The daily read from the close of 12 May 2025
Computed on the morning of 13 May 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 745 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -1.3% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +4.6% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +1.6%.
The read from the close of 12 May 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 745
NAZARA
Nazara Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
95.4
score /100rank 1 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹291.45close 12 May
Upside reference₹304.03+4.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹283.22-2.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+32.2% over six months · +27.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +9.3% (+9.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 745
MANAPPURAM
Manappuram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
94.3
score /100rank 2 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹230.73close 12 May
Upside reference₹246.57+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹221.48-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+46.0% over six months · +41.7% vs Nifty · +33.6% vs its sector · 89% of its six-month range · after results +6.6% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.2% (-0.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 745
UPL
UPL Ltd.
▲ Look at
93.1
score /100rank 3 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹676.85close 12 May
Upside reference₹706.70+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹656.09-3.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+28.3% over six months · +23.9% vs Nifty · 94% of its six-month range · after results +7.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.6% (-6.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 745
SRF
SRF Ltd.
▲ Look at
92.4
score /100rank 4 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,014.50close 12 May
Upside reference₹3,149.28+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,931.24-2.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+33.8% over six months · +29.4% vs Nifty · 96% of its six-month range · after results +7.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.1% (-4.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 745
NAVINFLUOR
Navin Fluorine International Ltd.
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 5 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹4,433.10close 12 May
Upside reference₹4,581.39+3.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹4,302.19-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+33.4% over six months · +29.1% vs Nifty · 84% of its six-month range · after results +4.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.6% (-3.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 745 of 745
PCJEWELLER
PC Jeweller Limited
▼ Stay away
1.5
score /100rank 745 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹12.34close 12 May
Upside reference₹14.07+14.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹11.49-6.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-91.5% over six months · -95.9% vs Nifty · 1% of its six-month range · after results -14.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +4.8% (+4.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 744 of 745
TEJASNET
Tejas Networks Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
3.8
score /100rank 744 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹702.35close 12 May
Upside reference₹750.39+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹657.01-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-45.9% over six months · -50.3% vs Nifty · -50.9% vs its sector · 8% of its six-month range · after results -21.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.4% (+5.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 743 of 745
RKFORGE
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
4.0
score /100rank 743 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹571.50close 12 May
Upside reference₹592.35+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹531.19-7.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-39.5% over six months · -43.8% vs Nifty · -40.0% vs its sector · 1% of its six-month range · after results -24.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +7.0% (+6.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 742 of 745
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
6.2
score /100rank 742 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹113.69close 12 May
Upside reference₹119.23+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹106.28-6.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-43.7% over six months · -48.0% vs Nifty · 2% of its six-month range · after results -9.4% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.0% (-6.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 741 of 745
RATEGAIN
Rategain Travel Technologies Limited
▼ Stay away
6.8
score /100rank 741 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹463.40close 12 May
Upside reference₹478.40+3.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹442.95-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-38.6% over six months · -43.0% vs Nifty · 12% of its six-month range · after results -20.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +13.4% (+13.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | +3.9% | +5.8%▲ | +6.5%▲ | +7.6%▲ | +8.6%▲ | +12.1%▲ | +11.9%▲ | +12.9%▲ | +12.3%▲ | +9.0%▲ |
| MANAPPURAMManappuram Finance Ltd. | +1.6% | +2.0% | -1.1% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -0.2% | -0.7% | +0.8% | +0.3% | -0.5% |
| UPLUPL Ltd. | -3.6% | -4.9% | -5.3% | -5.2% | -4.7% | -6.1% | -5.2% | -5.4% | -6.6% | -6.9% |
| SRFSRF Ltd. | -1.5% | -3.3% | -5.1% | -3.7% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -1.7% | -2.4% | -3.5% | -4.4% |
| NAVINFLUORNavin Fluorine International Ltd. | -0.9% | -2.5% | -3.7% | -4.7% | -2.9% | -1.7% | -3.3% | -1.3% | -3.0% | -3.9% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PCJEWELLERPC Jeweller Limited | +1.7% | +2.1% | +0.5% | +1.2% | +2.7% | +2.4% | +1.1% | +0.0% | +6.2% | +4.5% |
| TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | +3.0% | +2.1% | -0.5% | +5.1% | +5.5% | +4.0% | +6.7% | +7.0% | +5.9% | +5.1% |
| RKFORGERamkrishna Forgings Ltd. | +2.4% | +3.0% | +8.6% | +8.8% | +7.7% | +9.0% | +7.8% | +8.9% | +7.6% | +6.7% |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -1.1% | -1.9% | -1.4% | -2.9% | -5.7% | -6.3%▼ | -6.4%▼ | -1.7%▼ | -3.6%▼ | -6.3%▼ |
| RATEGAINRategain Travel Technologies Limited | +3.7% | +4.9% | +4.8% | +5.1% | +8.9% | +7.8% | +9.4% | +9.6% | +9.3% | +13.1% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -2.1% | -2.6% | -4.2% | -4.8% | -4.1% | -2.8% | -3.5% | -3.9% | -5.2% | -5.9% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 12 May minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | 95.4 | 50% | ₹291.45 | +32.2% | +27.8% | — | 100% | +5.3% | +13.8 pp | +9.3% | +9.0% |
| 2 look at | MANAPPURAMManappuram Finance Ltd. | 94.3 | 50% | ₹230.73 | +46.0% | +41.7% | +33.6% | 89% | +6.6% | +6.4 pp | -0.2% | -0.5% |
| 3 look at | UPLUPL Ltd. | 93.1 | 50% | ₹676.85 | +28.3% | +23.9% | — | 94% | +7.0% | +6.8 pp | -6.6% | -6.9% |
| 4 look at | SRFSRF Ltd. | 92.4 | 50% | ₹3,014.50 | +33.8% | +29.4% | — | 96% | +7.2% | +5.3 pp | -4.1% | -4.4% |
| 5 look at | NAVINFLUORNavin Fluorine International Ltd. | 92.0 | 50% | ₹4,433.10 | +33.4% | +29.1% | — | 84% | +4.1% | +9.6 pp | -3.6% | -3.9% |
| 741 stay away | RATEGAINRategain Travel Technologies Limited | 6.8 | 55% | ₹463.40 | -38.6% | -43.0% | — | 12% | -20.1% | -5.3 pp | +13.4% | +13.1% |
| 742 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 6.2 | 55% | ₹113.69 | -43.7% | -48.0% | — | 2% | -9.4% | -6.8 pp | -6.0% | -6.3% |
| 743 stay away | RKFORGERamkrishna Forgings Ltd. | 4.0 | 55% | ₹571.50 | -39.5% | -43.8% | -40.0% | 1% | -24.5% | -5.1 pp | +7.0% | +6.7% |
| 744 stay away | TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | 3.8 | 55% | ₹702.35 | -45.9% | -50.3% | -50.9% | 8% | -21.7% | -5.3 pp | +5.4% | +5.1% |
| 745 stay away | PCJEWELLERPC Jeweller Limited | 1.5 | 55% | ₹12.34 | -91.5% | -95.9% | — | 1% | -14.2% | -15.8 pp | +4.8% | +4.5% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.