The daily read from the close of 17 Oct 2025
Computed on the morning of 18 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 777 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -3.3% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +1.1% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -1.1%.
The read from the close of 17 Oct 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 776
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
95.0
score /100rank 1 of 776
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹73.49close 17 Oct
Upside reference₹79.35+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹69.01-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+106.3% over six months · +98.5% vs Nifty · 94% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.8% (-5.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 776
KRISHANA
Krishana Phoschem Limited
▲ Look at
92.9
score /100rank 2 of 776
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹113.49close 17 Oct
Upside reference₹126.24+11.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹109.24-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+111.6% over six months · +103.9% vs Nifty · 90% of its six-month range · after results +11.3% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -11.4% (-11.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 776
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 3 of 776
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,235.40close 17 Oct
Upside reference₹1,327.84+7.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,166.92-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+120.4% over six months · +112.6% vs Nifty · +93.0% vs its sector · 90% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.2% (+4.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 776
NAM-INDIA
Nippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 4 of 776
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹913.30close 17 Oct
Upside reference₹958.66+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹870.23-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+53.0% over six months · +45.2% vs Nifty · +47.4% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.7% (-4.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 776
DELHIVERY
Delhivery Ltd.
▲ Look at
89.8
score /100rank 5 of 776
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹465.35close 17 Oct
Upside reference₹491.07+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹443.82-4.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+65.6% over six months · +57.8% vs Nifty · 91% of its six-month range · after results +11.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.5% (+1.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 776
TATAINVEST
Tata Investment Corporation Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
2.9
score /100rank 776 of 776
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹889.00close 17 Oct
Upside reference₹921.03+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹860.49-3.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-85.9% over six months · -93.7% vs Nifty · -91.5% vs its sector · 0% of its six-month range · after results -5.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -10.2% (-10.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 776
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
4.2
score /100rank 775 of 776
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹214.47close 17 Oct
Upside reference₹219.19+2.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹209.63-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-39.8% over six months · -47.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -5.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.7% (+1.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 774 of 776
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.4
score /100rank 774 of 776
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹347.15close 17 Oct
Upside reference₹369.81+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹330.57-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.7% over six months · -31.5% vs Nifty · 5% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +7.7% (+7.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 776
UDS
Updater Services Limited
▼ Stay away
5.6
score /100rank 773 of 776
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹221.59close 17 Oct
Upside reference₹229.55+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹210.75-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.2% over six months · -34.0% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -11.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +5.4% (+5.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 776
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
5.8
score /100rank 772 of 776
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹90.56close 17 Oct
Upside reference₹95.99+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹83.49-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-47.3% over six months · -55.1% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -16.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +2.0% (+1.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -2.0% | -0.7% | -3.7% | -2.8% | -4.9% | -4.7% | -5.9% | -8.4% | -6.1% | -5.0% |
| KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | +2.5% | +3.0% | -6.1% | -8.9% | -9.4% | -10.6% | -12.6% | -10.8% | -11.0% | -11.6% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +4.3% | +3.1% | +0.3% | -0.2% | -0.5% | +3.0% | +3.0% | +1.2% | +3.1% | +4.0% |
| NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | +3.6% | +5.4%▲ | +2.3%▲ | +0.7%▲ | -0.7%▲ | -1.8%▲ | -7.4%▲ | -5.2%▲ | -4.3%▲ | -4.9%▲ |
| DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | +1.5% | +1.8% | +1.1% | +0.0% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +1.5% | +0.1% | +1.3% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | -10.0%▼ | -2.2%▼ | -7.7%▼ | -6.0%▼ | -6.8%▼ | -8.5%▼ | -10.0%▼ | -10.4%▼ | -10.2%▼ | -10.4%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -1.0% | -0.1% | -0.8% | -0.9% | -1.7% | -1.4% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +1.5% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +0.7% | +1.8% | +0.2% | +4.4% | +2.5% | +1.7% | +0.8% | +4.5% | +6.0% | +7.5% |
| UDSUpdater Services Limited | +3.4% | +4.9% | +5.1% | +3.9% | +5.1% | +4.7% | +4.4% | +6.9% | +6.7% | +5.2% |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | +0.8% | +1.8% | +4.1% | +2.5% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +1.7% | +1.5% | +1.1% | +1.8% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +3.2% | +1.3% | -1.4% | -3.0% | -2.9% | -1.9% | -3.3% | -4.8% | -4.4% | -4.4% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 17 Oct minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 95.0 | 50% | ₹73.49 | +106.3% | +98.5% | — | 94% | +8.7% | +9.3 pp | -4.8% | -5.0% |
| 2 look at | KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | 92.9 | 50% | ₹113.49 | +111.6% | +103.9% | — | 90% | +11.3% | +6.4 pp | -11.4% | -11.6% |
| 3 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 92.5 | 50% | ₹1,235.40 | +120.4% | +112.6% | +93.0% | 90% | +7.1% | +5.7 pp | +4.2% | +4.0% |
| 4 look at | NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | 92.0 | 50% | ₹913.30 | +53.0% | +45.2% | +47.4% | 100% | +5.3% | +7.3 pp | -4.7% | -4.9% |
| 5 look at | DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | 89.8 | 50% | ₹465.35 | +65.6% | +57.8% | — | 91% | +11.8% | +4.8 pp | +1.5% | +1.3% |
| 772 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 5.8 | 55% | ₹90.56 | -47.3% | -55.1% | — | 2% | -16.9% | -1.0 pp | +2.0% | +1.8% |
| 773 stay away | UDSUpdater Services Limited | 5.6 | 55% | ₹221.59 | -26.2% | -34.0% | — | 0% | -11.0% | -1.8 pp | +5.4% | +5.2% |
| 774 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.4 | 55% | ₹347.15 | -23.7% | -31.5% | — | 5% | -15.2% | -4.8 pp | +7.7% | +7.5% |
| 775 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 4.2 | 55% | ₹214.47 | -39.8% | -47.6% | — | 0% | -5.2% | -8.8 pp | +1.7% | +1.5% |
| 776 stay away | TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | 2.9 | 55% | ₹889.00 | -85.9% | -93.7% | -91.5% | 0% | -5.9% | -8.0 pp | -10.2% | -10.4% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.