The daily read from the close of 16 Dec 2025
Computed on the morning of 17 Dec 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 762 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +4.0% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +2.1% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +3.1%.
The read from the close of 16 Dec 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 762
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
96.7
score /100rank 1 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹980.60close 16 Dec
Upside reference₹1,019.53+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹939.22-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+37.9% over three months · +35.4% vs Nifty · +30.8% vs its sector · 95% of its three-month range · after results +11.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.4% (+0.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 762
FEDERALBNK
Federal Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
96.4
score /100rank 2 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹262.20close 16 Dec
Upside reference₹271.78+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹255.14-2.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+33.5% over three months · +31.0% vs Nifty · +26.4% vs its sector · 96% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.9% (+0.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 762
CANBK
Canara Bank · BANK
▲ Look at
93.8
score /100rank 3 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹147.17close 16 Dec
Upside reference₹155.70+5.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹141.55-3.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+30.0% over three months · +27.5% vs Nifty · +22.9% vs its sector · 88% of its three-month range · after results +11.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.3% (+4.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 762
SHRIRAMFIN
Shriram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
93.5
score /100rank 4 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹848.40close 16 Dec
Upside reference₹892.78+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹811.45-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+37.3% over three months · +34.8% vs Nifty · +33.9% vs its sector · 93% of its three-month range · after results +8.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +17.4% (+16.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 762
MUTHOOTFIN
Muthoot Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.2
score /100rank 5 of 762
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,847.00close 16 Dec
Upside reference₹4,023.92+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,752.56-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+28.7% over three months · +26.3% vs Nifty · +25.4% vs its sector · 99% of its three-month range · after results +9.1% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -0.9% (-2.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 762 of 762
HCC
Hindustan Construction Company Limited
▼ Stay away
6.8
score /100rank 762 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹17.76close 16 Dec
Upside reference₹18.94+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹16.37-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-37.9% over three months · -40.4% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -12.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +6.6% (+5.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 761 of 762
SERVOTECH
Servotech Renewable Power System Limited
▼ Stay away
7.4
score /100rank 761 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹79.04close 16 Dec
Upside reference₹82.75+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹74.21-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-41.2% over three months · -43.7% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -20.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.6% (-0.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 760 of 762
DEVYANI
Devyani International Ltd.
▼ Stay away
7.7
score /100rank 760 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹128.02close 16 Dec
Upside reference₹133.89+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹121.91-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.7% over three months · -32.2% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -9.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +15.6% (+14.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 759 of 762
JYOTISTRUC
Jyoti Structures Limited
▼ Stay away
8.7
score /100rank 759 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹10.20close 16 Dec
Upside reference₹10.88+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹9.47-7.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.7% over three months · -39.2% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -6.4% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -4.3% (-5.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 758 of 762
ROLEXRINGS
Rolex Rings Limited
▼ Stay away
9.0
score /100rank 758 of 762
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹132.14close 16 Dec
Upside reference₹138.76+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹124.79-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-90.6% over three months · -93.0% vs Nifty · 2% of its three-month range · after results -7.6% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.5% (-3.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | +1.1% | +0.9% | +0.1% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -1.8% | -1.3% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +0.4% |
| FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | +0.7% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +1.4% | +0.0% | -1.3% | -0.8% | -0.1% | +1.8% | +0.8% |
| CANBKCanara Bank | +2.2% | +2.0% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +0.8% | +0.6% | +1.3% | +2.2% | +4.4% | +4.2% |
| SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | +2.0% | +2.7% | +5.9%▲ | +9.0%▲ | +11.7%▲ | +13.7%▲ | +12.5%▲ | +12.3%▲ | +15.1%▲ | +16.4%▲ |
| MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | -1.9% | -2.4% | -2.1% | -2.7% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -2.0% | -3.2% | -1.6% | -2.0% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | -2.4% | +1.6% | +4.0% | +10.7% | +9.2% | +3.7% | +4.1% | +3.2% | +1.5% | +5.6% |
| SERVOTECHServotech Renewable Power System Limited | -2.2% | -2.0% | +0.2% | +0.1% | -0.1% | -1.7% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -2.1% | -0.4% |
| DEVYANIDevyani International Ltd. | -0.5% | -1.3% | +1.8% | +7.6% | +9.7% | +12.3% | +12.4% | +11.6% | +10.8% | +14.5% |
| JYOTISTRUCJyoti Structures Limited | -2.3% | -3.2% | -2.2% | -3.9% | -3.4% | -4.1% | -8.0%▼ | -10.2%▼ | -9.5%▼ | -5.4%▼ |
| ROLEXRINGSRolex Rings Limited | -2.4% | -4.8% | -4.1% | -3.3% | -2.5% | -4.1% | -5.4% | -3.5% | -3.5% | -3.6% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 5/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +2.8% | +2.9% | +1.3% | -0.7% | -0.8% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +2.2% | +4.8% | +1.8% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 16 Dec minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 96.7 | 51% | ₹980.60 | +37.9% | +35.4% | +30.8% | 95% | +11.5% | +5.5 pp | +1.4% | +0.4% |
| 2 look at | FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | 96.4 | 51% | ₹262.20 | +33.5% | +31.0% | +26.4% | 96% | +12.4% | +5.5 pp | +1.9% | +0.8% |
| 3 look at | CANBKCanara Bank | 93.8 | 51% | ₹147.17 | +30.0% | +27.5% | +22.9% | 88% | +11.7% | +4.4 pp | +5.3% | +4.2% |
| 4 look at | SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | 93.5 | 51% | ₹848.40 | +37.3% | +34.8% | +33.9% | 93% | +8.8% | +2.7 pp | +17.4% | +16.4% |
| 5 look at | MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | 92.2 | 51% | ₹3,847.00 | +28.7% | +26.3% | +25.4% | 99% | +9.1% | +1.9 pp | -0.9% | -2.0% |
| 758 stay away | ROLEXRINGSRolex Rings Limited | 9.0 | 52% | ₹132.14 | -90.6% | -93.0% | — | 2% | -7.6% | -13.9 pp | -2.5% | -3.6% |
| 759 stay away | JYOTISTRUCJyoti Structures Limited | 8.7 | 52% | ₹10.20 | -36.7% | -39.2% | — | 0% | -6.4% | -11.4 pp | -4.3% | -5.4% |
| 760 stay away | DEVYANIDevyani International Ltd. | 7.7 | 52% | ₹128.02 | -29.7% | -32.2% | — | 0% | -9.5% | -6.8 pp | +15.6% | +14.5% |
| 761 stay away | SERVOTECHServotech Renewable Power System Limited | 7.4 | 52% | ₹79.04 | -41.2% | -43.7% | — | 0% | -20.5% | -2.8 pp | +0.6% | -0.4% |
| 762 stay away | HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | 6.8 | 52% | ₹17.76 | -37.9% | -40.4% | — | 0% | -12.7% | -7.2 pp | +6.6% | +5.6% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.