.7% (-8.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 748
SHREECEM
Shree Cement Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
92.1
score /100rank 4 of 748
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹31,400.00close 15 May
Upside reference₹32,412.65+3.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹30,487.83-2.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+30.3% over six months · +23.8% vs Nifty · +22.8% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +7.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.7% (-3.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 748
CEATLTD
Ceat Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
91.9
score /100rank 5 of 748
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,916.90close 15 May
Upside reference₹4,114.27+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,742.87-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+41.2% over six months · +34.7% vs Nifty · +37.3% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +9.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.8% (-3.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 748 of 748
PCJEWELLER
PC Jeweller Limited
▼ Stay away
1.6
score /100rank 748 of 748
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹12.47close 15 May
Upside reference₹14.18+13.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹11.62-6.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-91.4% over six months · -97.9% vs Nifty · 1% of its six-month range · after results -14.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.0% (+2.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 747 of 748
TEJASNET
Tejas Networks Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
3.4
score /100rank 747 of 748
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹702.80close 15 May
Upside reference₹750.87+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹657.74-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-44.6% over six months · -51.1% vs Nifty · -52.1% vs its sector · 8% of its six-month range · after results -20.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.4% (+4.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 746 of 748
RKFORGE
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
5.0
score /100rank 746 of 748
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹623.90close 15 May
Upside reference₹647.21+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹580.38-7.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.1% over six months · -39.6% vs Nifty · -37.0% vs its sector · 14% of its six-month range · after results -24.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.3% (-3.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 745 of 748
JBMA
JBM Auto Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
5.1
score /100rank 745 of 748
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹713.80close 15 May
Upside reference₹750.35+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹661.85-7.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-50.9% over six months · -57.4% vs Nifty · -54.8% vs its sector · 17% of its six-month range · after results -29.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.2% (+2.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 744 of 748
NATCOPHARM
NATCO Pharma Ltd. · HEALTHCARE INDEX
▼ Stay away
5.8
score /100rank 744 of 748
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹823.80close 15 May
Upside reference₹861.00+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹780.17-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.2% over six months · -46.7% vs Nifty · -41.9% vs its sector · 10% of its six-month range · after results -32.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +8.5% (+9.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | +1.1% | +2.0% | +5.3% | +5.1% | +6.1% | +5.5%▲ | +2.4%▲ | +3.6%▲ | +3.4%▲ | +4.2%▲ |
| ANURASAnupam Rasayan India Ltd. | -1.0% | +0.0% | +2.0% | +1.2% | +1.7% | -1.2% | +3.7%▲ | +4.3%▲ | +4.7%▲ | +4.2%▲ |
| GODFRYPHLPGodfrey Phillips India Ltd. | -4.8% | -8.0% | -4.5% | -5.8% | -7.5% | -8.0% | -9.6% | -9.7% | -7.9% | -8.8% |
| SHREECEMShree Cement Ltd. | +0.9% | +1.1% | +1.9% | +1.3% | +1.8% | +1.1% | -0.7% | -0.5% | -3.6% | -3.8% |
| CEATLTDCeat Ltd. | -2.0% | -1.0% | -0.5% | -1.2% | -0.4% | -2.5% | -4.4% | -3.7% | -3.3% | -3.9% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PCJEWELLERPC Jeweller Limited | +0.7% | +2.1% | +1.9% | +0.6% | -0.4% | +5.6% | +3.9% | +4.6% | +3.2% | +2.0% |
| TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | +5.5% | +6.0% | +4.5% | +7.2% | +7.5% | +6.3% | +5.6% | +6.1% | +5.6% | +4.4% |
| RKFORGERamkrishna Forgings Ltd. | +0.1% | -0.8% | +0.5% | -0.7% | +0.4% | -0.8% | -1.8% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -3.4% |
| JBMAJBM Auto Ltd. | +1.9% | +2.2% | +2.3% | +2.1% | +1.4% | +4.6% | +2.7% | +3.0% | +2.4% | +2.1% |
| NATCOPHARMNATCO Pharma Ltd. | +2.3% | +5.6% | +4.9% | +7.3% | +8.3% | +7.5% | +7.0% | +7.6% | +5.9% | +9.4% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 0/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -3.3% | -4.2% | -2.0% | -3.2% | -3.1% | -5.6% | -5.2% | -5.2% | -4.5% | -4.5% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 15 May minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | 94.8 | 50% | ₹311.90 | +36.8% | +30.3% | — | 100% | +5.3% | +11.7 pp | +3.3% | +4.2% |
| 2 look at | ANURASAnupam Rasayan India Ltd. | 92.5 | 50% | ₹958.10 | +30.4% | +23.9% | — | 100% | +3.5% | +8.3 pp | +3.3% | +4.2% |
| 3 look at | GODFRYPHLPGodfrey Phillips India Ltd. | 92.3 | 50% | ₹3,059.00 | +50.1% | +43.6% | +48.5% | 100% | +6.0% | +2.5 pp | -9.7% | -8.8% |
| 4 look at | SHREECEMShree Cement Ltd. | 92.1 | 50% | ₹31,400.00 | +30.3% | +23.8% | +22.8% | 100% | +7.8% | +4.6 pp | -4.7% | -3.8% |
| 5 look at | CEATLTDCeat Ltd. | 91.9 | 50% | ₹3,916.90 | +41.2% | +34.7% | +37.3% | 100% | +9.9% | +2.2 pp | -4.8% | -3.9% |
| 744 stay away | NATCOPHARMNATCO Pharma Ltd. | 5.8 | 55% | ₹823.80 | -40.2% | -46.7% | -41.9% | 10% | -32.8% | -3.0 pp | +8.5% | +9.4% |
| 745 stay away | JBMAJBM Auto Ltd. | 5.1 | 55% | ₹713.80 | -50.9% | -57.4% | -54.8% | 17% | -29.8% | -4.4 pp | +1.2% | +2.1% |
| 746 stay away | RKFORGERamkrishna Forgings Ltd. | 5.0 | 55% | ₹623.90 | -33.1% | -39.6% | -37.0% | 14% | -24.5% | -5.9 pp | -4.3% | -3.4% |
| 747 stay away | TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | 3.4 | 55% | ₹702.80 | -44.6% | -51.1% | -52.1% | 8% | -20.7% | -5.6 pp | +3.4% | +4.4% |
| 748 stay away | PCJEWELLERPC Jeweller Limited | 1.6 | 55% | ₹12.47 | -91.4% | -97.9% | — | 1% | -14.2% | -15.7 pp | +1.0% | +2.0% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.