The daily read from the close of 25 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 26 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -4.0% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.5% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.7%.
The read from the close of 25 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 779
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
96.4
score /100rank 1 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.75close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹79.06+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹67.94-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+160.1% over six months · +154.9% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.5% (-0.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 779
LUMAXTECH
Lumax Auto Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
95.3
score /100rank 2 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,280.10close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹1,362.90+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,226.02-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+130.4% over six months · +125.2% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +28.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -9.1% (-10.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 779
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
93.8
score /100rank 3 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹898.20close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹953.44+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹860.67-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+56.1% over six months · +51.0% vs Nifty · +52.4% vs its sector · 91% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -7.6% (-9.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 779
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.6
score /100rank 4 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,254.10close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹1,350.58+7.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,180.26-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+116.8% over six months · +111.6% vs Nifty · +93.7% vs its sector · 92% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.4% (-0.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 779
DELHIVERY
Delhivery Ltd.
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 5 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹455.40close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹480.57+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹436.36-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+77.1% over six months · +71.9% vs Nifty · 88% of its six-month range · after results +11.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.1% (+0.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 779
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
3.3
score /100rank 779 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹539.75close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹578.77+7.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹514.04-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-38.9% over six months · -44.1% vs Nifty · -46.4% vs its sector · 11% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +8.6% (+7.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 779
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
3.9
score /100rank 778 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹616.40close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹647.61+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹581.25-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-57.5% over six months · -62.6% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.0% (-7.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 779
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.8
score /100rank 777 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹96.64close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹101.50+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹91.32-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.1% over six months · -36.2% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.5% (-0.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 779
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
5.6
score /100rank 776 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹233.68close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹240.02+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹228.39-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-30.8% over six months · -36.0% vs Nifty · 12% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.3% (-6.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 779
ANUP
The Anup Engineering Limited
▼ Stay away
8.9
score /100rank 775 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,364.40close 25 Sep
Upside reference₹2,496.26+5.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,237.88-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-28.1% over six months · -33.3% vs Nifty · 11% of its six-month range · after results -10.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: +1.4% (-0.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +0.7% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +3.3% | +2.6% | +2.6% | +0.6% | -0.1% |
| LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | +2.4% | +4.4% | -1.2% | +3.2% | +1.7% | -2.0% | -2.6% | -4.2% | -8.1% | -10.7% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | -0.1% | -3.6% | -4.8% | -4.7% | -4.5% | -6.6% | -6.0% | -7.5% | -8.7% | -9.2% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -0.4% | -1.8% | -4.7% | -0.8% | +2.8% | +1.2% | +3.8% | +4.3% | +1.7% | -0.2% |
| DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | -1.2% | -2.4% | -0.1% | -4.4% | -4.0% | +0.8% | +2.1% | +2.0% | +1.6% | +0.5% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -3.7% | -5.5%▼ | -5.8%▼ | -5.1%▼ | -4.8%▼ | -4.9%▼ | -4.3%▼ | -5.3%▼ | +1.3%▼ | +7.0%▼ |
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | -0.6% | -5.6%▼ | -5.8%▼ | -5.3%▼ | -4.6%▼ | -6.5%▼ | -6.3%▼ | -7.0%▼ | -7.5%▼ | -7.6%▼ |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -0.5% | +0.8% | -1.2% | +2.1% | +3.8% | +1.4% | +1.5% | +0.6% | +0.3% | -0.1% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -2.8%▼ | -5.3%▼ | -5.0%▼ | -4.3%▼ | -3.8%▼ | -5.5%▼ | -5.0%▼ | -6.0%▼ | -6.4%▼ | -6.9%▼ |
| ANUPThe Anup Engineering Limited | -2.1% | -1.5% | +0.4% | -1.5% | -1.7% | +4.7% | +4.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | -0.2% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 5/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +2.2% | +2.8% | +1.7% | +1.8% | +1.8% | +1.5% | +2.0% | +2.9% | -0.1% | -2.4% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 25 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 96.4 | 50% | ₹72.75 | +160.1% | +154.9% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +9.1 pp | +1.5% | -0.1% |
| 2 look at | LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | 95.3 | 50% | ₹1,280.10 | +130.4% | +125.2% | — | 100% | +28.6% | +5.6 pp | -9.1% | -10.7% |
| 3 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 93.8 | 50% | ₹898.20 | +56.1% | +51.0% | +52.4% | 91% | +18.3% | +12.2 pp | -7.6% | -9.2% |
| 4 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 92.6 | 50% | ₹1,254.10 | +116.8% | +111.6% | +93.7% | 92% | +7.1% | +5.9 pp | +1.4% | -0.2% |
| 5 look at | DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | 92.0 | 50% | ₹455.40 | +77.1% | +71.9% | — | 88% | +11.8% | +7.7 pp | +2.1% | +0.5% |
| 775 stay away | ANUPThe Anup Engineering Limited | 8.9 | 55% | ₹2,364.40 | -28.1% | -33.3% | — | 11% | -10.6% | -0.7 pp | +1.4% | -0.2% |
| 776 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 5.6 | 55% | ₹233.68 | -30.8% | -36.0% | — | 12% | -7.0% | -13.4 pp | -5.3% | -6.9% |
| 777 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 4.8 | 55% | ₹96.64 | -31.1% | -36.2% | — | 0% | -7.1% | -4.7 pp | +1.5% | -0.1% |
| 778 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 3.9 | 55% | ₹616.40 | -57.5% | -62.6% | — | 6% | -32.0% | -4.7 pp | -6.0% | -7.6% |
| 779 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 3.3 | 55% | ₹539.75 | -38.9% | -44.1% | -46.4% | 11% | -9.8% | -12.5 pp | +8.6% | +7.0% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.