The daily read from the close of 12 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 13 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 780 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -1.9% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +0.2% (2 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -0.9%.
The read from the close of 12 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 779
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
94.6
score /100rank 1 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹72.86close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹79.31+8.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹68.42-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+152.2% over six months · +140.4% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.4% (+1.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 779
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.8
score /100rank 2 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,231.30close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹1,342.23+9.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,164.07-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+131.2% over six months · +119.4% vs Nifty · +101.9% vs its sector · 96% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.5% (+2.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 779
CARYSIL
CARYSIL LIMITED
▲ Look at
92.2
score /100rank 3 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹942.90close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹998.87+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹896.43-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+56.1% over six months · +44.3% vs Nifty · 96% of its six-month range · after results +20.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -14.2% (-12.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 779
CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
▲ Look at
91.7
score /100rank 4 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,705.60close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹2,915.42+7.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,540.34-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+111.5% over six months · +99.8% vs Nifty · 85% of its six-month range · after results +21.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.2% (-1.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 779
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.6
score /100rank 5 of 779
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹817.45close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹848.06+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹802.09-1.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+69.5% over six months · +57.7% vs Nifty · +56.5% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.6% (+0.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 779 of 779
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
2.7
score /100rank 779 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹220.55close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹226.97+2.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹215.38-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-36.4% over six months · -48.2% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.0% (+3.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 778 of 779
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
2.9
score /100rank 778 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹614.65close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹648.84+5.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹577.99-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-50.9% over six months · -62.7% vs Nifty · 6% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.2% (+0.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 777 of 779
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
3.7
score /100rank 777 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹100.48close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹105.97+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹94.67-5.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.8% over six months · -39.6% vs Nifty · 1% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.2% (-3.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 776 of 779
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
3.8
score /100rank 776 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹569.90close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹614.76+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹543.33-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.3% over six months · -45.1% vs Nifty · -46.5% vs its sector · 17% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -9.7% (-7.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 775 of 779
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.0
score /100rank 775 of 779
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹351.90close 12 Sep
Upside reference₹382.60+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹333.99-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-12.5% over six months · -24.2% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.9% (+7.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | -0.7% | -0.7% | -1.8% | -1.4% | -1.5% | -1.4% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +0.7% | +1.5% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +6.0% | +6.5% | +5.6% | +0.1% | +3.3% | +4.0% | +4.5% | +4.6% | +2.7% | +2.3% |
| CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | -0.7% | -1.6% | -5.0% | -4.0% | -3.5% | -5.3% | -6.3% | -6.4% | -8.9% | -12.4% |
| CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | -0.7% | -1.0% | -1.2% | -3.4% | +3.8% | +3.5% | +3.1% | +6.6% | +2.4% | -1.4% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | +0.7% | +0.4% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -0.4% | +1.3% | +1.2% | +0.2% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +1.0% | +2.1% | +2.9% | +1.6% | -1.3% | +0.9% | +6.3% | +4.6% | +6.8% | +3.9% |
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +1.4% | +1.7% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +1.4% | +0.9% | +1.2% | +0.6% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | +4.0% | +0.8% | +1.9% | -0.7% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -3.2% | -2.9% | -3.4% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +0.8% | -0.5% | -1.0% | -1.7% | -0.6% | -1.9% | -2.3% | -4.3% | -4.4%▼ | -7.9%▼ |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +1.0% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -2.2% | -2.1% | -4.3% | +10.7% | +14.0% | +10.3% | +7.8% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.7% | -0.3% | -1.4% | -1.4% | +0.9% | +1.0% | -2.9% | -1.1% | -2.6% | -2.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 12 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 94.6 | 50% | ₹72.86 | +152.2% | +140.4% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +6.2 pp | -0.4% | +1.5% |
| 2 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 92.8 | 50% | ₹1,231.30 | +131.2% | +119.4% | +101.9% | 96% | +7.1% | +5.5 pp | +0.5% | +2.3% |
| 3 look at | CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | 92.2 | 50% | ₹942.90 | +56.1% | +44.3% | — | 96% | +20.5% | +8.8 pp | -14.2% | -12.4% |
| 4 look at | CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | 91.7 | 50% | ₹2,705.60 | +111.5% | +99.8% | — | 85% | +21.2% | +7.6 pp | -3.2% | -1.4% |
| 5 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 91.6 | 50% | ₹817.45 | +69.5% | +57.7% | +56.5% | 100% | +5.2% | +7.8 pp | -1.6% | +0.2% |
| 775 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 4.0 | 55% | ₹351.90 | -12.5% | -24.2% | — | 3% | -15.2% | -8.1 pp | +5.9% | +7.8% |
| 776 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 3.8 | 55% | ₹569.90 | -33.3% | -45.1% | -46.5% | 17% | -9.8% | -9.7 pp | -9.7% | -7.9% |
| 777 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 3.7 | 55% | ₹100.48 | -27.8% | -39.6% | — | 1% | -7.1% | -8.4 pp | -5.2% | -3.4% |
| 778 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 2.9 | 55% | ₹614.65 | -50.9% | -62.7% | — | 6% | -32.0% | -7.5 pp | -1.2% | +0.6% |
| 779 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 2.7 | 55% | ₹220.55 | -36.4% | -48.2% | — | 2% | -7.0% | -18.6 pp | +2.0% | +3.9% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.