The daily read from the close of 15 Dec 2025
Computed on the morning of 16 Dec 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 759 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +4.3% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +1.8% (2 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +3.0%.
The read from the close of 15 Dec 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 759
FEDERALBNK
Federal Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
96.1
score /100rank 1 of 759
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹265.25close 15 Dec
Upside reference₹274.94+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹258.11-2.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+35.1% over three months · +31.3% vs Nifty · +26.8% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.9% (+1.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 759
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
95.4
score /100rank 2 of 759
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹979.05close 15 Dec
Upside reference₹1,017.92+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹937.73-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+37.2% over three months · +33.4% vs Nifty · +28.9% vs its sector · 95% of its three-month range · after results +11.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.8% (+2.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 759
CANBK
Canara Bank · BANK
▲ Look at
92.8
score /100rank 3 of 759
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹148.29close 15 Dec
Upside reference₹156.79+5.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹142.53-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+31.8% over three months · +28.0% vs Nifty · +23.5% vs its sector · 91% of its three-month range · after results +11.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.9% (+4.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 759
SHRIRAMFIN
Shriram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.3
score /100rank 4 of 759
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹855.35close 15 Dec
Upside reference₹900.23+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹818.10-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+37.2% over three months · +33.3% vs Nifty · +32.6% vs its sector · 95% of its three-month range · after results +8.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +14.5% (+14.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 759
MUTHOOTFIN
Muthoot Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.1
score /100rank 5 of 759
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,856.40close 15 Dec
Upside reference₹4,036.57+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,761.73-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+31.3% over three months · +27.5% vs Nifty · +26.7% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +9.1% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -1.5% (-1.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 759 of 759
HCC
Hindustan Construction Company Limited
▼ Stay away
4.0
score /100rank 759 of 759
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹17.73close 15 Dec
Upside reference₹18.89+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹16.35-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-37.6% over three months · -41.5% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -12.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.0% (+2.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 758 of 759
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
7.6
score /100rank 758 of 759
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹34.35close 15 Dec
Upside reference₹36.31+5.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹32.16-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.8% over three months · -28.6% vs Nifty · -24.5% vs its sector · 5% of its three-month range · after results -10.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.0% (-1.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 757 of 759
DEVYANI
Devyani International Ltd.
▼ Stay away
8.0
score /100rank 757 of 759
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹132.81close 15 Dec
Upside reference₹138.79+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹126.42-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.8% over three months · -31.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -9.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +7.1% (+7.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 756 of 759
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
8.3
score /100rank 756 of 759
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹965.70close 15 Dec
Upside reference₹1,036.74+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹911.79-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-25.9% over three months · -29.7% vs Nifty · -28.9% vs its sector · 10% of its three-month range · after results -19.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.7% (+4.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 755 of 759
SERVOTECH
Servotech Renewable Power System Limited
▼ Stay away
8.3
score /100rank 755 of 759
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹80.17close 15 Dec
Upside reference₹83.94+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹75.31-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.0% over three months · -43.9% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -20.5% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -3.2% (-2.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | -0.5% | +0.2% | +0.9% | +1.2% | +0.9% | -0.5% | -1.8% | -1.3% | -0.6% | +1.2% |
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | +0.8% | +2.0% | +1.7% | +0.9% | -0.0% | -0.4% | -1.0% | -0.5% | +1.1% | +2.1% |
| CANBKCanara Bank | -0.1% | +2.1% | +1.9% | +0.4% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +1.1% | +2.1% | +4.2% |
| SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | -0.2% | +1.8% | +2.5% | +5.7%▲ | +8.7%▲ | +11.4%▲ | +13.4%▲ | +12.2%▲ | +12.0%▲ | +14.8%▲ |
| MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | +0.4% | -1.5% | -1.9% | -1.7% | -2.3% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.6% | -2.8% | -1.1% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | +0.8% | -1.6% | +2.4% | +4.8% | +11.6% | +10.0% | +4.5% | +5.0% | +4.0% | +2.3% |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | +1.4% | +4.7% | +10.8% | +12.5% | +2.1% | +5.0% | +10.7% | +6.3% | +3.1% | -1.7% |
| DEVYANIDevyani International Ltd. | -3.0% | -3.4% | -4.2%▼ | -1.2%▼ | +4.3%▼ | +6.4%▼ | +8.9%▼ | +9.0%▼ | +8.2%▼ | +7.4%▼ |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +1.6% | +0.0% | +13.4% | +10.1% | +9.1% | +9.4% | +8.1% | +6.5% | +4.3% | +4.0% |
| SERVOTECHServotech Renewable Power System Limited | -0.8% | -3.0% | -2.7% | -0.6% | -0.7% | -0.9% | -2.4% | -1.0% | -1.2% | -2.9% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.1% | +1.6% | -2.9% | -3.8% | -3.6% | -4.1% | -4.1% | -3.2% | -1.3% | +2.4% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 15 Dec minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | 96.1 | 51% | ₹265.25 | +35.1% | +31.3% | +26.8% | 100% | +12.4% | +5.1 pp | +0.9% | +1.2% |
| 2 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 95.4 | 51% | ₹979.05 | +37.2% | +33.4% | +28.9% | 95% | +11.5% | +5.0 pp | +1.8% | +2.1% |
| 3 look at | CANBKCanara Bank | 92.8 | 51% | ₹148.29 | +31.8% | +28.0% | +23.5% | 91% | +11.7% | +3.7 pp | +3.9% | +4.2% |
| 4 look at | SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | 92.3 | 51% | ₹855.35 | +37.2% | +33.3% | +32.6% | 95% | +8.8% | +2.1 pp | +14.5% | +14.8% |
| 5 look at | MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | 92.1 | 51% | ₹3,856.40 | +31.3% | +27.5% | +26.7% | 100% | +9.1% | +2.0 pp | -1.5% | -1.1% |
| 755 stay away | SERVOTECHServotech Renewable Power System Limited | 8.3 | 52% | ₹80.17 | -40.0% | -43.9% | — | 0% | -20.5% | -1.4 pp | -3.2% | -2.9% |
| 756 stay away | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 8.3 | 52% | ₹965.70 | -25.9% | -29.7% | -28.9% | 10% | -19.2% | -7.2 pp | +3.7% | +4.0% |
| 757 stay away | DEVYANIDevyani International Ltd. | 8.0 | 52% | ₹132.81 | -27.8% | -31.6% | — | 0% | -9.5% | -5.2 pp | +7.1% | +7.4% |
| 758 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 7.6 | 52% | ₹34.35 | -24.8% | -28.6% | -24.5% | 5% | -10.7% | -15.2 pp | -2.0% | -1.7% |
| 759 stay away | HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | 4.0 | 52% | ₹17.73 | -37.6% | -41.5% | — | 0% | -12.7% | -7.8 pp | +2.0% | +2.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.