The daily read from the close of 17 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 18 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -2.3% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.9% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -2.1%.
The read from the close of 17 Sep 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 779
AIIL
Authum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
94.1
score /100rank 1 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹655.12close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹695.88+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹626.57-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+34.4% over three months · +32.5% vs Nifty · +34.0% vs its sector · 99% of its three-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.8% (-3.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 779
IMFA
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited
▲ Look at
94.1
score /100rank 2 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,045.00close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹1,123.23+7.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹992.86-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+47.2% over three months · +45.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +8.7% (+10.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 779
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.2
score /100rank 3 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,311.40close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹1,422.08+8.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,238.53-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+119.8% over three months · +117.9% vs Nifty · +102.3% vs its sector · 99% of its three-month range · after results +8.9% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.4% (-3.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 779
INDIACEM
India Cements Ltd.
▲ Look at
90.6
score /100rank 4 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹406.35close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹421.79+3.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹397.66-2.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+24.2% over three months · +22.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +5.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.7% (-1.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 779
FORCEMOT
Force Motors Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
89.1
score /100rank 5 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹19,850.00close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹21,558.29+8.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹19,066.12-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+41.6% over three months · +39.7% vs Nifty · +24.1% vs its sector · 75% of its three-month range · after results +8.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -15.1% (-13.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 779
RELINFRA
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
▼ Stay away
3.7
score /100rank 779 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹271.45close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹291.57+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹247.39-8.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.3% over three months · -28.2% vs Nifty · 14% of its three-month range · after results -18.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -10.3% (-8.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 779
NEWGEN
Newgen Software Technologies Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
3.7
score /100rank 778 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹884.60close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹950.05+7.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹831.80-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.7% over three months · -29.6% vs Nifty · -20.3% vs its sector · 16% of its three-month range · after results -18.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.7% (+3.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 779
RPOWER
Reliance Power Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
5.5
score /100rank 777 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹48.83close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹52.83+8.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹45.25-7.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.3% over three months · -25.2% vs Nifty · -22.5% vs its sector · 23% of its three-month range · after results -24.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.4% (-4.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 779
NAZARA
Nazara Technologies Limited
▼ Stay away
6.0
score /100rank 776 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹274.02close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹283.72+3.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹263.01-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-16.3% over three months · -18.2% vs Nifty · 5% of its three-month range · after results -18.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.2% (+3.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 779
HIKAL
Hikal Limited
▼ Stay away
6.3
score /100rank 775 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹269.80close 17 Sep
Upside reference₹280.76+4.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹254.79-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.2% over three months · -29.1% vs Nifty · 17% of its three-month range · after results -13.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.5% (-3.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | -2.7% | -3.5% | -6.8% | -7.3% | -5.5% | -6.6% | -6.8% | -5.4% | -3.1% | -3.8% |
| IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | +3.7% | +2.5% | +7.1% | +11.8%▲ | +13.5%▲ | +12.7%▲ | +10.1%▲ | +9.8%▲ | +8.9%▲ | +10.7%▲ |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -5.3% | -2.2% | -1.5% | -1.0% | -0.9% | -2.6% | -3.0% | -4.3% | -7.1% | -3.4% |
| INDIACEMIndia Cements Ltd. | -2.1% | -1.9% | -3.3% | -5.4% | -3.8% | -3.9% | -2.5% | -3.0% | -2.7% | -1.8% |
| FORCEMOTForce Motors Ltd. | -4.9% | -6.3% | -7.8% | -8.1% | -8.0% | -8.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% | -12.6% | -13.1% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | -1.9% | -4.9% | -1.7% | -1.8% | -4.2% | -5.1% | -6.3%▼ | -6.0%▼ | -8.0%▼ | -8.3%▼ |
| NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | +3.5% | +3.5% | +2.0% | +0.6% | +0.1% | +4.5% | +3.1% | +1.9% | +3.4% | +3.7% |
| RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | -3.2% | -1.6% | +0.5% | -1.4% | -3.8% | -4.0% | -5.7%▼ | -5.3%▼ | -6.3%▼ | -4.5%▼ |
| NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | +0.7% | -1.1% | +1.3% | +1.4% | +3.2% | +3.5% | +4.8% | -0.2% | -4.2%▼ | +3.1%▼ |
| HIKALHikal Limited | -1.4% | -0.1% | -2.1% | -3.0% | -2.6% | -2.4% | -2.8% | -4.4%▼ | -3.9%▼ | -3.5%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.8% | -1.4% | -2.5% | -1.2% | +0.5% | -1.2% | -1.0% | -0.1% | +0.5% | -0.4% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 17 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | AIILAuthum Investment & Infrastructure Ltd. | 94.1 | 51% | ₹655.12 | +34.4% | +32.5% | +34.0% | 99% | +9.2% | +8.1 pp | -5.8% | -3.8% |
| 2 look at | IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 94.1 | 51% | ₹1,045.00 | +47.2% | +45.3% | — | 100% | +12.4% | +5.5 pp | +8.7% | +10.7% |
| 3 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 93.2 | 51% | ₹1,311.40 | +119.8% | +117.9% | +102.3% | 99% | +8.9% | +4.2 pp | -5.4% | -3.4% |
| 4 look at | INDIACEMIndia Cements Ltd. | 90.6 | 51% | ₹406.35 | +24.2% | +22.3% | — | 100% | +5.1% | +8.1 pp | -3.7% | -1.8% |
| 5 look at | FORCEMOTForce Motors Ltd. | 89.1 | 51% | ₹19,850.00 | +41.6% | +39.7% | +24.1% | 75% | +8.0% | +8.6 pp | -15.1% | -13.1% |
| 775 stay away | HIKALHikal Limited | 6.3 | 52% | ₹269.80 | -27.2% | -29.1% | — | 17% | -13.8% | -5.6 pp | -5.5% | -3.5% |
| 776 stay away | NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | 6.0 | 52% | ₹274.02 | -16.3% | -18.2% | — | 5% | -18.0% | -4.0 pp | +1.2% | +3.1% |
| 777 stay away | RPOWERReliance Power Ltd. | 5.5 | 52% | ₹48.83 | -23.3% | -25.2% | -22.5% | 23% | -24.7% | -9.0 pp | -6.4% | -4.5% |
| 778 stay away | NEWGENNewgen Software Technologies Ltd. | 3.7 | 52% | ₹884.60 | -27.7% | -29.6% | -20.3% | 16% | -18.1% | -13.0 pp | +1.7% | +3.7% |
| 779 stay away | RELINFRAReliance Infrastructure Limited | 3.7 | 52% | ₹271.45 | -26.3% | -28.2% | — | 14% | -18.6% | — | -10.3% | -8.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.