The daily read from the close of 1 Sep 2025
Computed on the morning of 2 Sep 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 770 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +0.9% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -0.6% (2 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +0.2%.
The read from the close of 1 Sep 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 769
CENTUM
Centum Electronics Limited
▲ Look at
96.5
score /100rank 1 of 769
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,816.70close 1 Sep
Upside reference₹3,053.30+8.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,639.53-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+134.0% over six months · +122.7% vs Nifty · 98% of its six-month range · after results +21.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.8% (-6.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 769
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
95.8
score /100rank 2 of 769
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,229.40close 1 Sep
Upside reference₹1,336.44+8.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,163.95-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+165.0% over six months · +153.7% vs Nifty · +139.8% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.9% (+4.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 769
CRAFTSMAN
Craftsman Automation Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.2
score /100rank 3 of 769
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹7,159.50close 1 Sep
Upside reference₹7,633.96+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹6,772.67-5.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+59.0% over six months · +47.7% vs Nifty · +33.9% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +14.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -8.0% (-9.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 769
CARYSIL
CARYSIL LIMITED
▲ Look at
91.5
score /100rank 4 of 769
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹862.60close 1 Sep
Upside reference₹913.70+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹820.04-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+67.4% over six months · +56.1% vs Nifty · 85% of its six-month range · after results +20.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +8.4% (+6.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 769
TFCILTD
Tourism Finance Corporation of India Limited
▲ Look at
91.5
score /100rank 5 of 769
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹64.40close 1 Sep
Upside reference₹69.75+8.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹60.48-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+116.9% over six months · +105.6% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +8.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +12.1% (+10.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 769
RAYMOND
Raymond Limited
▼ Stay away
3.0
score /100rank 769 of 769
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹603.15close 1 Sep
Upside reference₹640.93+6.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹567.74-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-53.4% over six months · -64.7% vs Nifty · 5% of its six-month range · after results -32.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.2% (+1.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 768 of 769
ORIENTCEM
Orient Cement Limited
▼ Stay away
3.0
score /100rank 768 of 769
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹221.84close 1 Sep
Upside reference₹228.30+2.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹216.61-2.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-32.7% over six months · -44.0% vs Nifty · 3% of its six-month range · after results -7.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.3% (-1.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 767 of 769
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
4.4
score /100rank 767 of 769
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹102.20close 1 Sep
Upside reference₹108.93+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹96.04-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-22.0% over six months · -33.3% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.0% (+0.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 766 of 769
REFEX
Refex Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
5.6
score /100rank 766 of 769
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹364.20close 1 Sep
Upside reference₹400.29+9.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹341.50-6.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-7.0% over six months · -18.3% vs Nifty · 4% of its six-month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.6% (-4.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 765 of 769
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
6.0
score /100rank 765 of 769
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹554.95close 1 Sep
Upside reference₹598.00+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹528.51-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-30.2% over six months · -41.5% vs Nifty · -44.5% vs its sector · 14% of its six-month range · after results -9.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.3% (+1.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | -1.5% | -0.7% | -0.4% | +4.8% | +4.5% | -1.6% | -7.5% | -9.5% | -5.9% | -6.6% |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | +3.1% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -2.7% | -1.3% | +1.4% | +1.3% | -0.4% | -1.8% | +4.1% |
| CRAFTSMANCraftsman Automation Ltd. | -2.5% | -4.0% | -5.0% | -4.2% | -5.1% | -6.4% | -8.4% | -6.9% | -8.5% | -9.8% |
| CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | +5.0% | +3.7% | +3.2% | +10.8%▲ | +8.8%▲ | +7.4%▲ | +7.7%▲ | +9.4%▲ | +7.3%▲ | +6.6%▲ |
| TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | +4.2% | +4.2% | +5.3% | +7.0% | +7.4% | +9.3%▲ | +9.9%▲ | +10.9%▲ | +11.2%▲ | +10.3%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| RAYMONDRaymond Limited | +1.3% | +1.6% | +0.8% | +0.9% | +0.1% | +0.4% | +1.9% | +1.1% | -0.1% | +1.4% |
| ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | +1.9% | +1.1% | +1.7% | +0.5% | -0.3% | -0.7% | -1.5% | -1.0% | -2.6% | -1.5% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -0.1% | +1.1% | -1.5% | -0.7% | -1.6% | -3.0% | -3.5% | -3.8% | -3.7% | +0.2% |
| REFEXRefex Industries Limited | +1.0% | +0.7% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -1.1% | -5.8% | -4.2% | -4.5% | -5.4% | -4.4% |
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +1.1% | -0.7% | -0.4% | -0.6% | -1.2% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +1.5% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.6% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +3.2% | +3.7% | +3.6% | +1.7% | +2.1% | +2.6% | +1.5% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 1 Sep minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | CENTUMCentum Electronics Limited | 96.5 | 50% | ₹2,816.70 | +134.0% | +122.7% | — | 98% | +21.2% | +9.0 pp | -4.8% | -6.6% |
| 2 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 95.8 | 50% | ₹1,229.40 | +165.0% | +153.7% | +139.8% | 100% | +7.1% | +8.0 pp | +5.9% | +4.1% |
| 3 look at | CRAFTSMANCraftsman Automation Ltd. | 92.2 | 50% | ₹7,159.50 | +59.0% | +47.7% | +33.9% | 100% | +14.0% | +8.1 pp | -8.0% | -9.8% |
| 4 look at | CARYSILCARYSIL LIMITED | 91.5 | 50% | ₹862.60 | +67.4% | +56.1% | — | 85% | +20.5% | +9.7 pp | +8.4% | +6.6% |
| 5 look at | TFCILTDTourism Finance Corporation of India Limited | 91.5 | 50% | ₹64.40 | +116.9% | +105.6% | — | 100% | +8.7% | +3.9 pp | +12.1% | +10.3% |
| 765 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 6.0 | 55% | ₹554.95 | -30.2% | -41.5% | -44.5% | 14% | -9.8% | -4.2 pp | +3.3% | +1.5% |
| 766 stay away | REFEXRefex Industries Limited | 5.6 | 55% | ₹364.20 | -7.0% | -18.3% | — | 4% | -15.2% | -11.4 pp | -2.6% | -4.4% |
| 767 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 4.4 | 55% | ₹102.20 | -22.0% | -33.3% | — | 4% | -7.1% | -9.7 pp | +2.0% | +0.2% |
| 768 stay away | ORIENTCEMOrient Cement Limited | 3.0 | 55% | ₹221.84 | -32.7% | -44.0% | — | 3% | -7.0% | -20.5 pp | +0.3% | -1.5% |
| 769 stay away | RAYMONDRaymond Limited | 3.0 | 55% | ₹603.15 | -53.4% | -64.7% | — | 5% | -32.0% | -7.4 pp | +3.2% | +1.4% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.