The daily read from the close of 14 May 2025
Computed on the morning of 15 May 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 745 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -2.2% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +3.5% (0 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +0.6%.
The read from the close of 14 May 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 745
NAZARA
Nazara Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
94.8
score /100rank 1 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹305.30close 14 May
Upside reference₹318.60+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹296.68-2.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+33.9% over six months · +29.1% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.4% (+4.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 745
MANAPPURAM
Manappuram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 2 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹232.90close 14 May
Upside reference₹248.80+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹223.74-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+49.6% over six months · +44.8% vs Nifty · +37.0% vs its sector · 92% of its six-month range · after results +2.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.4% (-0.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 745
CEATLTD
Ceat Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
91.4
score /100rank 3 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,895.80close 14 May
Upside reference₹4,091.02+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,722.13-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+40.4% over six months · +35.6% vs Nifty · +38.5% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +7.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.0% (-4.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 745
SHREECEM
Shree Cement Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
90.8
score /100rank 4 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹30,620.00close 14 May
Upside reference₹31,607.49+3.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹29,730.49-2.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+27.1% over six months · +22.3% vs Nifty · +21.2% vs its sector · 93% of its six-month range · after results +7.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.4% (-2.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 745
GODFRYPHLP
Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
90.7
score /100rank 5 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,989.00close 14 May
Upside reference₹3,311.30+10.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,754.66-7.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+46.6% over six months · +41.8% vs Nifty · +45.6% vs its sector · 99% of its six-month range · after results +6.0% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -7.0% (-7.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 745 of 745
PCJEWELLER
PC Jeweller Limited
▼ Stay away
1.7
score /100rank 745 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹12.47close 14 May
Upside reference₹14.21+14.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹11.62-6.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-91.4% over six months · -96.2% vs Nifty · 1% of its six-month range · after results -14.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +1.9% (+1.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 744 of 745
TEJASNET
Tejas Networks Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
3.5
score /100rank 744 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹710.05close 14 May
Upside reference₹759.63+7.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹664.52-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-44.0% over six months · -48.8% vs Nifty · -49.9% vs its sector · 9% of its six-month range · after results -20.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.3% (+2.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 743 of 745
RKFORGE
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
4.1
score /100rank 743 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹583.00close 14 May
Upside reference₹604.27+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹541.88-7.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-37.5% over six months · -42.3% vs Nifty · -39.4% vs its sector · 4% of its six-month range · after results -24.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +4.3% (+4.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 742 of 745
JBMA
JBM Auto Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
5.3
score /100rank 742 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹683.90close 14 May
Upside reference₹717.97+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹634.13-7.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-53.0% over six months · -57.8% vs Nifty · -54.9% vs its sector · 15% of its six-month range · after results -29.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.6% (+5.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 741 of 745
NATCOPHARM
NATCO Pharma Ltd. · HEALTHCARE INDEX
▼ Stay away
5.6
score /100rank 741 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹827.90close 14 May
Upside reference₹866.29+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹784.05-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-39.9% over six months · -44.7% vs Nifty · -40.7% vs its sector · 11% of its six-month range · after results -32.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +4.2% (+3.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | +0.6% | +1.7% | +2.6% | +6.0%▲ | +5.8%▲ | +6.8%▲ | +6.2%▲ | +3.0%▲ | +4.2%▲ | +4.0%▲ |
| MANAPPURAMManappuram Finance Ltd. | -3.1% | -2.9% | -2.9% | -2.1% | -2.7% | -1.2% | -1.7% | -2.4% | -1.1% | -0.7% |
| CEATLTDCeat Ltd. | -1.1% | -3.1% | -2.0% | -1.6% | -2.3% | -1.4% | -3.5% | -5.5% | -4.7% | -4.4% |
| SHREECEMShree Cement Ltd. | +0.9% | +1.8%▲ | +2.1%▲ | +2.9%▲ | +2.2%▲ | +2.8%▲ | +2.1%▲ | +0.2%▲ | +0.4%▲ | -2.7%▲ |
| GODFRYPHLPGodfrey Phillips India Ltd. | +0.7% | -4.2% | -7.5% | -3.9% | -5.2% | -6.9% | -7.4% | -9.0% | -9.2% | -7.4% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PCJEWELLERPC Jeweller Limited | -1.6% | -0.9% | +0.6% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -2.0% | +4.1% | +2.3% | +3.0% | +1.6% |
| TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | -2.6% | +2.9% | +3.3% | +1.8% | +4.5% | +4.8% | +3.7% | +2.9% | +3.4% | +2.9% |
| RKFORGERamkrishna Forgings Ltd. | +5.4% | +5.5% | +4.5% | +5.9% | +4.6% | +5.8% | +4.5% | +3.5% | +4.1% | +4.0% |
| JBMAJBM Auto Ltd. | +2.8% | +4.7% | +5.1% | +5.1% | +4.9% | +4.2% | +7.5% | +5.6% | +5.9% | +5.3% |
| NATCOPHARMNATCO Pharma Ltd. | -2.1% | +0.2% | +3.5% | +2.8% | +5.2% | +6.2% | +5.4% | +4.9% | +5.5% | +3.8% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.8% | -3.8% | -4.9% | -2.9% | -4.1% | -3.8% | -5.9% | -6.6% | -6.5% | -5.7% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 14 May minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | 94.8 | 50% | ₹305.30 | +33.9% | +29.1% | — | 100% | +5.3% | +13.2 pp | +4.4% | +4.0% |
| 2 look at | MANAPPURAMManappuram Finance Ltd. | 92.5 | 50% | ₹232.90 | +49.6% | +44.8% | +37.0% | 92% | +2.6% | +6.7 pp | -0.4% | -0.7% |
| 3 look at | CEATLTDCeat Ltd. | 91.4 | 50% | ₹3,895.80 | +40.4% | +35.6% | +38.5% | 100% | +7.5% | +2.1 pp | -4.0% | -4.4% |
| 4 look at | SHREECEMShree Cement Ltd. | 90.8 | 50% | ₹30,620.00 | +27.1% | +22.3% | +21.2% | 93% | +7.8% | +5.3 pp | -2.4% | -2.7% |
| 5 look at | GODFRYPHLPGodfrey Phillips India Ltd. | 90.7 | 50% | ₹2,989.00 | +46.6% | +41.8% | +45.6% | 99% | +6.0% | +1.6 pp | -7.0% | -7.4% |
| 741 stay away | NATCOPHARMNATCO Pharma Ltd. | 5.6 | 55% | ₹827.90 | -39.9% | -44.7% | -40.7% | 11% | -32.8% | -3.3 pp | +4.2% | +3.8% |
| 742 stay away | JBMAJBM Auto Ltd. | 5.3 | 55% | ₹683.90 | -53.0% | -57.8% | -54.9% | 15% | -29.8% | -3.7 pp | +5.6% | +5.3% |
| 743 stay away | RKFORGERamkrishna Forgings Ltd. | 4.1 | 55% | ₹583.00 | -37.5% | -42.3% | -39.4% | 4% | -24.5% | -5.0 pp | +4.3% | +4.0% |
| 744 stay away | TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | 3.5 | 55% | ₹710.05 | -44.0% | -48.8% | -49.9% | 9% | -20.7% | -5.7 pp | +3.3% | +2.9% |
| 745 stay away | PCJEWELLERPC Jeweller Limited | 1.7 | 55% | ₹12.47 | -91.4% | -96.2% | — | 1% | -14.2% | -15.7 pp | +1.9% | +1.6% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.