The daily read from the close of 20 Feb 2026
Computed on the morning of 21 Feb 2026 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 746 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.4% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -7.3% (5 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -3.8%.
The read from the close of 20 Feb 2026 · Year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 745
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
90.8
score /100rank 1 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,029.65close 20 Feb
Upside reference₹1,066.05+3.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹994.89-3.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+92.4% over the year · +80.8% vs Nifty · +68.4% vs its sector · 100% of its year range · after results +4.0% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -9.5% (-3.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 745
SHARDACROP
Sharda Cropchem Limited
▲ Look at
90.8
score /100rank 2 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,202.90close 20 Feb
Upside reference₹1,313.27+9.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,138.18-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+117.9% over the year · +106.3% vs Nifty · 93% of its year range · after results +9.4% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -15.6% (-9.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 745
RBLBANK
RBL Bank Ltd. · PRIVATE BANK
▲ Look at
90.5
score /100rank 3 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹329.00close 20 Feb
Upside reference₹346.18+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹320.78-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+105.4% over the year · +93.8% vs Nifty · +88.2% vs its sector · 98% of its year range · after results +3.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -9.5% (-3.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 745
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
89.8
score /100rank 4 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,816.20close 20 Feb
Upside reference₹3,979.27+4.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,732.85-2.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+688.7% over the year · +677.1% vs Nifty · +662.6% vs its sector · 98% of its year range · after results +2.5% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.9% (+1.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 745
MCX
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
89.3
score /100rank 5 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,395.90close 20 Feb
Upside reference₹2,538.26+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,258.33-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+110.6% over the year · +99.0% vs Nifty · +89.4% vs its sector · 84% of its year range · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +7.6% (+13.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 745 of 745
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
4.1
score /100rank 745 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹46.97close 20 Feb
Upside reference₹49.51+5.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹43.35-7.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-73.9% over the year · -85.5% vs Nifty · 2% of its year range · after results -12.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -15.6% (-9.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 744 of 745
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
5.9
score /100rank 744 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹158.37close 20 Feb
Upside reference₹162.66+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹153.25-3.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-51.7% over the year · -63.3% vs Nifty · 3% of its year range · after results -8.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -11.6% (-5.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 743 of 745
TATAINVEST
Tata Investment Corporation Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
6.0
score /100rank 743 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹707.10close 20 Feb
Upside reference₹735.19+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹679.52-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-88.4% over the year · -100.0% vs Nifty · -109.6% vs its sector · 1% of its year range · after results -4.7% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -11.9% (-5.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 742 of 745
SHAKTIPUMP
Shakti Pumps (India) Limited
▼ Stay away
6.1
score /100rank 742 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹560.00close 20 Feb
Upside reference₹589.41+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹530.10-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-37.4% over the year · -49.0% vs Nifty · 2% of its year range · after results -8.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -14.9% (-8.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 741 of 745
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
6.4
score /100rank 741 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹239.71close 20 Feb
Upside reference₹252.92+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹226.21-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-41.2% over the year · -52.8% vs Nifty · 7% of its year range · after results -11.6% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -12.7% (-6.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | -5.9% | -2.1% | -4.3% | -5.2% | -5.4% | -4.9% | -3.8% | -2.3% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| SHARDACROPSharda Cropchem Limited | -2.9% | -2.8% | -0.8% | -1.7% | +0.6% | -2.8% | -9.4% | -8.1% | -8.7% | -9.6% |
| RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | -3.0% | -0.3% | +0.6% | -0.4% | -1.3% | -2.1% | -2.7% | -2.6% | -3.3% | -3.4% |
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | -0.2% | +0.6% | +3.4% | +3.9% | +2.9% | +2.7% | +2.4% | +3.2% | +3.5% | +1.1% |
| MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | -0.5% | +0.6% | +2.6% | +2.9% | +3.5% | +7.2% | +7.7% | +9.7%▲ | +10.1%▲ | +13.6%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -5.3% | -5.5% | -2.8% | -3.8% | -4.4% | -7.7%▼ | -7.6%▼ | -8.0%▼ | -6.5%▼ | -9.6%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -1.1% | +0.3% | +0.1% | -0.1% | -1.1% | -2.2%▼ | -3.0%▼ | -3.3%▼ | -3.8%▼ | -5.5%▼ |
| TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | -3.2% | -5.2%▼ | -6.5%▼ | -7.1%▼ | -5.3%▼ | -6.6%▼ | -7.3%▼ | -3.8%▼ | -4.9%▼ | -5.8%▼ |
| SHAKTIPUMPShakti Pumps (India) Limited | -1.1% | -3.4% | -5.4%▼ | -5.6%▼ | -6.4%▼ | -7.5%▼ | -9.0%▼ | -9.1%▼ | -7.4%▼ | -8.8%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -1.3% | -1.1% | -4.1% | -5.3% | -6.4%▼ | -7.6%▼ | -11.3%▼ | -7.3%▼ | -4.5%▼ | -6.6%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 0/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 53% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 5/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 59% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 60% | 60% | 61% | 61% | 62% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.1% | +2.2% | +4.0% | +4.3% | +4.8% | +6.3% | +6.5% | +6.3% | +5.4% | +6.9% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 20 Feb minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the year | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 90.8 | 53% | ₹1,029.65 | +92.4% | +80.8% | +68.4% | 100% | +4.0% | +4.7 pp | -9.5% | -3.5% |
| 2 look at | SHARDACROPSharda Cropchem Limited | 90.8 | 53% | ₹1,202.90 | +117.9% | +106.3% | — | 93% | +9.4% | +4.5 pp | -15.6% | -9.6% |
| 3 look at | RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | 90.5 | 53% | ₹329.00 | +105.4% | +93.8% | +88.2% | 98% | +3.1% | +4.8 pp | -9.5% | -3.4% |
| 4 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 89.8 | 53% | ₹3,816.20 | +688.7% | +677.1% | +662.6% | 98% | +2.5% | +3.4 pp | -4.9% | +1.1% |
| 5 look at | MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | 89.3 | 53% | ₹2,395.90 | +110.6% | +99.0% | +89.4% | 84% | — | +4.2 pp | +7.6% | +13.6% |
| 741 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 6.4 | 58% | ₹239.71 | -41.2% | -52.8% | — | 7% | -11.6% | -15.0 pp | -12.7% | -6.6% |
| 742 stay away | SHAKTIPUMPShakti Pumps (India) Limited | 6.1 | 58% | ₹560.00 | -37.4% | -49.0% | — | 2% | -8.8% | -10.6 pp | -14.9% | -8.8% |
| 743 stay away | TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | 6.0 | 58% | ₹707.10 | -88.4% | -100.0% | -109.6% | 1% | -4.7% | -3.9 pp | -11.9% | -5.8% |
| 744 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 5.9 | 58% | ₹158.37 | -51.7% | -63.3% | — | 3% | -8.1% | -7.3 pp | -11.6% | -5.5% |
| 745 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 4.1 | 58% | ₹46.97 | -73.9% | -85.5% | — | 2% | -12.1% | -8.6 pp | -15.6% | -9.6% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the year, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.