The daily read from the close of 15 Oct 2025
Computed on the morning of 16 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 778 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -8.1% vs Nifty (0 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -4.8% (5 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -6.4%.
The read from the close of 15 Oct 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 777
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
95.2
score /100rank 1 of 777
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹74.27close 15 Oct
Upside reference₹80.19+8.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹69.74-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+112.3% over six months · +103.8% vs Nifty · 96% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -8.7% (-10.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 777
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.1
score /100rank 2 of 777
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,294.00close 15 Oct
Upside reference₹1,391.06+7.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,221.68-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+132.9% over six months · +124.3% vs Nifty · +107.2% vs its sector · 97% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.7% (-4.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 777
KRISHANA
Krishana Phoschem Limited
▲ Look at
91.7
score /100rank 3 of 777
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹113.67close 15 Oct
Upside reference₹126.40+11.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹109.42-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+125.9% over six months · +117.3% vs Nifty · 90% of its six-month range · after results +11.3% vs Nifty (avg of 3) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -10.3% (-12.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 777
NAM-INDIA
Nippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.7
score /100rank 4 of 777
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹898.60close 15 Oct
Upside reference₹944.44+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹856.22-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+54.6% over six months · +46.0% vs Nifty · +47.5% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.0% (-5.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 777
MCX
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.3
score /100rank 5 of 777
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,908.20close 15 Oct
Upside reference₹2,027.60+6.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,799.60-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+70.9% over six months · +62.4% vs Nifty · +63.9% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.6% (-6.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 777
TATAINVEST
Tata Investment Corporation Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
3.1
score /100rank 777 of 777
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹941.00close 15 Oct
Upside reference₹974.90+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹911.60-3.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-84.9% over six months · -93.4% vs Nifty · -92.0% vs its sector · 0% of its six-month range · after results -5.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -14.8% (-17.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 777
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
4.8
score /100rank 776 of 777
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹215.58close 15 Oct
Upside reference₹220.54+2.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹210.76-2.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.0% over six months · -48.5% vs Nifty · 1% of its six-month range · after results -5.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.2% (-2.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 777
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
5.7
score /100rank 775 of 777
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹571.30close 15 Oct
Upside reference₹613.42+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹540.67-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.2% over six months · -48.8% vs Nifty · -43.9% vs its sector · 18% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.4% (-1.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 774 of 777
UDS
Updater Services Limited
▼ Stay away
6.3
score /100rank 774 of 777
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹235.34close 15 Oct
Upside reference₹243.80+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹223.90-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-20.4% over six months · -29.0% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -11.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +1.3% (-0.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 777
VPRPL
Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited
▼ Stay away
6.9
score /100rank 773 of 777
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹92.50close 15 Oct
Upside reference₹98.06+6.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹85.08-8.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-45.7% over six months · -54.3% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -16.9% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +0.0% (-2.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -1.5% | -2.6% | -4.6% | -3.3% | -6.3% | -5.3% | -7.5% | -7.2% | -8.4% | -10.9% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -3.2% | -6.1% | -2.0% | -3.1% | -5.8% | -6.3% | -6.6% | -3.2% | -3.2% | -4.9% |
| KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | -0.8% | -1.7% | +0.8% | +1.3% | -7.8% | -10.5% | -11.1% | -12.3% | -14.3% | -12.5% |
| NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | -2.3% | +0.1% | +3.8%▲ | +5.6%▲ | +2.4%▲ | +0.8%▲ | -0.6%▲ | -1.7%▲ | -7.4%▲ | -5.2%▲ |
| MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | -3.2% | -3.8% | -5.7% | -5.9% | -5.2% | -7.5% | -5.0% | -6.9% | -6.7% | -6.8% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | -4.8%▼ | -7.1%▼ | -16.5%▼ | -9.2%▼ | -14.4%▼ | -12.7%▼ | -13.6%▼ | -15.2%▼ | -16.6%▼ | -17.0%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -1.2% | -2.0% | -3.0% | -2.1% | -2.9% | -3.0% | -3.8% | -3.4% | -2.6% | -2.0% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -1.5% | +1.4% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -1.5% | -1.0% | -2.4% | -3.5% | -2.3% | -1.8% |
| UDSUpdater Services Limited | -4.4% | -7.4%▼ | -4.2%▼ | -2.8%▼ | -2.6%▼ | -3.7%▼ | -2.7%▼ | -3.0%▼ | -3.3%▼ | -0.9%▼ |
| VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | -1.3% | -3.6% | -2.9% | -1.9% | +0.4% | -1.1% | -3.0% | -3.5% | -2.0% | -2.2% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 0/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 5/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.4% | +0.9% | +3.7% | +2.1% | -0.3% | -1.4% | -1.1% | -0.6% | -2.6% | -3.3% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 15 Oct minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 95.2 | 50% | ₹74.27 | +112.3% | +103.8% | — | 96% | +8.7% | +10.4 pp | -8.7% | -10.9% |
| 2 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 93.1 | 50% | ₹1,294.00 | +132.9% | +124.3% | +107.2% | 97% | +7.1% | +5.6 pp | -2.7% | -4.9% |
| 3 look at | KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | 91.7 | 50% | ₹113.67 | +125.9% | +117.3% | — | 90% | +11.3% | +6.0 pp | -10.3% | -12.5% |
| 4 look at | NAM-INDIANippon Life India Asset Management Ltd. | 91.7 | 50% | ₹898.60 | +54.6% | +46.0% | +47.5% | 100% | +5.3% | +7.4 pp | -3.0% | -5.2% |
| 5 look at | MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | 91.3 | 50% | ₹1,908.20 | +70.9% | +62.4% | +63.9% | 100% | — | +3.8 pp | -4.6% | -6.8% |
| 773 stay away | VPRPLVishnu Prakash R Punglia Limited | 6.9 | 55% | ₹92.50 | -45.7% | -54.3% | — | 4% | -16.9% | -0.7 pp | +0.0% | -2.2% |
| 774 stay away | UDSUpdater Services Limited | 6.3 | 55% | ₹235.34 | -20.4% | -29.0% | — | 0% | -11.0% | -1.7 pp | +1.3% | -0.9% |
| 775 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 5.7 | 55% | ₹571.30 | -40.2% | -48.8% | -43.9% | 18% | -9.8% | -16.0 pp | +0.4% | -1.8% |
| 776 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 4.8 | 55% | ₹215.58 | -40.0% | -48.5% | — | 1% | -5.2% | -9.0 pp | +0.2% | -2.0% |
| 777 stay away | TATAINVESTTata Investment Corporation Ltd. | 3.1 | 55% | ₹941.00 | -84.9% | -93.4% | -92.0% | 0% | -5.9% | -7.2 pp | -14.8% | -17.0% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.