The daily read from the close of 16 Jan 2026
Computed on the morning of 17 Jan 2026 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 758 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +0.9% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -4.1% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -1.6%.
The read from the close of 16 Jan 2026 · Year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 758
RBLBANK
RBL Bank Ltd. · PRIVATE BANK
▲ Look at
95.5
score /100rank 1 of 758
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹324.60close 16 Jan
Upside reference₹340.90+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹317.69-2.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+104.8% over the year · +94.6% vs Nifty · +86.3% vs its sector · 98% of its year range · after results +6.0% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -8.5% (-6.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 758
UJJIVANSFB
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Limited
▲ Look at
92.2
score /100rank 2 of 758
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹60.35close 16 Jan
Upside reference₹64.21+6.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹58.76-2.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+75.3% over the year · +65.1% vs Nifty · 100% of its year range · after results +5.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.4% (+4.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 758
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
91.6
score /100rank 3 of 758
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,025.40close 16 Jan
Upside reference₹1,061.38+3.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹988.25-3.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+69.9% over the year · +59.7% vs Nifty · +48.0% vs its sector · 100% of its year range · after results +3.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.9% (-3.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 758
ASHOKLEY
Ashok Leyland Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.1
score /100rank 4 of 758
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹184.25close 16 Jan
Upside reference₹193.72+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹180.00-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+77.2% over the year · +67.0% vs Nifty · +56.5% vs its sector · 95% of its year range · after results +4.9% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.5% (+7.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 758
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.1
score /100rank 5 of 758
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,667.80close 16 Jan
Upside reference₹3,828.78+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,586.52-2.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+705.0% over the year · +694.8% vs Nifty · +684.3% vs its sector · 94% of its year range · after results +3.5% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.6% (+1.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 758 of 758
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
4.7
score /100rank 758 of 758
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹46.29close 16 Jan
Upside reference₹48.56+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹42.68-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-82.3% over the year · -92.5% vs Nifty · 0% of its year range · after results -19.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.8% (-1.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 757 of 758
WHIRLPOOL
Whirlpool of India Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
5.4
score /100rank 757 of 758
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹801.95close 16 Jan
Upside reference₹840.90+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹740.43-7.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-52.2% over the year · -62.5% vs Nifty · -45.4% vs its sector · 0% of its year range · after results -9.3% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.1% (+0.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 756 of 758
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.7
score /100rank 756 of 758
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹239.10close 16 Jan
Upside reference₹252.00+5.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹227.37-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-49.8% over the year · -60.0% vs Nifty · 2% of its year range · after results -14.5% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -8.2% (-5.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 755 of 758
NEWGEN
Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
6.1
score /100rank 755 of 758
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹749.85close 16 Jan
Upside reference₹785.44+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹711.59-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-54.0% over the year · -64.2% vs Nifty · -44.5% vs its sector · 0% of its year range · after results -10.4% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -25.6% (-23.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 754 of 758
KITEX
Kitex Garments Limited
▼ Stay away
7.0
score /100rank 754 of 758
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹152.57close 16 Jan
Upside reference₹166.50+9.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹139.30-8.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-34.4% over the year · -44.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its year range · after results -9.1% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +7.3% (+9.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | -6.3% | -7.7% | -6.3% | -7.2% | -8.6% | -7.0% | -7.0% | -7.7% | -6.5% | -6.2% |
| UJJIVANSFBUjjivan Small Finance Bank Limited | +0.3% | -2.3% | -2.2% | +4.2% | +7.0% | +4.9% | +5.9% | +4.5% | +9.8%▲ | +4.7%▲ |
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | -0.0% | -0.6% | -0.9% | -0.8% | -3.3% | -4.0% | -4.8% | -2.6% | -2.7% | -3.5% |
| ASHOKLEYAshok Leyland Ltd. | +2.4% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +4.8% | +7.3% | +6.8% | +7.4%▲ | +6.4%▲ | +8.2%▲ | +7.9%▲ |
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | +1.4% | +0.4% | +0.3% | -1.1% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +3.0% | +0.7% | +1.7% | +1.8% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | +3.5% | +1.6% | -2.6% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -2.7% | -3.0% | -3.8% | -2.7% | -1.4% |
| WHIRLPOOLWhirlpool of India Ltd. | -0.8% | -0.4% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +0.2% | -0.8% | -2.4% | -1.6% | +0.3% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +6.5% | +3.6% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -4.3%▼ | -6.2%▼ | -1.9%▼ | -5.2%▼ | -4.4%▼ | -5.8%▼ |
| NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | -1.5% | -14.4%▼ | -13.6%▼ | -12.0%▼ | -14.2%▼ | -17.3%▼ | -18.6%▼ | -21.4%▼ | -20.9%▼ | -23.3%▼ |
| KITEXKitex Garments Limited | -0.4% | -2.1% | -5.5% | +0.6% | +9.8% | +19.0% | +24.7% | +16.2% | +13.5% | +9.7% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 53% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 59% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 60% | 60% | 61% | 61% | 62% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.9% | +0.3% | +2.6% | +2.3% | +1.8% | +1.4% | +0.8% | +3.6% | +5.3% | +5.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 16 Jan minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the year | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | RBLBANKRBL Bank Ltd. | 95.5 | 53% | ₹324.60 | +104.8% | +94.6% | +86.3% | 98% | +6.0% | +8.3 pp | -8.5% | -6.2% |
| 2 look at | UJJIVANSFBUjjivan Small Finance Bank Limited | 92.2 | 53% | ₹60.35 | +75.3% | +65.1% | — | 100% | +5.8% | +5.8 pp | +2.4% | +4.7% |
| 3 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 91.6 | 53% | ₹1,025.40 | +69.9% | +59.7% | +48.0% | 100% | +3.8% | +6.2 pp | -5.9% | -3.5% |
| 4 look at | ASHOKLEYAshok Leyland Ltd. | 90.1 | 53% | ₹184.25 | +77.2% | +67.0% | +56.5% | 95% | +4.9% | +4.4 pp | +5.5% | +7.9% |
| 5 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 90.1 | 53% | ₹3,667.80 | +705.0% | +694.8% | +684.3% | 94% | +3.5% | +3.8 pp | -0.6% | +1.8% |
| 754 stay away | KITEXKitex Garments Limited | 7.0 | 58% | ₹152.57 | -34.4% | -44.6% | — | 0% | -9.1% | -20.8 pp | +7.3% | +9.7% |
| 755 stay away | NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | 6.1 | 58% | ₹749.85 | -54.0% | -64.2% | -44.5% | 0% | -10.4% | -2.0 pp | -25.6% | -23.3% |
| 756 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.7 | 58% | ₹239.10 | -49.8% | -60.0% | — | 2% | -14.5% | -12.8 pp | -8.2% | -5.8% |
| 757 stay away | WHIRLPOOLWhirlpool of India Ltd. | 5.4 | 58% | ₹801.95 | -52.2% | -62.5% | -45.4% | 0% | -9.3% | -4.1 pp | -2.1% | +0.3% |
| 758 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 4.7 | 58% | ₹46.29 | -82.3% | -92.5% | — | 0% | -19.1% | -2.5 pp | -3.8% | -1.4% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the year, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.