Happy Forgings Limited · HAPPYFORGE
The daily read · from the close of 6 Oct
That day's whole fieldrank 152 of 856
Nifty in 10 sessions
In the upper part of the field
-10.1% over 30 sessions · +45.1% vs Nifty over 90 · 70% of its 52-week range · delivery rising. Layer percentiles across the field: L2 momentum 82.1, L3 vs market 5.7, L5 own record 68.2. The references are its own median ten-session rise and fall over the past year — arithmetic on its own history, not a price goal.
Its daily score over the last 60 sessions, oldest to newest; green when it sat in the top fifth, red in the bottom fifth. Of the 50 judged, 35 went the way its half of the field leaned.
How it has moved
All performers| Window | Move | vs Nifty | vs sector | vs itself | How it moved | Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week28 Sep on · 6 sessions | -3.6% | -2.0% | — | 17th pct | 2 of 6 up | 570 of 856 | |
| Month1 Sep on · 24 sessions | -17.5% | -12.1% | — | 0th pct | 6 of 24 up | 830 of 856 | |
| Quarter7 Jul on · 64 sessions | +30.3% | +37.1% | — | 80th pct | 33 of 64 up | 71 of 856 | |
| Half year7 Apr on · 125 sessions | +63.5% | +64.4% | — | 84th pct | 64 of 125 up | 106 of 855 | |
| Year7 Oct on · 246 sessions | +112.5% | +121.7% | — | 87th pct | 125 of 246 up | 30 of 855 |
The read
made on the morning of 16 May 2026 for Q4FY26Favourable — second fifth of the companies reporting that week: rank 87 of 225, composite 57.4 out of 100. Moves 2.9% on results on average; rising broadly in line with the index.
Across every post-mortem on this site, companies read favourable went up over the next ten sessions — the way the label points — in 336 of 1073 (31%), averaging -0.8% against the market. Track record
How it went: went against the read -3.1% vs market over the ten sessions after 21 May 2026 — the post-mortem is further down.
A read is a position on a screen, not advice. The label says where the composite ranked, the tally says how often that has gone the way it pointed, and the choice is the reader's.
The read · morning of 16 May 2026
for Q4FY26 on 21 May 2026Moves 2.9% on results on average; rising broadly in line with the index.
Each layer is a percentile among this week's reporters (0–100). A missing layer's weight is spread over the others.
Composite = 0.38 × 29.6 + 0.25 × 94.2 + 0.38 × 60.7 = 57.4
Reactivity
Over the last 9 results the average absolute move from the session before the announcement to the session after was 2.9%. The record is shorter than the 12 results the fullest profiles rest on. The largest was -5.7% (Q3FY25). The pre-result trend has continued and reversed in roughly equal measure, so the trend carries no historical information here.
- Typical move (T-1 → T+1)
- 2.9%
- Median move
- 2.8%
- Biggest
- -5.7% (Q3FY25)
- Up after 10 sessions
- 44% of 9
- Mean 10-session return
- +1.2%
- Mean 10-session vs market
- +1.0%
- Volume on result day
- 1.9× normal
- Pattern
- Mixed
Going in
Up 19.9% over 30 sessions and 23.5% over 90 sessions. Sitting at the 88th percentile of its 52-week range. Closed above its 20-day average on 87% of the last 30 sessions. Delivery volumes have been running 1.5 points lower than the 90-day average. High expectations are already built into the price.
Normally tracks NIFTY 50 at a correlation of 0.41; over the last 30 sessions that has run at 0.40 (0.1 standard deviations from its own norm). Over 30 sessions it has outrun what its beta of 0.88 to the index would account for, by 14.8 percentage points. The move is broadly in line with the market's own direction.
No clean sector benchmark for this stock, so sector-relative strength is not part of its score this week.
Where it sits
No clean sector benchmark over 90 sessions: +32.3% against the market. Up and right is ahead of both; down and left is behind both.
Numbers behind the scores
- Share of reactions upward
- 44%
- Continuation ratio
- 75%
- Move spread (SD)
- 1.6%
- Average gap at open
- +0.42%
- 30-session return
- +19.9%
- 90-session return
- +23.5%
- Since last result
- +20.6% (62 sessions)
- 20-DMA vs 50-DMA
- +4.9%
- Sessions above 20-DMA
- 87%
- Position in 52-week range
- 88%
- Delivery, 30 / 90 sessions
- 48.9% / 50.4%
- Delivery trend
- -1.5 pp
- Benchmark
- NIFTY 50
- Correlation, 30 sessions / norm
- 0.41 / 0.41
- Correlation break
- 0.08 SD
- Beta, 30 / 90 sessions
- 0.70 / 1.21
- Alpha, 30 sessions
- +14.8%
- Market regime
- market tide
- Sector index
- none
- vs sector, 30 / 90 sessions
- — / —
- Sector correlation / norm
- — / —
- Quadrant score
- 50
- Evidence
- partial · 9 results used
- Price band
- mid
What its results record says
11 results · ten sessions after each · from the close before the resultThis is the range each past result travelled, on closing prices. It is a description of the past, not a level for the next one, and this site gives no entry, exit or loss-limit levels.
Last 90 sessions
daily candles · adjusted for splits and bonuses · test patterns → · the outlook for the coming hours and days → · week by week: slope, patterns, next four weeks →Against the market
same 90 sessions · every line starts at 0%No sector index is mapped for this company, so only the market is shown.
Around the last result · Q1FY27
ten sessions in, the result day, ten sessions out · from the close before the resultTen sessions after each result
share vs market · move from the close before the resultResults record
move from the close before each result| Quarter | Result day | Gap | T+1 | T+10 | Market T+10 | vs market | vs sector | Vol × | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1FY27 | 5 Aug 2026 | +2.0% | +9.8% | +35.5% | -2.2% | +37.7% | — | 4.9 | Rev 27% · PAT 39% YoY |
| Q4FY26 | 22 May 2026 | +2.0% | -5.1% | -4.3% | -1.2% | -3.1% | — | 4.9 | Rev 20% · PAT 24% YoY |
| Q3FY26 | 10 Feb 2026 | +2.7% | +3.6% | +17.8% | -1.7% | +19.5% | — | 5.0 | Rev 10% · PAT 22% YoY |
| Q2FY26 | 7 Nov 2025 | -1.1% | +3.3% | +2.2% | +2.2% | +0.0% | — | 1.5 | Rev 5% · PAT 3% YoY |
| Q1FY26 | 11 Aug 2025 | -1.6% | +1.0% | -4.9% | +1.4% | -6.3% | — | 1.0 | Rev 4% · PAT 3% YoY |
| Q4FY25 | 19 May 2025 | +0.2% | -2.8% | +14.8% | -1.2% | +16.0% | — | 1.7 | Rev 3% · PAT 3% YoY |
| Q3FY25 | 10 Feb 2025 | +0.0% | -5.7% | -12.4% | -4.3% | -8.1% | — | 2.1 | — |
| Q2FY25 | 8 Nov 2024 | +2.6% | -1.3% | -5.1% | +0.1% | -5.2% | — | 1.8 | — |
| Q1FY25 | 8 Aug 2024 | -2.4% | -1.1% | -3.1% | +2.2% | -5.3% | — | 0.5 | — |
| Q4FY24 | 27 May 2024 | +2.3% | +2.5% | +7.0% | +1.3% | +5.6% | — | 1.6 | — |
| Q3FY24 | 12 Feb 2024 | +1.2% | -4.3% | -5.3% | +1.6% | -6.9% | — | 1.9 | — |
Reported figures
₹ crore; from the exchange's XBRL filings| Quarter | Period end | Revenue | YoY | PAT | YoY | Op. margin | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1FY27 | 30 Jun 2026 | 449 | +27.0% | 91 | +39.2% | 31.3% | 9.70 |
| Q4FY26 | 31 Mar 2026 | 423 | +20.4% | 83 | +23.6% | 31.5% | 8.86 |
| Q3FY26 | 31 Dec 2025 | 391 | +10.4% | 78 | +22.3% | 30.8% | 8.37 |
| Q2FY26 | 30 Sep 2025 | 377 | +4.5% | 73 | +2.9% | 30.7% | 7.79 |
| Q1FY26 | 30 Jun 2025 | 353 | +3.6% | 65 | +3.0% | 28.6% | 6.97 |
| Q4FY25 | 31 Mar 2025 | 351 | +2.5% | 67 | +2.8% | 29.1% | 7.18 |
| Q3FY25 | 31 Dec 2024 | 354 | — | 64 | — | 28.6% | 6.85 |
| Q2FY25 | 30 Sep 2024 | 361 | — | 71 | — | 29.2% | 7.58 |
| Q1FY25 | 30 Jun 2024 | 341 | — | 63 | — | 28.6% | 6.77 |
| Q4FY24 | 31 Mar 2024 | 343 | — | 65 | — | 28.3% | 7.25 |
| Q3FY24 | 31 Dec 2023 | 341 | — | 57 | — | 27.8% | 6.15 |
Post-mortems
Every result in full →- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Went into the result within 3% of its 52-week high.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Ran up 20% in the 30 sessions before the result — a good number had little left to reward.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Went into the result within 3% of its 52-week high.
- Volume ran 1.5x its prior month in the fortnight before.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- The market itself moved -4.3% over the same ten sessions; the raw move is mostly tide.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Announced during market hours, so the reaction session is the announcement day itself.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Announced during market hours, so the reaction session is the announcement day itself.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Went into the result within 3% of its 52-week high.
- Delivery share rose 7 points in the fortnight before — someone was taking stock home.
- Announced during market hours, so the reaction session is the announcement day itself.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- Ran up 18% in the 30 sessions before the result — a good number had little left to reward.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Went into the result within 3% of its 52-week high.
- Announced during market hours, so the reaction session is the announcement day itself.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.
- No reported figures on file for this quarter, so the result itself could not be judged.
- Went into the result within 3% of its 52-week high.
- Delivery share rose 7 points in the fortnight before — someone was taking stock home.
- No read was made before this result; recorded for the base rate.