The daily read from the close of 31 Dec 2025
Computed on the morning of 1 Jan 2026 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 750 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -2.4% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.7% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.1%.
The read from the close of 31 Dec 2025 · Month
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 750
GMBREW
GM Breweries Limited
▲ Look at
93.9
score /100rank 1 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,207.50close 31 Dec
Upside reference₹1,256.00+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,156.08-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+18.3% over the month · +18.6% vs Nifty · 100% of its month range · after results +21.9% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -14.4% (-12.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 750
IDFCFIRSTB
IDFC First Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 2 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹85.61close 31 Dec
Upside reference₹88.86+3.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹82.57-3.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+6.8% over the month · +7.1% vs Nifty · +7.1% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +13.3% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.0% (-1.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 750
SUNDARMFIN
Sundaram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.3
score /100rank 3 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹5,282.80close 31 Dec
Upside reference₹5,457.34+3.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹5,115.60-3.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+11.7% over the month · +12.0% vs Nifty · +12.7% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results -0.5% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.4% (-2.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 750
ASHOKLEY
Ashok Leyland Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.5
score /100rank 4 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹179.19close 31 Dec
Upside reference₹188.15+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹174.65-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+13.3% over the month · +13.6% vs Nifty · +11.8% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +10.8% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.3% (+6.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 750
HSCL
Himadri Speciality Chemical Ltd.
▲ Look at
89.6
score /100rank 5 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹487.85close 31 Dec
Upside reference₹508.41+4.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹463.00-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+11.5% over the month · +11.8% vs Nifty · 98% of its month range · after results +1.8% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.6% (-1.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 750 of 750
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
3.1
score /100rank 750 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹52.65close 31 Dec
Upside reference₹55.23+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹48.60-7.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.0% over the month · -35.7% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -11.1% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.4% (-4.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 749 of 750
EMBDL
Embassy Developments Limited
▼ Stay away
4.7
score /100rank 749 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹58.82close 31 Dec
Upside reference₹61.53+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹54.51-7.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.9% over the month · -23.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -14.4% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +17.7% (+19.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 748 of 750
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.6
score /100rank 748 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹259.90close 31 Dec
Upside reference₹272.22+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹247.85-4.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.9% over the month · -24.7% vs Nifty · 10% of its month range · after results -11.6% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -9.0% (-7.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 747 of 750
KAYNES
Kaynes Technology India Ltd.
▼ Stay away
7.5
score /100rank 747 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹4,013.00close 31 Dec
Upside reference₹4,280.03+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,766.88-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.9% over the month · -26.6% vs Nifty · 12% of its month range · after results -12.7% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -8.3% (-6.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 746 of 750
SERVOTECH
Servotech Renewable Power System Limited
▼ Stay away
9.1
score /100rank 746 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹79.52close 31 Dec
Upside reference₹83.04+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹74.84-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-12.7% over the month · -12.4% vs Nifty · 17% of its month range · after results -20.5% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -11.6% (-9.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GMBREWGM Breweries Limited | +0.0% | -0.8% | +2.9% | -1.3% | +0.6% | -6.2% | -9.6% | -11.5% | -10.7% | -12.6% |
| IDFCFIRSTBIDFC First Bank Ltd. | -0.1% | -0.4% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -1.5% | +1.5% | +2.2% | +0.3% | -1.6% | -1.2% |
| SUNDARMFINSundaram Finance Ltd. | +0.7% | -0.6% | +1.1% | +0.1% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +1.1% | +0.8% | -0.7% | -2.6% |
| ASHOKLEYAshok Leyland Ltd. | +3.1% | +4.6%▲ | +4.3%▲ | +3.7%▲ | +3.8%▲ | +3.9%▲ | +6.5%▲ | +5.7%▲ | +5.2%▲ | +6.1%▲ |
| HSCLHimadri Speciality Chemical Ltd. | -0.6% | +0.5% | -0.1% | -1.8% | -1.4% | -1.3% | -1.8% | -2.2% | -1.3% | -1.8% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -4.8% | -4.2% | -4.4% | +0.0% | +1.9% | -2.8% | -3.0% | -4.2% | -5.1% | -4.6% |
| EMBDLEmbassy Developments Limited | +1.0% | -4.6% | +0.5% | +5.9% | +11.3% | +17.9% | +15.8% | +21.1% | +23.9% | +19.5% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +0.6% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -1.2% | -4.1% | -6.3%▼ | -7.2%▼ | -8.7%▼ | -5.5%▼ | -7.2%▼ |
| KAYNESKaynes Technology India Ltd. | -1.8% | -1.7% | -0.8% | -5.7% | -4.6% | -6.3%▼ | -7.1%▼ | -6.6%▼ | -6.4%▼ | -6.5%▼ |
| SERVOTECHServotech Renewable Power System Limited | -1.3% | -0.2% | -1.7% | -1.8% | -2.0% | -3.1% | -6.2%▼ | -9.1%▼ | -9.6%▼ | -9.8%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 49% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 53% | 53% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +1.9% | +2.8% | +2.8% | +0.4% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +0.2% | -1.3% | -0.7% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 31 Dec minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the month | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GMBREWGM Breweries Limited | 93.9 | 51% | ₹1,207.50 | +18.3% | +18.6% | — | 100% | +21.9%* | +5.4 pp | -14.4% | -12.6% |
| 2 look at | IDFCFIRSTBIDFC First Bank Ltd. | 92.0 | 51% | ₹85.61 | +6.8% | +7.1% | +7.1% | 100% | +13.3%* | +11.7 pp | -3.0% | -1.2% |
| 3 look at | SUNDARMFINSundaram Finance Ltd. | 91.3 | 51% | ₹5,282.80 | +11.7% | +12.0% | +12.7% | 100% | -0.5%* | +11.9 pp | -4.4% | -2.6% |
| 4 look at | ASHOKLEYAshok Leyland Ltd. | 90.5 | 51% | ₹179.19 | +13.3% | +13.6% | +11.8% | 100% | +10.8%* | +2.3 pp | +4.3% | +6.1% |
| 5 look at | HSCLHimadri Speciality Chemical Ltd. | 89.6 | 51% | ₹487.85 | +11.5% | +11.8% | — | 98% | +1.8%* | +12.8 pp | -3.6% | -1.8% |
| 746 stay away | SERVOTECHServotech Renewable Power System Limited | 9.1 | 52% | ₹79.52 | -12.7% | -12.4% | — | 17% | -20.5%* | -5.9 pp | -11.6% | -9.8% |
| 747 stay away | KAYNESKaynes Technology India Ltd. | 7.5 | 52% | ₹4,013.00 | -26.9% | -26.6% | — | 12% | -12.7%* | -6.5 pp | -8.3% | -6.5% |
| 748 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.6 | 52% | ₹259.90 | -24.9% | -24.7% | — | 10% | -11.6%* | -9.9 pp | -9.0% | -7.2% |
| 749 stay away | EMBDLEmbassy Developments Limited | 4.7 | 52% | ₹58.82 | -23.9% | -23.6% | — | 0% | -14.4%* | -5.7 pp | +17.7% | +19.5% |
| 750 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 3.1 | 52% | ₹52.65 | -36.0% | -35.7% | — | 0% | -11.1%* | -14.2 pp | -6.4% | -4.6% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the month (last month plus this month so far), each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.