The daily read from the close of 22 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 23 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 779 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.7% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -0.5% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -0.6%.
The read from the close of 22 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 778
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
94.8
score /100rank 1 of 778
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.10close 22 Sep
Upside reference₹78.39+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹67.52-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+152.0% over six months · +144.1% vs Nifty · 98% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.4% (+4.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 778
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 2 of 778
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹899.30close 22 Sep
Upside reference₹954.71+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹862.44-4.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+51.6% over six months · +43.6% vs Nifty · +45.9% vs its sector · 91% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.2% (-4.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 778
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
91.8
score /100rank 3 of 778
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,285.50close 22 Sep
Upside reference₹1,387.31+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,211.52-5.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+118.2% over six months · +110.3% vs Nifty · +93.4% vs its sector · 96% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.1% (+2.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 778
CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
▲ Look at
91.7
score /100rank 4 of 778
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,810.20close 22 Sep
Upside reference₹3,032.04+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,645.47-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+89.5% over six months · +81.6% vs Nifty · 90% of its six-month range · after results +21.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.6% (-6.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 778
DELHIVERY
Delhivery Ltd.
▲ Look at
91.7
score /100rank 5 of 778
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹467.90close 22 Sep
Upside reference₹493.72+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹447.61-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+77.5% over six months · +69.6% vs Nifty · 93% of its six-month range · after results +11.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.2% (+0.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 778
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.8
score /100rank 778 of 778
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹618.60close 22 Sep
Upside reference₹650.00+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹582.91-5.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-58.3% over six months · -66.2% vs Nifty · 7% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.7% (-5.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 778
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
2.9
score /100rank 777 of 778
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹561.00close 22 Sep
Upside reference₹599.82+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹534.85-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-40.7% over six months · -48.6% vs Nifty · -48.6% vs its sector · 16% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.1% (-6.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 778
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.5
score /100rank 776 of 778
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹223.39close 22 Sep
Upside reference₹229.29+2.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹218.19-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.7% over six months · -41.6% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.3% (+0.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 778
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.1
score /100rank 775 of 778
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹99.92close 22 Sep
Upside reference₹104.89+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹94.37-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.1% over six months · -39.0% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.0% (-0.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 774 of 778
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.2
score /100rank 774 of 778
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹338.05close 22 Sep
Upside reference₹366.33+8.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹321.79-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-10.4% over six months · -18.4% vs Nifty · 0% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +9.4% (+9.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +1.1% | +1.7% | +2.1% | +2.9% | +2.3% | +4.1% | +3.6% | +3.8% | +5.5% | +4.8% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | +0.2% | +2.8% | +1.1% | +1.0% | -2.4% | -3.7% | -3.6% | -3.4% | -5.5% | -4.9% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +0.4% | +0.6% | -1.2% | -1.5% | -2.9% | -5.8% | -2.0% | +1.6% | -0.0% | +2.5% |
| CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | -0.4% | +3.0% | -1.0% | -4.7% | -3.0% | -2.7% | -2.7% | -11.3% | -7.1% | -6.3% |
| DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | -1.8% | -2.0% | -1.4% | -2.6% | -3.7% | -1.5% | -5.7% | -5.3% | -0.6% | +0.6% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +1.1% | +0.6% | +0.9% | +0.3% | -4.8%▼ | -4.9%▼ | -4.4%▼ | -3.7%▼ | -5.5%▼ | -5.3%▼ |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | -0.4% | -2.4% | -2.6% | -6.1%▼ | -7.8%▼ | -8.1%▼ | -7.5%▼ | -7.1%▼ | -7.3%▼ | -6.7%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +5.3% | +3.6% | +5.8% | +2.9% | +0.2% | +0.5% | +1.3% | +1.8% | +0.2% | +0.6% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -0.0% | -2.3% | -2.0% | -2.5% | -1.2% | -3.2% | -0.0% | +1.7% | -0.7% | -0.6% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +15.6% | +19.0% | +15.1% | +12.5% | +8.6% | +7.8% | +9.6% | +9.3% | +7.4% | +9.8% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -4.4% | -2.5% | -3.5% | -2.4% | -1.0% | -0.3% | -1.9% | -3.3% | -0.4% | -0.2% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 22 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 94.8 | 50% | ₹72.10 | +152.0% | +144.1% | — | 98% | +8.7% | +8.1 pp | +4.4% | +4.8% |
| 2 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 92.4 | 50% | ₹899.30 | +51.6% | +43.6% | +45.9% | 91% | +18.3% | +12.4 pp | -5.2% | -4.9% |
| 3 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 91.8 | 50% | ₹1,285.50 | +118.2% | +110.3% | +93.4% | 96% | +7.1% | +5.0 pp | +2.1% | +2.5% |
| 4 look at | CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | 91.7 | 50% | ₹2,810.20 | +89.5% | +81.6% | — | 90% | +21.2% | +6.6 pp | -6.6% | -6.3% |
| 5 look at | DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | 91.7 | 50% | ₹467.90 | +77.5% | +69.6% | — | 93% | +11.8% | +6.8 pp | +0.2% | +0.6% |
| 774 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.2 | 55% | ₹338.05 | -10.4% | -18.4% | — | 0% | -15.2% | -7.0 pp | +9.4% | +9.8% |
| 775 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 4.1 | 55% | ₹99.92 | -31.1% | -39.0% | — | 0% | -7.1% | -6.4 pp | -1.0% | -0.6% |
| 776 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.5 | 55% | ₹223.39 | -33.7% | -41.6% | — | 4% | -7.0% | -14.5 pp | +0.3% | +0.6% |
| 777 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 2.9 | 55% | ₹561.00 | -40.7% | -48.6% | -48.6% | 16% | -9.8% | -11.5 pp | -7.1% | -6.7% |
| 778 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.8 | 55% | ₹618.60 | -58.3% | -66.2% | — | 7% | -32.0% | -6.1 pp | -5.7% | -5.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.