Hilton Metal Forging Limited · HILTON
The read
made on the morning of 24 May 2025 for Q4FY25Neutral — middle fifth of the companies reporting that week: rank 149 of 273, composite 47.4 out of 100. Moves 4.1% on results on average.
A neutral read points neither way; this site tallies it as such in its track record.
How it went: went nowhere much -2.9% vs market over the ten sessions after 30 May 2025 — the post-mortem is further down.
A read is a position on a screen, not advice. The label says where the composite ranked, the tally says how often that has gone the way it pointed, and the choice is the reader's.
The read · morning of 24 May 2025
for Q4FY25 on 30 May 2025Moves 4.1% on results on average.
Each layer is a percentile among this week's reporters (0–100). A missing layer's weight is spread over the others.
Composite = 0.38 × 46.3 + 0.25 × 19.2 + 0.38 × 67.3 = 47.4
Reactivity
Over the last 11 results the average absolute move from the session before the announcement to the session after was 4.1%. The record is shorter than the 12 results the fullest profiles rest on. The largest was 9.9% (Q3FY23). Historically the pre-result 30-day trend continued through the announcement in 89% of classified quarters.
- Typical move (T-1 → T+1)
- 4.1%
- Median move
- 2.4%
- Biggest
- +9.9% (Q3FY23)
- Up after 10 sessions
- 27% of 11
- Mean 10-session return
- +1.5%
- Mean 10-session vs market
- +0.3%
- Volume on result day
- 1.3× normal
- Pattern
- Continuation
Going in
Up 19.6% over 30 sessions and -28.7% over 90 sessions. Sitting at the 38th percentile of its 52-week range. Closed above its 20-day average on 27% of the last 30 sessions. Delivery volumes have been running 3.1 points lower than the 90-day average. High expectations are already built into the price.
Normally tracks NIFTY 50 at a correlation of 0.22; over the last 30 sessions that has run at 0.57 (-3.4 standard deviations from its own norm). Over 30 sessions it has outrun what its beta of 0.85 to the index would account for, by 9.3 percentage points.
No clean sector benchmark for this stock, so sector-relative strength is not part of its score this week.
Where it sits
No clean sector benchmark over 90 sessions: -33.7% against the market. Up and right is ahead of both; down and left is behind both.
Numbers behind the scores
- Share of reactions upward
- 45%
- Continuation ratio
- 89%
- Move spread (SD)
- 3.2%
- Average gap at open
- +0.33%
- 30-session return
- +19.6%
- 90-session return
- -28.7%
- Since last result
- +12.8% (62 sessions)
- 20-DMA vs 50-DMA
- -3.5%
- Sessions above 20-DMA
- 27%
- Position in 52-week range
- 38%
- Delivery, 30 / 90 sessions
- 54.6% / 57.6%
- Delivery trend
- -3.1 pp
- Benchmark
- NIFTY 50
- Correlation, 30 sessions / norm
- 0.57 / 0.22
- Correlation break
- -3.35 SD
- Beta, 30 / 90 sessions
- 2.45 / 2.27
- Alpha, 30 sessions
- +9.3%
- Market regime
- broad weakness
- Sector index
- none
- vs sector, 30 / 90 sessions
- — / —
- Sector correlation / norm
- — / —
- Quadrant score
- 50
- Evidence
- partial · 11 results used
- Price band
- low
What its results record says
16 results · ten sessions after each · from the close before the resultThis is the range each past result travelled, on closing prices. It is a description of the past, not a level for the next one, and this site gives no entry, exit or loss-limit levels.
Last 90 sessions
daily candles · adjusted for splits and bonuses · test patterns → · the outlook for the coming hours and days → · week by week: slope, patterns, next four weeks →Against the market
same 90 sessions · every line starts at 0%No sector index is mapped for this company, so only the market is shown.
Around the last result · Q1FY27
ten sessions in, the result day, ten sessions out · from the close before the resultTen sessions after each result
share vs market · move from the close before the resultResults record
move from the close before each result| Quarter | Result day | Gap | T+1 | T+10 | Market T+10 | vs market | vs sector | Vol × | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1FY27 | 17 Aug 2026 | +4.5% | +1.8% | -2.9% | -1.2% | -1.7% | — | 2.0 | Rev 167% · PAT 1,116% YoY |
| Q4FY26 | 1 Jun 2026 | -5.0% | -9.7% | -11.5% | +1.3% | -12.8% | — | 0.7 | Rev 13% · PAT -97% YoY |
| Q3FY26 | 16 Feb 2026 | +3.8% | -10.6% | -35.0% | -2.4% | -32.6% | — | 3.0 | Rev 73% · PAT 212% YoY |
| Q2FY26 | 14 Nov 2025 | +10.0% | +13.0% | +0.3% | +1.3% | -1.0% | — | 0.5 | Rev 100% · PAT 180% YoY |
| Q1FY26 | 18 Aug 2025 | -2.4% | -6.4% | -9.0% | -0.2% | -8.8% | — | 2.0 | Rev -35% · PAT -74% YoY |
| Q4FY25 | 2 Jun 2025 | +0.0% | +0.3% | -2.1% | +0.8% | -2.9% | — | 0.2 | Rev 33% · PAT 724% YoY |
| Q3FY25 | 17 Feb 2025 | -3.8% | -5.6% | -1.9% | -3.7% | +1.8% | — | 1.0 | — |
| Q2FY25 | 18 Nov 2024 | +0.0% | +0.6% | +3.0% | +3.2% | -0.1% | — | 0.6 | — |
| Q1FY25 | 14 Aug 2024 | +1.9% | -2.2% | -0.2% | +4.2% | -4.4% | — | 0.9 | — |
| Q4FY24 | 31 May 2024 | -2.0% | +0.4% | -7.1% | +4.3% | -11.5% | — | 1.6 | — |
| Q3FY24 | 12 Feb 2024 | -0.7% | -6.4% | +7.7% | +1.6% | +6.1% | — | 0.8 | Rev -86% · PAT -83% YoY |
| Q2FY24 | 13 Nov 2023 | +4.1% | -2.3% | -2.3% | +3.5% | -5.8% | — | 1.0 | Rev 28% · PAT 110% YoY |
| Q1FY24 | 8 Aug 2023 | +2.4% | -4.7% | -8.2% | -0.8% | -7.4% | — | 1.1 | — |
| Q4FY23 | 3 May 2023 | +0.6% | +2.0% | -4.4% | +0.2% | -4.6% | — | 1.0 | — |
| Q3FY23 | 8 Feb 2023 | -1.8% | +9.9% | +39.3% | -0.9% | +40.3% | — | 0.2 | — |
| Q2FY23 | 10 Nov 2022 | +5.0% | -8.8% | -6.3% | +1.8% | -8.2% | — | 5.0 | — |
Reported figures
₹ crore; from the exchange's XBRL filings| Quarter | Period end | Revenue | YoY | PAT | YoY | Op. margin | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1FY27 | 30 Jun 2026 | 58 | +167.4% | 1 | +1115.8% | 6.9% | 0.35 |
| Q4FY26 | 31 Mar 2026 | 50 | +13.0% | 0 | -96.9% | 5.0% | 0.04 |
| Q3FY26 | 31 Dec 2025 | 69 | +73.3% | 1 | +211.7% | 5.0% | 1.22 |
| Q2FY26 | 30 Sep 2025 | 87 | +100.3% | 1 | +180.3% | 3.9% | 0.74 |
| Q1FY26 | 30 Jun 2025 | 22 | -35.2% | 0 | -74.2% | 8.5% | 0.06 |
| Q4FY25 | 31 Mar 2025 | 44 | +32.9% | 4 | +724.3% | 5.1% | 1.93 |
| Q3FY25 | 31 Dec 2024 | 40 | — | 0 | — | 6.9% | 0.19 |
| Q2FY25 | 30 Sep 2024 | 43 | — | 0 | — | 6.1% | 0.30 |
| Q1FY25 | 30 Jun 2024 | 34 | — | 0 | — | 7.3% | 0.27 |
| Q4FY24 | 31 Mar 2024 | 33 | — | 0 | — | 8.0% | 0.52 |
| Q3FY24 | 31 Dec 2023 | 41 | -85.6% | 2 | -83.2% | 10.5% | 1.00 |
| Q2FY24 | 30 Sep 2023 | 34 | +27.6% | 2 | +110.0% | 11.1% | 1.11 |
Post-mortems
Every result in full →- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Fell 17% in the 30 sessions before the result — expectations were already low.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Delivery share rose 10 points in the fortnight before — someone was taking stock home.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Fell 24% in the 30 sessions before the result — expectations were already low.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Went into the result within 5% of its 52-week low.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Ran up 15% in the 30 sessions before the result — a good number had little left to reward.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Its continuation habit held this quarter.
- Fell 33% in the 30 sessions before the result — expectations were already low.
- The market itself moved -3.7% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Went into the result within 5% of its 52-week low.
- Delivery share rose 10 points in the fortnight before — someone was taking stock home.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- The market itself moved +3.2% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Delivery share rose 7 points in the fortnight before — someone was taking stock home.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- The market itself moved +4.2% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Went into the result within 5% of its 52-week low.
- Delivery share rose 6 points in the fortnight before — someone was taking stock home.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- The market itself moved +4.3% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Volume ran 2.1x its prior month in the fortnight before.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- The market itself moved +3.5% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.