The daily read from the close of 4 Feb 2026
Computed on the morning of 5 Feb 2026 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 750 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +1.1% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +2.7% (2 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +1.9%.
The read from the close of 4 Feb 2026 · Year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 749
SHARDACROP
Sharda Cropchem Limited
▲ Look at
92.7
score /100rank 1 of 749
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,143.50close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹1,242.07+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,080.44-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+104.4% over the year · +95.8% vs Nifty · 98% of its year range · after results +6.5% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +6.1% (+5.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 749
BSE
BSE Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
90.1
score /100rank 2 of 749
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,896.30close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹3,105.73+7.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,759.94-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+56.1% over the year · +47.5% vs Nifty · +38.4% vs its sector · 94% of its year range · after results +5.4% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.5% (-2.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 749
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
89.7
score /100rank 3 of 749
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,727.40close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹3,888.35+4.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,645.40-2.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+604.8% over the year · +596.2% vs Nifty · +586.5% vs its sector · 96% of its year range · after results +1.6% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.2% (+4.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 749
MCX
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
88.8
score /100rank 4 of 749
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,543.30close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹2,695.01+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,414.15-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+117.1% over the year · +108.5% vs Nifty · +99.4% vs its sector · 92% of its year range · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -7.9% (-8.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 749
RBLBANK
RBL Bank Ltd. · PRIVATE BANK
▲ Look at
88.8
score /100rank 5 of 749
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹305.80close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹321.65+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹298.10-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+84.0% over the year · +75.5% vs Nifty · +67.2% vs its sector · 87% of its year range · after results +3.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +6.5% (+6.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 749 of 749
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
2.9
score /100rank 749 of 749
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹49.12close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹51.60+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹45.18-8.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-77.4% over the year · -85.9% vs Nifty · 3% of its year range · after results -15.0% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.6% (-7.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 748 of 749
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
3.9
score /100rank 748 of 749
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹237.03close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹249.96+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹222.83-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-47.8% over the year · -56.4% vs Nifty · 6% of its year range · after results -11.6% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.4% (+2.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 747 of 749
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
4.4
score /100rank 747 of 749
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹165.02close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹168.65+2.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹159.49-3.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-51.3% over the year · -59.9% vs Nifty · 6% of its year range · after results -8.3% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.9% (-2.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 746 of 749
UTKARSHBNK
Utkarsh Small Finance Bank Limited
▼ Stay away
6.1
score /100rank 746 of 749
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹13.22close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹13.66+3.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹12.39-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-56.0% over the year · -64.6% vs Nifty · 1% of its year range · after results -6.7% vs Nifty (avg of 5)
10 sessions on: +4.2% (+4.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 745 of 749
TARIL
Transformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd.
▼ Stay away
7.1
score /100rank 745 of 749
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹255.86close 4 Feb
Upside reference₹269.88+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹239.19-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-34.1% over the year · -42.6% vs Nifty · 8% of its year range · after results -13.9% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +17.2% (+17.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| SHARDACROPSharda Cropchem Limited | +2.2% | +4.6% | +4.8% | +1.6% | -1.4% | +9.4%▲ | +11.0%▲ | +8.0%▲ | +9.5%▲ | +5.9%▲ |
| BSEBSE Ltd. | +0.4% | +0.3% | +2.7% | +9.0%▲ | +9.0%▲ | +8.4%▲ | +5.6%▲ | -2.8%▲ | -5.1%▲ | -2.7%▲ |
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | +0.1% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +0.3% | +3.0% | +4.0% | +4.9% | +2.5% | +4.2% | +4.1% |
| MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | -4.7% | -6.1% | -4.6% | -3.5% | -7.4% | -4.1% | -6.8% | -7.6% | -10.0% | -8.1% |
| RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | +0.1% | -0.9% | +0.4% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +3.5% | +3.8% | +3.2% | +5.6%▲ | +6.4%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -2.1% | -4.1% | +2.9% | +6.4% | +2.3% | +1.1% | -3.3% | -8.8%▼ | -6.4%▼ | -7.8%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | -1.3% | -3.6% | +0.8% | +5.9% | +4.2% | +2.5% | -0.8% | -1.1% | -0.0% | +2.2% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -0.5% | -1.4% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -1.0% | -1.5% | -1.7% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| UTKARSHBNKUtkarsh Small Finance Bank Limited | +5.4% | +6.7% | +5.8% | +4.8% | +3.5% | +4.0% | +3.7% | +2.3% | +4.1% | +4.0% |
| TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | -0.9% | -2.8% | +11.3% | +9.6% | +11.4% | +9.6% | +7.1% | +6.1% | +7.3% | +17.0% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 53% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 4/5 | 4/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 59% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 60% | 60% | 61% | 61% | 62% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.5% | +0.8% | -3.6% | -3.9% | -3.6% | +1.0% | +2.7% | +1.3% | +0.3% | -1.6% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 4 Feb minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the year | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | SHARDACROPSharda Cropchem Limited | 92.7 | 53% | ₹1,143.50 | +104.4% | +95.8% | — | 98% | +6.5% | +5.7 pp | +6.1% | +5.9% |
| 2 look at | BSEBSE Ltd. | 90.1 | 53% | ₹2,896.30 | +56.1% | +47.5% | +38.4% | 94% | +5.4% | +6.8 pp | -2.5% | -2.7% |
| 3 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 89.7 | 53% | ₹3,727.40 | +604.8% | +596.2% | +586.5% | 96% | +1.6% | +4.3 pp | +4.2% | +4.1% |
| 4 look at | MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | 88.8 | 53% | ₹2,543.30 | +117.1% | +108.5% | +99.4% | 92% | — | +2.9 pp | -7.9% | -8.1% |
| 5 look at | RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | 88.8 | 53% | ₹305.80 | +84.0% | +75.5% | +67.2% | 87% | +3.1% | +5.0 pp | +6.5% | +6.4% |
| 745 stay away | TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | 7.1 | 58% | ₹255.86 | -34.1% | -42.6% | — | 8% | -13.9% | -12.5 pp | +17.2% | +17.0% |
| 746 stay away | UTKARSHBNKUtkarsh Small Finance Bank Limited | 6.1 | 58% | ₹13.22 | -56.0% | -64.6% | — | 1% | -6.7% | -1.8 pp | +4.2% | +4.0% |
| 747 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 4.4 | 58% | ₹165.02 | -51.3% | -59.9% | — | 6% | -8.3% | -9.6 pp | -1.9% | -2.1% |
| 748 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 3.9 | 58% | ₹237.03 | -47.8% | -56.4% | — | 6% | -11.6% | -14.1 pp | +2.4% | +2.2% |
| 749 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 2.9 | 58% | ₹49.12 | -77.4% | -85.9% | — | 3% | -15.0% | -6.1 pp | -7.6% | -7.8% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the year, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.