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Week by week · PRADIP

The last ninety sessions read a week at a time: each week's open, high, low and close, how much it gained or lost, the slope and angle the weeks make, which patterns in the library the weekly candles match, and what the next four weeks look like by the arithmetic of this name's own record. A reading of the past, never a forecast.

PRADIP · PRADIP

90 sessions, 5 Feb 2020 to 14 Oct 2021 · 36 weeks the stock page → test patterns on weekly candles → the outlook →
₹1.15last closeas of 14 Oct 2021
+130.00%over 36 weeksfirst open to last close
+3.46%average weekmedian +0.00% · 14 up, 12 down
+3.18%/wkslope · +72°line through weekly closes, R² 0.62
Rising wedgeshapehighs +2.87%/wk · lows +3.36%/wk
1.234 weeks on, middle+6.71% · 44% chance higher

Daily candles, the weeks behind them, and the next four weeks

adjusted for splits and bonuses · hover any week, candle or point for its numbers
week's low to high (tick left = week's open, tick right = week's close) line through weekly closes through highs through lows range 4 in 5 earlier windows ended in middle of the readings
1.480.890.30Week of 3 Feb 2020 (3 sessions): open 0.50, high 0.55, low 0.45, close 0.45, -10.00% open to closeWeek of 10 Feb 2020 (5 sessions): open 0.45, high 0.50, low 0.40, close 0.50, +11.11% open to close, +11.11% on the week beforeWeek of 17 Feb 2020 (4 sessions): open 0.45, high 0.45, low 0.40, close 0.40, -11.11% open to close, -20.00% on the week beforeWeek of 24 Feb 2020 (4 sessions): open 0.40, high 0.45, low 0.40, close 0.40, +0.00% open to close, +0.00% on the week beforeWeek of 2 Mar 2020 (5 sessions): open 0.35, high 0.45, low 0.35, close 0.35, +0.00% open to close, -12.50% on the week beforeWeek of 9 Mar 2020 (3 sessions): open 0.30, high 0.40, low 0.30, close 0.35, +16.67% open to close, +0.00% on the week beforeWeek of 16 Mar 2020 (5 sessions): open 0.30, high 0.40, low 0.30, close 0.35, +16.67% open to close, +0.00% on the week beforeWeek of 23 Mar 2020 (5 sessions): open 0.40, high 0.40, low 0.30, close 0.35, -12.50% open to close, +0.00% on the week beforeWeek of 30 Mar 2020 (4 sessions): open 0.35, high 0.45, low 0.30, close 0.45, +28.57% open to close, +28.57% on the week beforeWeek of 6 Apr 2020 (3 sessions): open 0.50, high 0.60, low 0.50, close 0.60, +20.00% open to close, +33.33% on the week beforeWeek of 13 Apr 2020 (1 sessions): open 0.65, high 0.65, low 0.65, close 0.65, +0.00% open to close, +8.33% on the week beforeWeek of 11 Jan 2021 (3 sessions): open 1.00, high 1.10, low 0.90, close 1.00, +0.00% open to close, +53.85% on the week beforeWeek of 8 Mar 2021 (1 sessions): open 0.95, high 1.05, low 0.95, close 1.05, +10.53% open to close, +5.00% on the week beforeWeek of 15 Mar 2021 (1 sessions): open 1.00, high 1.00, low 1.00, close 1.00, +0.00% open to close, -4.76% on the week beforeWeek of 12 Apr 2021 (1 sessions): open 0.95, high 0.95, low 0.95, close 0.95, +0.00% open to close, -5.00% on the week beforeWeek of 26 Apr 2021 (1 sessions): open 0.90, high 0.90, low 0.90, close 0.90, +0.00% open to close, -5.26% on the week beforeWeek of 3 May 2021 (1 sessions): open 0.85, high 0.85, low 0.85, close 0.85, +0.00% open to close, -5.56% on the week beforeWeek of 10 May 2021 (4 sessions): open 0.80, high 0.90, low 0.75, close 0.90, +12.50% open to close, +5.88% on the week beforeWeek of 17 May 2021 (5 sessions): open 0.90, high 1.05, low 0.85, close 1.05, +16.67% open to close, +16.67% on the week beforeWeek of 24 May 2021 (2 sessions): open 1.05, high 1.15, low 1.00, close 1.05, +0.00% open to close, +0.00% on the week beforeWeek of 31 May 2021 (1 sessions): open 1.05, high 1.10, low 1.05, close 1.10, +4.76% open to close, +4.76% on the week beforeWeek of 7 Jun 2021 (1 sessions): open 1.10, high 1.15, low 1.05, close 1.15, +4.55% open to close, +4.55% on the week beforeWeek of 14 Jun 2021 (1 sessions): open 1.10, high 1.10, low 1.10, close 1.10, +0.00% open to close, -4.35% on the week beforeWeek of 28 Jun 2021 (1 sessions): open 1.05, high 1.05, low 1.05, close 1.05, +0.00% open to close, -4.55% on the week beforeWeek of 5 Jul 2021 (1 sessions): open 1.05, high 1.05, low 1.05, close 1.05, +0.00% open to close, +0.00% on the week beforeWeek of 12 Jul 2021 (4 sessions): open 1.10, high 1.20, low 1.00, close 1.10, +0.00% open to close, +4.76% on the week beforeWeek of 19 Jul 2021 (1 sessions): open 1.10, high 1.10, low 1.05, close 1.05, -4.55% open to close, -4.55% on the week beforeWeek of 26 Jul 2021 (1 sessions): open 1.00, high 1.00, low 1.00, close 1.00, +0.00% open to close, -4.76% on the week beforeWeek of 2 Aug 2021 (1 sessions): open 0.95, high 1.00, low 0.95, close 1.00, +5.26% open to close, +0.00% on the week beforeWeek of 9 Aug 2021 (1 sessions): open 0.95, high 1.00, low 0.95, close 0.95, +0.00% open to close, -5.00% on the week beforeWeek of 30 Aug 2021 (1 sessions): open 0.90, high 1.00, low 0.90, close 0.95, +5.56% open to close, +0.00% on the week beforeWeek of 13 Sep 2021 (2 sessions): open 0.95, high 1.00, low 0.90, close 0.95, +0.00% open to close, +0.00% on the week beforeWeek of 20 Sep 2021 (3 sessions): open 0.95, high 1.00, low 0.95, close 1.00, +5.26% open to close, +5.26% on the week beforeWeek of 27 Sep 2021 (3 sessions): open 1.00, high 1.00, low 0.90, close 0.95, -5.00% open to close, -5.00% on the week beforeWeek of 4 Oct 2021 (3 sessions): open 0.90, high 1.00, low 0.90, close 1.00, +11.11% open to close, +5.26% on the week beforeWeek of 11 Oct 2021 (4 sessions): open 1.00, high 1.15, low 1.00, close 1.15, +15.00% open to close, +15.00% on the week beforenext 4 weeksWhere four in five of this name's earlier windows of the same length endedWeek +1: middle of the readings 1.17 (+1.97%); range 1.09 to 1.25; 42% chance the close is higher+1wWeek +2: middle of the readings 1.20 (+3.99%); range 1.04 to 1.29; 47% chance the close is higher+2wWeek +3: middle of the readings 1.22 (+6.08%); range 1.01 to 1.38; 53% chance the close is higher+3wWeek +4: middle of the readings 1.23 (+6.71%); range 1.01 to 1.48; 44% chance the close is higher+4w5 Feb 2020 O 0.50 H 0.50 L 0.50 C 0.506 Feb 2020 O 0.45 H 0.55 L 0.45 C 0.507 Feb 2020 O 0.45 H 0.45 L 0.45 C 0.4510 Feb 2020 O 0.45 H 0.50 L 0.45 C 0.4511 Feb 2020 O 0.45 H 0.45 L 0.45 C 0.4512 Feb 2020 O 0.45 H 0.45 L 0.45 C 0.4513 Feb 2020 O 0.45 H 0.45 L 0.40 C 0.4514 Feb 2020 O 0.40 H 0.50 L 0.40 C 0.5017 Feb 2020 O 0.45 H 0.45 L 0.45 C 0.4518 Feb 2020 O 0.40 H 0.40 L 0.40 C 0.4019 Feb 2020 O 0.45 H 0.45 L 0.40 C 0.4520 Feb 2020 O 0.45 H 0.45 L 0.40 C 0.4024 Feb 2020 O 0.40 H 0.45 L 0.40 C 0.4525 Feb 2020 O 0.40 H 0.45 L 0.40 C 0.4526 Feb 2020 O 0.40 H 0.45 L 0.40 C 0.4528 Feb 2020 O 0.40 H 0.45 L 0.40 C 0.402 Mar 2020 O 0.35 H 0.40 L 0.35 C 0.403 Mar 2020 O 0.45 H 0.45 L 0.35 C 0.454 Mar 2020 O 0.45 H 0.45 L 0.45 C 0.455 Mar 2020 O 0.40 H 0.45 L 0.40 C 0.406 Mar 2020 O 0.35 H 0.35 L 0.35 C 0.359 Mar 2020 O 0.30 H 0.35 L 0.30 C 0.3512 Mar 2020 O 0.35 H 0.35 L 0.35 C 0.3513 Mar 2020 O 0.30 H 0.40 L 0.30 C 0.3516 Mar 2020 O 0.30 H 0.35 L 0.30 C 0.3517 Mar 2020 O 0.30 H 0.35 L 0.30 C 0.3518 Mar 2020 O 0.30 H 0.40 L 0.30 C 0.3019 Mar 2020 O 0.30 H 0.35 L 0.30 C 0.3520 Mar 2020 O 0.35 H 0.35 L 0.35 C 0.3523 Mar 2020 O 0.40 H 0.40 L 0.30 C 0.3524 Mar 2020 O 0.30 H 0.35 L 0.30 C 0.3525 Mar 2020 O 0.35 H 0.35 L 0.30 C 0.3526 Mar 2020 O 0.30 H 0.40 L 0.30 C 0.3027 Mar 2020 O 0.30 H 0.35 L 0.30 C 0.3530 Mar 2020 O 0.35 H 0.40 L 0.30 C 0.3031 Mar 2020 O 0.35 H 0.35 L 0.30 C 0.351 Apr 2020 O 0.40 H 0.40 L 0.40 C 0.403 Apr 2020 O 0.45 H 0.45 L 0.45 C 0.457 Apr 2020 O 0.50 H 0.50 L 0.50 C 0.508 Apr 2020 O 0.55 H 0.55 L 0.55 C 0.559 Apr 2020 O 0.60 H 0.60 L 0.60 C 0.6013 Apr 2020 O 0.65 H 0.65 L 0.65 C 0.6511 Jan 2021 O 1.00 H 1.00 L 0.90 C 1.0012 Jan 2021 O 1.05 H 1.05 L 1.05 C 1.0513 Jan 2021 O 1.10 H 1.10 L 1.00 C 1.009 Mar 2021 O 0.95 H 1.05 L 0.95 C 1.0516 Mar 2021 O 1.00 H 1.00 L 1.00 C 1.0012 Apr 2021 O 0.95 H 0.95 L 0.95 C 0.9526 Apr 2021 O 0.90 H 0.90 L 0.90 C 0.903 May 2021 O 0.85 H 0.85 L 0.85 C 0.8510 May 2021 O 0.80 H 0.80 L 0.80 C 0.8011 May 2021 O 0.80 H 0.85 L 0.75 C 0.8512 May 2021 O 0.85 H 0.90 L 0.80 C 0.9014 May 2021 O 0.85 H 0.90 L 0.85 C 0.9017 May 2021 O 0.90 H 0.90 L 0.85 C 0.8518 May 2021 O 0.85 H 0.90 L 0.85 C 0.9019 May 2021 O 0.90 H 0.95 L 0.90 C 0.9520 May 2021 O 1.00 H 1.00 L 1.00 C 1.0021 May 2021 O 1.00 H 1.05 L 1.00 C 1.0524 May 2021 O 1.05 H 1.10 L 1.00 C 1.1025 May 2021 O 1.05 H 1.15 L 1.05 C 1.0531 May 2021 O 1.05 H 1.10 L 1.05 C 1.107 Jun 2021 O 1.10 H 1.15 L 1.05 C 1.1514 Jun 2021 O 1.10 H 1.10 L 1.10 C 1.1028 Jun 2021 O 1.05 H 1.05 L 1.05 C 1.055 Jul 2021 O 1.05 H 1.05 L 1.05 C 1.0512 Jul 2021 O 1.10 H 1.10 L 1.05 C 1.0513 Jul 2021 O 1.00 H 1.10 L 1.00 C 1.1014 Jul 2021 O 1.10 H 1.15 L 1.05 C 1.1515 Jul 2021 O 1.20 H 1.20 L 1.10 C 1.1019 Jul 2021 O 1.10 H 1.10 L 1.05 C 1.0526 Jul 2021 O 1.00 H 1.00 L 1.00 C 1.002 Aug 2021 O 0.95 H 1.00 L 0.95 C 1.009 Aug 2021 O 0.95 H 1.00 L 0.95 C 0.9530 Aug 2021 O 0.90 H 1.00 L 0.90 C 0.9515 Sep 2021 O 0.95 H 1.00 L 0.90 C 0.9516 Sep 2021 O 0.95 H 0.95 L 0.90 C 0.9522 Sep 2021 O 0.95 H 1.00 L 0.95 C 1.0023 Sep 2021 O 1.00 H 1.00 L 0.95 C 1.0024 Sep 2021 O 1.00 H 1.00 L 1.00 C 1.0027 Sep 2021 O 1.00 H 1.00 L 1.00 C 1.0029 Sep 2021 O 0.95 H 0.95 L 0.95 C 0.9530 Sep 2021 O 0.90 H 1.00 L 0.90 C 0.954 Oct 2021 O 0.90 H 1.00 L 0.90 C 0.955 Oct 2021 O 1.00 H 1.00 L 1.00 C 1.006 Oct 2021 O 1.00 H 1.00 L 1.00 C 1.0011 Oct 2021 O 1.00 H 1.05 L 1.00 C 1.0012 Oct 2021 O 1.05 H 1.05 L 1.05 C 1.0513 Oct 2021 O 1.10 H 1.10 L 1.10 C 1.1014 Oct 2021 O 1.10 H 1.15 L 1.05 C 1.15Line through the weekly highs: +2.87% a week, +71°, R² 0.62Line through the weekly lows: +3.36% a week, +73°, R² 0.59Line through the weekly closes: +3.18% a week, +72°, R² 0.62closes +3.18%/wk · +72°5 Feb 20209 Mar 202114 Oct 2021

The reading

36 weeks: +130.00% from the first open to the last close, an average +3.46% a week

14 weeks closed above the week before, 12 below. The median week moved +0.00%, and a typical week's move either side of the average was 13.18%. The best week was +53.85% (week of 2021-01-11), the worst -20.00% (week of 2020-02-17). The second half of the window ran +1.56% a week against +5.47% in the first: the move has been losing pace.

The slope: closes rising 3.18% a week, angle +72°, R² 0.62

A straight line through the weekly closes (on a log scale) climbs 3.18% a week. On the page's fixed scale, where 1% a week is 45°, that is +72°. R² 0.62 says how closely the weeks hug the line: close to 1 is a clean, steady trend. The line through the weekly highs runs +2.87% a week (+71°), the one through the lows +3.36% (+73°).

The shape: rising wedge

Both climbing, but the lows faster than the highs, so the range is squeezing as it rises. Conventionally read as an uptrend losing breadth. Week on week, 10 of 35 weeks made a higher high and 12 of 35 a higher low. The gap between the two lines went from 21.9% to 3.1%.

The patterns on the weekly candles: 5 in play, 5 with a record worth counting

Inside bar, then a breakout (just completed, up): four weeks later it went its way 2106 of 4997 times across 2162 names; Move of X% within M candles (just completed, up): four weeks later it went its way 7 of 9 times on this name; Marubozu (just completed, up): four weeks later it went its way 4 of 8 times on this name; Moving-average cross (completed recently, down): four weeks later it went its way 2928 of 5006 times across 2318 names; Gap at the open (completed recently, down): four weeks later it went its way 12 of 24 times on this name.

Four weeks on, by the arithmetic: middle of the readings 1.23 (+6.71%), 44% chance the close is higher

From the last close of 1.15: if the window's average week carried on it would print 1.28 (+11.33%); if the close line's slope carried on, 1.30 (+13.34%). Four in five of this name's earlier four-week windows ended between 1.01 and 1.48 (-12.00% to +28.41%). The middle figure is the plain average of those three centres. None of these is a level the price is going to; they are what the record prints.

Our arithmetic from stored candles: no recommendation, no forecast of any price. The paths below are what the numbers would print if the past simply carried on, and the range is where this name's own earlier moves ended. The decision, and the risk, are yours.

The next four weeks, by the arithmetic

from the last close of ₹1.15 · not a forecast
WeekIf the average week carried onIf the slope carried onRange, 4 in 5 earlier windowsMiddle of the readingsChance higher
+1 week 1.18 +2.72% 1.19 +3.18% 1.09 – 1.25 -5.00% · +8.67% 1.17 +1.97% 42% base 40%
+2 weeks 1.21 +5.51% 1.22 +6.46% 1.04 – 1.29 -9.26% · +12.38% 1.20 +3.99% 47% base 31%
+3 weeks 1.25 +8.38% 1.26 +9.85% 1.01 – 1.38 -11.94% · +20.00% 1.22 +6.08% 53% base 40%
+4 weeks 1.28 +11.33% 1.30 +13.34% 1.01 – 1.48 -12.00% · +28.41% 1.23 +6.71% 44% base 38%

The ranges and the chance are counted from this name's own earlier windows of the same length over the last 41 weeks on file; the chance is pulled toward the record of any weekly pattern in play. The middle figure is the plain average of the three centres: the average-week path, the slope path and the median of the earlier windows.

Patterns on the weekly candles

every pattern in the library, run on 41 weekly candles · open the tester →
PatternStateDirectionWhat it sawFour weeks after earlier hits
Inside bar, then a breakout just completed · week of 11 Oct 2021 up An inside candle (0.90–1.00) within the one before it (0.90–1.00), then a close at 1.15 above that range. went its way 2106 of 4997 across 2162 names
Move of X% within M candles just completed · week of 11 Oct 2021 up +5.26% in the last 3 candles, 0.95 to 1.00. went its way 7 of 9 on this name, median -5.00%
Marubozu just completed · week of 11 Oct 2021 up Body 0.15 is 100% of the range: opened near the low and closed near the high (1.00→1.15). went its way 4 of 8 on this name, median -9.31%
Moving-average cross completed recently · week of 20 Sep 2021 down The 9-candle average (1.01) crossed below the 21-candle average (1.01). went its way 2928 of 5006 across 2318 names
Gap at the open completed recently · week of 04 Oct 2021 down Opened at 0.90, -5.26% below the previous close of 0.95. went its way 12 of 24 on this name, median +0.00%

Every week

open = first session's open, close = last session's close, high and low = the week's extremes
Week ofSessionsOpenHighLowCloseOpen to closeOn the week beforeHigh–low range
11 Oct 2021 4 1.00 1.15 1.00 1.15 +0.15 +15.00% +15.00% 15.00%
4 Oct 2021 3 0.90 1.00 0.90 1.00 +0.10 +11.11% +5.26% 11.11%
27 Sep 2021 3 1.00 1.00 0.90 0.95 -0.05 -5.00% -5.00% 11.11%
20 Sep 2021 3 0.95 1.00 0.95 1.00 +0.05 +5.26% +5.26% 5.26%
13 Sep 2021 2 0.95 1.00 0.90 0.95 +0.00 +0.00% +0.00% 11.11%
30 Aug 2021 1 0.90 1.00 0.90 0.95 +0.05 +5.56% +0.00% 11.11%
9 Aug 2021 1 0.95 1.00 0.95 0.95 +0.00 +0.00% -5.00% 5.26%
2 Aug 2021 1 0.95 1.00 0.95 1.00 +0.05 +5.26% +0.00% 5.26%
26 Jul 2021 1 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 +0.00 +0.00% -4.76% 0.00%
19 Jul 2021 1 1.10 1.10 1.05 1.05 -0.05 -4.55% -4.55% 4.76%
12 Jul 2021 4 1.10 1.20 1.00 1.10 +0.00 +0.00% +4.76% 20.00%
5 Jul 2021 1 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 +0.00 +0.00% +0.00% 0.00%
28 Jun 2021 1 1.05 1.05 1.05 1.05 +0.00 +0.00% -4.55% 0.00%
14 Jun 2021 1 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.10 +0.00 +0.00% -4.35% 0.00%
7 Jun 2021 1 1.10 1.15 1.05 1.15 +0.05 +4.55% +4.55% 9.52%
31 May 2021 1 1.05 1.10 1.05 1.10 +0.05 +4.76% +4.76% 4.76%
24 May 2021 2 1.05 1.15 1.00 1.05 +0.00 +0.00% +0.00% 15.00%
17 May 2021 5 0.90 1.05 0.85 1.05 +0.15 +16.67% +16.67% 23.53%
10 May 2021 4 0.80 0.90 0.75 0.90 +0.10 +12.50% +5.88% 20.00%
3 May 2021 1 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 +0.00 +0.00% -5.56% 0.00%
26 Apr 2021 1 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 +0.00 +0.00% -5.26% 0.00%
12 Apr 2021 1 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 +0.00 +0.00% -5.00% 0.00%
15 Mar 2021 1 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 +0.00 +0.00% -4.76% 0.00%
8 Mar 2021 1 0.95 1.05 0.95 1.05 +0.10 +10.53% +5.00% 10.53%
11 Jan 2021 3 1.00 1.10 0.90 1.00 +0.00 +0.00% +53.85% 22.22%
13 Apr 2020 1 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 +0.00 +0.00% +8.33% 0.00%
6 Apr 2020 3 0.50 0.60 0.50 0.60 +0.10 +20.00% +33.33% 20.00%
30 Mar 2020 4 0.35 0.45 0.30 0.45 +0.10 +28.57% +28.57% 50.00%
23 Mar 2020 5 0.40 0.40 0.30 0.35 -0.05 -12.50% +0.00% 33.33%
16 Mar 2020 5 0.30 0.40 0.30 0.35 +0.05 +16.67% +0.00% 33.33%
9 Mar 2020 3 0.30 0.40 0.30 0.35 +0.05 +16.67% +0.00% 33.33%
2 Mar 2020 5 0.35 0.45 0.35 0.35 +0.00 +0.00% -12.50% 28.57%
24 Feb 2020 4 0.40 0.45 0.40 0.40 +0.00 +0.00% +0.00% 12.50%
17 Feb 2020 4 0.45 0.45 0.40 0.40 -0.05 -11.11% -20.00% 12.50%
10 Feb 2020 5 0.45 0.50 0.40 0.50 +0.05 +11.11% +11.11% 25.00%
3 Feb 2020 · window starts mid-week 3 0.50 0.55 0.45 0.45 -0.05 -10.00% — 22.22%

Our arithmetic from stored candles: no recommendation, no forecast of any price. The paths below are what the numbers would print if the past simply carried on, and the range is where this name's own earlier moves ended. The decision, and the risk, are yours.

How week by week is counted

1. The weeks

The last ninety sessions (the window the stock page draws), adjusted for splits and bonuses, grouped by calendar week. A week's open is its first session's open, its close the last session's close, its high and low the extremes of its sessions. The first week can be cut short when the window starts mid-week; it is marked, and its change on the week before is left out of the averages.

2. The growth

Each week's change from open to close, and from the week before's close to its own. The averages are over whole weeks: the mean and median weekly change, the spread either side of the mean, the up and down weeks, the best and the worst, and whether the second half of the window moved faster or slower than the first.

3. The slope and the angle

A least-squares straight line through the weekly closes, and one each through the weekly highs and lows, fitted on a log scale so a slope reads as a steady percentage a week. The angle puts that slope on a fixed scale where 1% a week is 45°, so two names can be compared; the angle a chart happens to draw depends only on how the axes are stretched. R² (0 to 1) says how closely the weeks hug the close line. The two outer lines name the shape: a rising or falling channel, a wedge, a widening or narrowing range, a triangle.

4. The patterns

Every pattern in the library run on this name's weekly candles (about two years on file). Those that completed on the latest week, completed recently, or are building are listed with what followed their earlier hits four weeks on: on this name when it has five or more, else across every name the library has seen them on.

5. The next four weeks

Three readings for each week ahead, all from the last close: the window's average week compounded; the close line's slope carried on; and the 20th to 80th percentile of this name's own earlier moves over that many weeks (the last 104 weeks), with its median. The middle of the readings is the plain average of the three centres. The chance the close is higher is the same base rate and pattern evidence the outlook uses. These are what the record prints if the past simply carried on; nothing here is a forecast, and the ranges show how far it has strayed before.