The daily read from the close of 18 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 19 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 781 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.2% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -0.3% (2 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -0.3%.
The read from the close of 18 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 780
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
94.6
score /100rank 1 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.76close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹79.20+8.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹68.15-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+157.1% over six months · +145.7% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.6% (+3.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 780
DELHIVERY
Delhivery Ltd.
▲ Look at
92.2
score /100rank 2 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹484.50close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹511.14+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹463.33-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+92.4% over six months · +81.1% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +11.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -9.7% (-7.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 780
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
91.0
score /100rank 3 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,247.30close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹1,350.74+8.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,177.59-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+118.0% over six months · +106.7% vs Nifty · +89.3% vs its sector · 91% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.4% (+5.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 780
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
90.1
score /100rank 4 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹820.25close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹852.33+3.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹804.84-1.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+68.5% over six months · +57.2% vs Nifty · +57.2% vs its sector · 99% of its six-month range · after results +5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.5% (-2.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 780
CCL
CCL Products (I) Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
90.1
score /100rank 5 of 780
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹879.45close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹933.59+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹842.64-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+58.0% over six months · +46.7% vs Nifty · +50.3% vs its sector · 86% of its six-month range · after results +18.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.5% (-0.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 780 of 780
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.3
score /100rank 780 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹624.75close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹657.13+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹588.07-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-56.3% over six months · -67.6% vs Nifty · 7% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.8% (-3.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 780
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
2.9
score /100rank 779 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹567.40close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹608.93+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹540.95-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.1% over six months · -47.5% vs Nifty · -47.4% vs its sector · 17% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -9.4% (-7.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 780
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.1
score /100rank 778 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹226.70close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹232.81+2.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹221.40-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-34.7% over six months · -46.0% vs Nifty · 7% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.9% (+1.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 780
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.4
score /100rank 777 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹101.06close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹106.20+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹95.43-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.8% over six months · -39.2% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.7% (+1.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 780
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.5
score /100rank 776 of 780
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹348.35close 18 Sep
Upside reference₹378.28+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹331.59-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-5.5% over six months · -16.8% vs Nifty · 1% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +4.9% (+7.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -0.1% | -0.0% | +1.1% | +1.6% | +2.1% | +2.8% | +2.2% | +4.0% | +3.5% | +3.7% |
| DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | -0.8% | -2.6% | -4.3% | -4.4% | -3.9% | -5.0% | -6.1% | -3.9% | -8.0% | -7.7% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +3.2% | +3.9% | +4.4% | +4.5% | +2.6% | +2.3% | +0.8% | -2.1% | +1.8% | +5.5% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | -0.9% | -0.9% | +0.5% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +1.1% | -0.8% | -3.2% | -4.3% | -2.4% |
| CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | +1.1% | +3.1% | +3.3% | +6.0% | +4.2% | +4.1% | +0.6% | -0.7% | -0.6% | -0.4% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | -0.3% | -0.1% | +1.0% | +0.5% | +0.8% | +0.2% | -4.8%▼ | -5.0%▼ | -4.4%▼ | -3.8%▼ |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +1.0% | -0.3% | -0.6% | -2.6% | -2.8%▼ | -6.3%▼ | -7.9%▼ | -8.3%▼ | -7.7%▼ | -7.3%▼ |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | -2.8%▼ | -0.6%▼ | +4.6%▼ | +3.0%▼ | +5.2%▼ | +2.3%▼ | -0.4%▼ | -0.1%▼ | +0.7%▼ | +1.2%▼ |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +0.4% | -0.3% | -0.3% | -2.5% | -2.3% | -2.8%▼ | -1.5%▼ | -3.4%▼ | -0.3%▼ | +1.4%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +0.2% | -2.1% | +13.1% | +16.4% | +12.6% | +10.0% | +6.3% | +5.5% | +7.2% | +7.0% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.8% | +1.4% | -2.5% | -1.0% | -1.3% | +0.4% | +1.0% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +0.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 18 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 94.6 | 50% | ₹72.76 | +157.1% | +145.7% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +7.2 pp | +1.6% | +3.7% |
| 2 look at | DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | 92.2 | 50% | ₹484.50 | +92.4% | +81.1% | — | 100% | +11.8% | +4.5 pp | -9.7% | -7.7% |
| 3 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 91.0 | 50% | ₹1,247.30 | +118.0% | +106.7% | +89.3% | 91% | +7.1% | +5.5 pp | +3.4% | +5.5% |
| 4 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 90.1 | 50% | ₹820.25 | +68.5% | +57.2% | +57.2% | 99% | +5.2% | +6.4 pp | -4.5% | -2.4% |
| 5 look at | CCLCCL Products (I) Ltd. | 90.1 | 50% | ₹879.45 | +58.0% | +46.7% | +50.3% | 86% | +18.3% | +11.2 pp | -2.5% | -0.4% |
| 776 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.5 | 55% | ₹348.35 | -5.5% | -16.8% | — | 1% | -15.2% | -7.2 pp | +4.9% | +7.0% |
| 777 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 4.4 | 55% | ₹101.06 | -27.8% | -39.2% | — | 3% | -7.1% | -6.6 pp | -0.7% | +1.4% |
| 778 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.1 | 55% | ₹226.70 | -34.7% | -46.0% | — | 7% | -7.0% | -15.9 pp | -0.9% | +1.2% |
| 779 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 2.9 | 55% | ₹567.40 | -36.1% | -47.5% | -47.4% | 17% | -9.8% | -11.1 pp | -9.4% | -7.3% |
| 780 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.3 | 55% | ₹624.75 | -56.3% | -67.6% | — | 7% | -32.0% | -7.2 pp | -5.8% | -3.8% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.