The daily read from the close of 4 Mar 2026
Computed on the morning of 5 Mar 2026 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 747 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +2.3% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +2.9% (2 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +2.6%.
The read from the close of 4 Mar 2026 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 747
MCX
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
97.4
score /100rank 1 of 747
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,478.50close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹2,625.77+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,337.52-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+62.1% over six months · +63.2% vs Nifty · +57.6% vs its sector · 82% of its six-month range · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.0% (+7.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 747
SBIN
State Bank of India · BANK
▲ Look at
96.2
score /100rank 2 of 747
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,174.50close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹1,210.53+3.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,152.89-1.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+45.1% over six months · +46.1% vs Nifty · +36.5% vs its sector · 87% of its six-month range · after results +7.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -8.9% (-6.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 747
UNIONBANK
Union Bank of India · BANK
▲ Look at
94.0
score /100rank 3 of 747
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹191.13close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹201.23+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹183.97-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+50.7% over six months · +51.7% vs Nifty · +42.0% vs its sector · 85% of its six-month range · after results +7.7% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -6.9% (-4.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 747
CHENNPETRO
Chennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd. · OIL & GAS
▲ Look at
93.8
score /100rank 4 of 747
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹999.90close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹1,064.25+6.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹951.46-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+44.3% over six months · +45.3% vs Nifty · +37.8% vs its sector · 76% of its six-month range · after results +20.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +1.5% (+4.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 747
GESHIP
Great Eastern Shipping Co. Ltd.
▲ Look at
93.3
score /100rank 5 of 747
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,354.60close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹1,406.18+3.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,319.15-2.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+39.5% over six months · +40.5% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +3.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +6.4% (+9.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 747 of 747
SHAKTIPUMP
Shakti Pumps (India) Limited
▼ Stay away
6.5
score /100rank 747 of 747
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹485.55close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹511.11+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹459.46-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.6% over six months · -39.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -18.4% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.3% (+8.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 746 of 747
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
7.4
score /100rank 746 of 747
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹41.40close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹43.64+5.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹38.25-7.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-64.3% over six months · -63.2% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -9.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.0% (-2.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 745 of 747
ROUTE
ROUTE MOBILE LIMITED
▼ Stay away
7.7
score /100rank 745 of 747
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹474.70close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹487.29+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹452.55-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-44.5% over six months · -43.5% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -10.4% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.3% (+4.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 744 of 747
HCC
Hindustan Construction Company Limited
▼ Stay away
7.9
score /100rank 744 of 747
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹16.24close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹17.26+6.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹15.27-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-41.1% over six months · -40.1% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -11.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.6% (-0.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 743 of 747
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
8.5
score /100rank 743 of 747
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹202.44close 4 Mar
Upside reference₹213.79+5.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹190.31-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-44.7% over six months · -43.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -8.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.2% (+5.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | +1.9% | +2.4% | +5.8% | +4.9% | +4.6% | +5.4% | +6.2% | +7.5% | +11.5%▲ | +7.9%▲ |
| SBINState Bank of India | -1.6% | -2.6% | -4.6% | -4.4% | -4.6% | -4.2% | -5.4% | -4.8% | -5.7% | -6.0% |
| UNIONBANKUnion Bank of India | -1.1% | -1.2% | -4.5% | -1.6% | -2.8% | -1.3% | -3.6% | -3.7% | -4.2% | -4.0% |
| CHENNPETROChennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd. | -2.0% | +0.9% | -4.4% | -6.1% | -6.8% | -2.2% | -2.7% | +3.2% | +10.2%▲ | +4.4%▲ |
| GESHIPGreat Eastern Shipping Co. Ltd. | +1.4% | +4.6%▲ | +0.7%▲ | +3.6%▲ | +7.9%▲ | +13.2%▲ | +13.2%▲ | +5.8%▲ | +9.0%▲ | +9.2%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| SHAKTIPUMPShakti Pumps (India) Limited | +0.0% | +1.8% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +11.3% | +11.8% | +8.6% | +5.9% | +5.7% | +8.2% |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -0.3% | +1.2% | -2.4% | -5.9% | +1.0% | +0.8% | -2.6%▼ | -7.2%▼ | -8.5%▼ | -2.2%▼ |
| ROUTEROUTE MOBILE LIMITED | -0.2% | +0.9% | +0.2% | +2.1% | +4.0% | +3.7% | +2.5% | +0.5% | -2.5%▼ | +4.1%▼ |
| HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | -1.0% | -1.3% | -2.9% | +0.0% | +0.8% | +2.5% | -0.2% | -3.7%▼ | -3.0%▼ | -0.8%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +4.9% | +8.0% | +5.3% | +4.7% | +6.3% | +6.3% | +3.3% | -0.0% | +0.7% | +5.0% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.0% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -1.3% | -5.0% | -2.8% | -0.8% | +2.5% | +5.7% | -0.6% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 4 Mar minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | 97.4 | 50% | ₹2,478.50 | +62.1% | +63.2% | +57.6% | 82% | — | +5.1 pp | +5.0% | +7.9% |
| 2 look at | SBINState Bank of India | 96.2 | 50% | ₹1,174.50 | +45.1% | +46.1% | +36.5% | 87% | +7.6% | +6.9 pp | -8.9% | -6.0% |
| 3 look at | UNIONBANKUnion Bank of India | 94.0 | 50% | ₹191.13 | +50.7% | +51.7% | +42.0% | 85% | +7.7% | +1.8 pp | -6.9% | -4.0% |
| 4 look at | CHENNPETROChennai Petroleum Corporation Ltd. | 93.8 | 50% | ₹999.90 | +44.3% | +45.3% | +37.8% | 76% | +20.9% | +1.7 pp | +1.5% | +4.4% |
| 5 look at | GESHIPGreat Eastern Shipping Co. Ltd. | 93.3 | 50% | ₹1,354.60 | +39.5% | +40.5% | — | 100% | +3.9% | +3.6 pp | +6.4% | +9.2% |
| 743 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 8.5 | 55% | ₹202.44 | -44.7% | -43.6% | — | 0% | -8.1% | -13.3 pp | +2.2% | +5.0% |
| 744 stay away | HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | 7.9 | 55% | ₹16.24 | -41.1% | -40.1% | — | 0% | -11.9% | -13.1 pp | -3.6% | -0.8% |
| 745 stay away | ROUTEROUTE MOBILE LIMITED | 7.7 | 55% | ₹474.70 | -44.5% | -43.5% | — | 0% | -10.4% | -12.0 pp | +1.3% | +4.1% |
| 746 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 7.4 | 55% | ₹41.40 | -64.3% | -63.2% | — | 0% | -9.5% | -10.2 pp | -5.0% | -2.2% |
| 747 stay away | SHAKTIPUMPShakti Pumps (India) Limited | 6.5 | 55% | ₹485.55 | -40.6% | -39.6% | — | 0% | -18.4% | -22.9 pp | +5.3% | +8.2% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.