The daily read from the close of 4 Aug 2026
Computed on the morning of 5 Aug 2026 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 849 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +1.9% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +9.6% (2 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +5.8%.
The read from the close of 4 Aug 2026 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 849
SAREGAMA
Saregama India Ltd · MEDIA
▲ Look at
95.5
score /100rank 1 of 849
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹542.55close 4 Aug
Upside reference₹567.96+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹518.49-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+57.2% over three months · +55.2% vs Nifty · +46.7% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +10.9% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.3% (-3.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 849
AVALON
Avalon Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
93.8
score /100rank 2 of 849
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,805.40close 4 Aug
Upside reference₹1,947.34+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,699.19-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+58.4% over three months · +56.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +29.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +21.7% (+23.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 849
RAIN
Rain Industries Limited
▲ Look at
92.9
score /100rank 3 of 849
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹238.07close 4 Aug
Upside reference₹260.21+9.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹223.42-6.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+86.5% over three months · +84.5% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +25.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -14.4% (-12.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 849
COFORGE
Coforge Ltd. · IT
▲ Look at
92.8
score /100rank 4 of 849
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,749.90close 4 Aug
Upside reference₹1,840.21+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,643.59-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+52.0% over three months · +49.9% vs Nifty · +43.8% vs its sector · 97% of its three-month range · after results +16.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.3% (+3.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 849
GRWRHITECH
Garware Hi-Tech Films Limited
▲ Look at
91.3
score /100rank 5 of 849
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹7,326.00close 4 Aug
Upside reference₹7,930.32+8.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹6,827.61-6.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+71.5% over three months · +69.4% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.3% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.1% (-1.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 849 of 849
STYLEBAAZA
Baazar Style Retail Limited
▼ Stay away
4.6
score /100rank 849 of 849
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹277.30close 4 Aug
Upside reference₹299.51+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹258.31-6.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-32.1% over three months · -34.1% vs Nifty · 8% of its three-month range · after results -11.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +45.2% (+47.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 848 of 849
PATANJALI
Patanjali Foods Ltd. · FMCG
▼ Stay away
7.6
score /100rank 848 of 849
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹359.90close 4 Aug
Upside reference₹365.62+1.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹348.95-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-21.1% over three months · -23.2% vs Nifty · -17.7% vs its sector · 18% of its three-month range · after results -8.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.3% (-0.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 847 of 849
CIEINDIA
CIE Automotive India Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
7.7
score /100rank 847 of 849
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹410.60close 4 Aug
Upside reference₹427.54+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹398.64-2.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-14.1% over three months · -16.1% vs Nifty · -25.7% vs its sector · 3% of its three-month range · after results -14.4% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -0.2% (+1.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 846 of 849
RVNL
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
8.9
score /100rank 846 of 849
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹231.40close 4 Aug
Upside reference₹241.93+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹220.92-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-22.0% over three months · -24.1% vs Nifty · -21.5% vs its sector · 12% of its three-month range · after results -11.8% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -2.8% (-0.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 845 of 849
INDIAMART
Indiamart Intermesh Ltd.
▼ Stay away
9.3
score /100rank 845 of 849
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,774.80close 4 Aug
Upside reference₹1,815.76+2.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,716.53-3.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-15.3% over three months · -17.3% vs Nifty · 8% of its three-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.2% (+0.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| SAREGAMASaregama India Ltd | +2.7% | -2.8% | -4.1% | -2.2% | -1.9% | -4.2% | -1.1% | -1.8% | -2.2% | -3.4% |
| AVALONAvalon Technologies Limited | +0.9% | -1.8% | +9.0%▲ | +6.7%▲ | +7.9%▲ | +9.5%▲ | +7.8%▲ | +8.5%▲ | +15.4%▲ | +23.6%▲ |
| RAINRain Industries Limited | +1.9% | +2.0% | -6.2% | -13.9% | -14.2% | -11.3% | -9.2% | -11.3% | -12.2% | -12.6% |
| COFORGECoforge Ltd. | +1.5% | +1.2% | +1.7% | +3.6% | +4.5% | +3.7% | +5.4% | +4.6% | +4.5% | +3.2% |
| GRWRHITECHGarware Hi-Tech Films Limited | +1.1% | +0.1% | -4.6% | -4.3% | -3.6% | -1.9% | -0.4% | -2.2% | -2.7% | -1.2% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| STYLEBAAZABaazar Style Retail Limited | +4.9% | +10.0% | +15.8% | +21.5% | +28.0% | +27.4% | +26.4% | +32.7% | +39.6% | +47.1% |
| PATANJALIPatanjali Foods Ltd. | -0.8% | -1.4% | -0.5% | -1.2% | -1.3% | -1.3% | -0.8% | -1.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% |
| CIEINDIACIE Automotive India Ltd. | +1.0% | -0.2% | +0.2% | -0.1% | +1.2% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +0.3% | +1.5% | +1.7% |
| RVNLRail Vikas Nigam Ltd. | -1.1% | +1.5% | +1.0% | -0.2% | -0.0% | +0.1% | -0.5% | -0.7% | +0.1% | -0.9% |
| INDIAMARTIndiamart Intermesh Ltd. | +0.0% | -0.7% | -0.9% | +0.6% | +1.1% | +1.3% | +2.5% | +1.9% | +1.1% | +0.6% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 5/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.8% | -2.1% | -4.0% | -6.1% | -7.2% | -6.5% | -5.1% | -7.1% | -7.8% | -7.7% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 4 Aug minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | SAREGAMASaregama India Ltd | 95.5 | 51% | ₹542.55 | +57.2% | +55.2% | +46.7% | 100% | +10.9% | +7.3 pp | -5.3% | -3.4% |
| 2 look at | AVALONAvalon Technologies Limited | 93.8 | 51% | ₹1,805.40 | +58.4% | +56.3% | — | 100% | +29.8% | +6.2 pp | +21.7% | +23.6% |
| 3 look at | RAINRain Industries Limited | 92.9 | 51% | ₹238.07 | +86.5% | +84.5% | — | 100% | +25.0% | +4.5 pp | -14.4% | -12.6% |
| 4 look at | COFORGECoforge Ltd. | 92.8 | 51% | ₹1,749.90 | +52.0% | +49.9% | +43.8% | 97% | +16.3% | +5.8 pp | +1.3% | +3.2% |
| 5 look at | GRWRHITECHGarware Hi-Tech Films Limited | 91.3 | 51% | ₹7,326.00 | +71.5% | +69.4% | — | 100% | +12.3% | +4.2 pp | -3.1% | -1.2% |
| 845 stay away | INDIAMARTIndiamart Intermesh Ltd. | 9.3 | 52% | ₹1,774.80 | -15.3% | -17.3% | — | 8% | -7.0% | -5.7 pp | -1.2% | +0.6% |
| 846 stay away | RVNLRail Vikas Nigam Ltd. | 8.9 | 52% | ₹231.40 | -22.0% | -24.1% | -21.5% | 12% | -11.8% | -0.1 pp | -2.8% | -0.9% |
| 847 stay away | CIEINDIACIE Automotive India Ltd. | 7.7 | 52% | ₹410.60 | -14.1% | -16.1% | -25.7% | 3% | -14.4% | -1.0 pp | -0.2% | +1.7% |
| 848 stay away | PATANJALIPatanjali Foods Ltd. | 7.6 | 52% | ₹359.90 | -21.1% | -23.2% | -17.7% | 18% | -8.0% | -8.5 pp | -2.3% | -0.4% |
| 849 stay away | STYLEBAAZABaazar Style Retail Limited | 4.6 | 52% | ₹277.30 | -32.1% | -34.1% | — | 8% | -11.0% | -5.3 pp | +45.2% | +47.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.