The daily read from the close of 16 May 2025
Computed on the morning of 17 May 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 751 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +3.6% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +1.5% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +2.5%.
The read from the close of 16 May 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 751
GRSE
Garden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Ltd.
▲ Look at
92.7
score /100rank 1 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,481.70close 16 May
Upside reference₹2,794.32+12.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,297.19-7.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+83.7% over three months · +74.6% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +21.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +21.0% (+22.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 751
RITES
RITES Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
91.6
score /100rank 2 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹286.99close 16 May
Upside reference₹300.96+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹271.05-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+38.8% over three months · +29.7% vs Nifty · +24.5% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +15.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.3% (-2.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 751
SCHAEFFLER
Schaeffler India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
91.4
score /100rank 3 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹4,085.30close 16 May
Upside reference₹4,300.19+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,897.87-4.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+39.3% over three months · +30.2% vs Nifty · +30.8% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +14.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.5% (+3.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 751
CEATLTD
Ceat Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
90.2
score /100rank 4 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,831.50close 16 May
Upside reference₹4,025.64+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,661.84-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+47.4% over three months · +38.3% vs Nifty · +38.9% vs its sector · 94% of its three-month range · after results +25.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -1.4% (-0.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 751
JWL
Jupiter Wagons Ltd.
▲ Look at
89.4
score /100rank 5 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹422.05close 16 May
Upside reference₹453.71+7.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹389.73-7.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+35.1% over three months · +25.9% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.4% (-5.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 751 of 751
PRECAM
Precision Camshafts Limited
▼ Stay away
4.4
score /100rank 751 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹173.49close 16 May
Upside reference₹186.24+7.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹161.91-6.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-19.8% over three months · -28.9% vs Nifty · 32% of its three-month range · after results -29.7% vs Nifty (last result, before three months) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +10.7% (+11.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 750 of 751
MONARCH
Monarch Networth Capital Limited
▼ Stay away
5.2
score /100rank 750 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹314.95close 16 May
Upside reference₹335.88+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹295.08-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-12.0% over three months · -21.1% vs Nifty · 26% of its three-month range · after results -11.2% vs Nifty (last result, before three months) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.7% (-0.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 749 of 751
TEJASNET
Tejas Networks Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
6.2
score /100rank 749 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹740.60close 16 May
Upside reference₹790.21+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹693.11-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-5.1% over three months · -14.2% vs Nifty · -19.3% vs its sector · 38% of its three-month range · after results -19.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.1% (-2.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 748 of 751
RATEGAIN
Rategain Travel Technologies Limited
▼ Stay away
6.6
score /100rank 748 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹488.80close 16 May
Upside reference₹504.99+3.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹467.23-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-20.5% over three months · -29.6% vs Nifty · 34% of its three-month range · after results -20.1% vs Nifty (last result, before three months) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -9.2% (-8.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 747 of 751
MUTHOOTFIN
Muthoot Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
8.3
score /100rank 747 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,104.80close 16 May
Upside reference₹2,167.82+3.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,049.55-2.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-6.7% over three months · -15.8% vs Nifty · -20.8% vs its sector · 22% of its three-month range · after results -8.3% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.3% (+6.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GRSEGarden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Ltd. | +0.3% | -2.2% | +1.6% | +12.7% | +12.7% | +10.0% | +14.2%▲ | +17.6%▲ | +25.3%▲ | +22.1%▲ |
| RITESRITES Ltd. | +3.1% | -2.7% | -2.6% | -3.1% | -4.0% | -3.4% | -2.9% | +1.3% | +0.0% | -2.3% |
| SCHAEFFLERSchaeffler India Ltd. | +1.6% | +0.1% | +1.1% | +1.5% | -0.7% | -2.0% | -1.5% | -0.8% | +1.6% | +3.6% |
| CEATLTDCeat Ltd. | +1.0% | +1.5% | +0.8% | +1.7% | -0.5% | -2.4% | -1.7% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -0.3% |
| JWLJupiter Wagons Ltd. | -2.3% | -5.7% | -4.7% | -3.6% | -5.3% | -4.9% | -4.3% | -2.4% | -3.2% | -5.3% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PRECAMPrecision Camshafts Limited | +2.9% | -0.4% | -1.4% | -0.4% | +0.5% | +0.1% | -0.5% | +11.0% | +13.7% | +11.8% |
| MONARCHMonarch Networth Capital Limited | +1.6% | +0.8% | +0.4% | +1.6% | -0.1% | -3.6% | -1.7% | -0.2% | -2.2% | -0.6% |
| TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | +0.4% | -1.0% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +0.8% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -2.0% |
| RATEGAINRategain Travel Technologies Limited | +3.7% | +2.7% | +4.1% | +4.4% | +4.0% | +7.6% | -2.7% | -3.5%▼ | -7.5%▼ | -8.1%▼ |
| MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | -0.6% | -2.2%▼ | +0.1%▼ | +1.2%▼ | -0.0%▼ | -0.4%▼ | -1.2%▼ | +0.5%▼ | -1.1%▼ | +6.3%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 4/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.8% | -1.8% | -1.7% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -1.3% | +1.9% | +1.3% | +4.0% | +2.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 16 May minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GRSEGarden Reach Shipbuilders & Engineers Ltd. | 92.7 | 51% | ₹2,481.70 | +83.7% | +74.6% | — | 100% | +21.2% | +3.2 pp | +21.0% | +22.1% |
| 2 look at | RITESRITES Ltd. | 91.6 | 51% | ₹286.99 | +38.8% | +29.7% | +24.5% | 100% | +15.4% | +4.3 pp | -3.3% | -2.3% |
| 3 look at | SCHAEFFLERSchaeffler India Ltd. | 91.4 | 51% | ₹4,085.30 | +39.3% | +30.2% | +30.8% | 100% | +14.0% | +3.1 pp | +2.5% | +3.6% |
| 4 look at | CEATLTDCeat Ltd. | 90.2 | 51% | ₹3,831.50 | +47.4% | +38.3% | +38.9% | 94% | +25.0% | +8.7 pp | -1.4% | -0.3% |
| 5 look at | JWLJupiter Wagons Ltd. | 89.4 | 51% | ₹422.05 | +35.1% | +25.9% | — | 100% | — | +5.6 pp | -6.4% | -5.3% |
| 747 stay away | MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | 8.3 | 52% | ₹2,104.80 | -6.7% | -15.8% | -20.8% | 22% | -8.3% | -8.0 pp | +5.3% | +6.3% |
| 748 stay away | RATEGAINRategain Travel Technologies Limited | 6.6 | 52% | ₹488.80 | -20.5% | -29.6% | — | 34% | -20.1%* | -5.5 pp | -9.2% | -8.1% |
| 749 stay away | TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | 6.2 | 52% | ₹740.60 | -5.1% | -14.2% | -19.3% | 38% | -19.2% | -10.6 pp | -3.1% | -2.0% |
| 750 stay away | MONARCHMonarch Networth Capital Limited | 5.2 | 52% | ₹314.95 | -12.0% | -21.1% | — | 26% | -11.2%* | -16.9 pp | -1.7% | -0.6% |
| 751 stay away | PRECAMPrecision Camshafts Limited | 4.4 | 52% | ₹173.49 | -19.8% | -28.9% | — | 32% | -29.7%* | -8.2 pp | +10.7% | +11.8% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.