The daily read from the close of 8 Dec 2025
Computed on the morning of 9 Dec 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 759 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +3.9% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +10.9% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +7.4%.
The read from the close of 8 Dec 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 759
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
96.6
score /100rank 1 of 759
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹952.55close 8 Dec
Upside reference₹991.19+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹914.49-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+36.1% over three months · +31.3% vs Nifty · +26.8% vs its sector · 97% of its three-month range · after results +11.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.3% (+2.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 759
FEDERALBNK
Federal Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
94.7
score /100rank 2 of 759
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹257.45close 8 Dec
Upside reference₹266.85+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹250.52-2.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+35.1% over three months · +30.3% vs Nifty · +25.7% vs its sector · 98% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.5% (+3.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 759
PERSISTENT
Persistent Systems Ltd. · IT
▲ Look at
94.7
score /100rank 3 of 759
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹6,347.00close 8 Dec
Upside reference₹6,611.92+4.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹5,972.02-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+26.7% over three months · +21.9% vs Nifty · +14.2% vs its sector · 90% of its three-month range · after results +8.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.4% (+2.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 759
MUTHOOTFIN
Muthoot Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.3
score /100rank 4 of 759
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,775.70close 8 Dec
Upside reference₹3,953.12+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,681.99-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+30.2% over three months · +25.4% vs Nifty · +23.4% vs its sector · 96% of its three-month range · after results +9.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.4% (-0.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 759
SHRIRAMFIN
Shriram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.2
score /100rank 5 of 759
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹834.25close 8 Dec
Upside reference₹879.27+5.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹796.94-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+39.8% over three months · +35.0% vs Nifty · +33.1% vs its sector · 88% of its three-month range · after results +8.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +12.1% (+11.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 759 of 759
HCC
Hindustan Construction Company Limited
▼ Stay away
8.9
score /100rank 759 of 759
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹18.39close 8 Dec
Upside reference₹19.65+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹17.00-7.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.0% over three months · -40.8% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -12.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +8.1% (+7.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 758 of 759
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
8.9
score /100rank 758 of 759
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹146.97close 8 Dec
Upside reference₹156.75+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹135.37-7.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-45.9% over three months · -50.7% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -11.1% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +12.0% (+12.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 757 of 759
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
9.5
score /100rank 757 of 759
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹928.50close 8 Dec
Upside reference₹999.93+7.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹878.57-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.0% over three months · -28.8% vs Nifty · -25.5% vs its sector · 0% of its three-month range · after results -19.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +14.1% (+13.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 756 of 759
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
10.1
score /100rank 756 of 759
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹35.40close 8 Dec
Upside reference₹37.54+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹33.16-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.3% over three months · -28.1% vs Nifty · -23.8% vs its sector · 0% of its three-month range · after results -10.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.3% (-1.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 755 of 759
TARIL
Transformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd.
▼ Stay away
10.8
score /100rank 755 of 759
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹240.25close 8 Dec
Upside reference₹253.87+5.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹224.77-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-51.6% over three months · -56.4% vs Nifty · 1% of its three-month range · after results -28.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +24.0% (+23.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | +2.5% | +5.1%▲ | +2.4%▲ | +1.3%▲ | +2.5%▲ | +3.3%▲ | +4.5%▲ | +4.2%▲ | +3.4%▲ | +2.5%▲ |
| FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | +1.8% | +1.6% | +1.6% | +1.2% | +2.8% | +2.2% | +2.9% | +3.6% | +4.0%▲ | +3.7%▲ |
| PERSISTENTPersistent Systems Ltd. | -0.2% | -4.2% | -2.0% | -0.5% | -1.0% | -0.9% | -0.5% | +0.1% | +0.2% | +2.6% |
| MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | -0.4% | -0.0% | -0.9% | +1.3% | +1.9% | +2.3% | +0.3% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
| SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | +2.0% | +1.1% | +1.8% | +1.3% | +2.3% | +2.1% | +4.1% | +4.8% | +8.1%▲ | +11.2%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | +1.5% | -0.1% | +3.0% | -2.8% | -3.8% | -3.0% | -5.4% | -1.5% | +0.8% | +7.3% |
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -4.5% | -7.3%▼ | -11.8%▼ | -8.0%▼ | -3.3%▼ | +2.2%▼ | +7.5%▼ | +12.8%▼ | +17.8%▼ | +12.0%▼ |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +5.6% | +3.6% | +3.9% | +3.9% | +3.7% | +5.4% | +3.8% | +17.7% | +14.2% | +13.2% |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | +1.1% | -3.2% | -5.0% | -2.8% | -3.2% | -1.8% | +1.4% | +7.3% | +8.9% | -1.2% |
| TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | +2.6% | +0.9% | -0.2% | +16.3% | +27.2% | +21.4% | +18.2% | +18.0% | +22.3% | +23.2% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.1% | +2.0% | +2.6% | -0.4% | -2.4% | -3.0% | -2.8% | -8.3% | -9.7% | -7.0% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 8 Dec minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 96.6 | 51% | ₹952.55 | +36.1% | +31.3% | +26.8% | 97% | +11.5% | +5.9 pp | +3.3% | +2.5% |
| 2 look at | FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | 94.7 | 51% | ₹257.45 | +35.1% | +30.3% | +25.7% | 98% | +12.4% | +3.6 pp | +4.5% | +3.7% |
| 3 look at | PERSISTENTPersistent Systems Ltd. | 94.7 | 51% | ₹6,347.00 | +26.7% | +21.9% | +14.2% | 90% | +8.8% | +8.1 pp | +3.4% | +2.6% |
| 4 look at | MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | 92.3 | 51% | ₹3,775.70 | +30.2% | +25.4% | +23.4% | 96% | +9.1% | +2.4 pp | +0.4% | -0.4% |
| 5 look at | SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | 92.2 | 51% | ₹834.25 | +39.8% | +35.0% | +33.1% | 88% | +8.8% | +2.1 pp | +12.1% | +11.2% |
| 755 stay away | TARILTransformers And Rectifiers (India) Ltd. | 10.8 | 52% | ₹240.25 | -51.6% | -56.4% | — | 1% | -28.5% | -7.5 pp | +24.0% | +23.2% |
| 756 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 10.1 | 52% | ₹35.40 | -23.3% | -28.1% | -23.8% | 0% | -10.7% | -14.4 pp | -0.3% | -1.2% |
| 757 stay away | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 9.5 | 52% | ₹928.50 | -24.0% | -28.8% | -25.5% | 0% | -19.2% | -5.4 pp | +14.1% | +13.2% |
| 758 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 8.9 | 52% | ₹146.97 | -45.9% | -50.7% | — | 0% | -11.1% | — | +12.0% | +12.0% |
| 759 stay away | HCCHindustan Construction Company Limited | 8.9 | 52% | ₹18.39 | -36.0% | -40.8% | — | 0% | -12.7% | -6.2 pp | +8.1% | +7.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.