The next hour
5-minute candles · 12 aheadbase rate 70% · evidence 0 patterns
- Last close
- ₹1,529.00 as of Thu 1 Oct, 15:25 IST
- Range, 20th–80th
- ₹1,520.13 – ₹1,549.18 -0.58% · +1.32%
- Typical move
- +0.84% median of 63 windows
- Trend line
- +0.132%/candle · R² 0.64 carried forward +1.58%
- Record
- 57 of 100 leaned right (57%) site-wide
How this was counted, in words
Leaning up over the next hour: 70% chance the close is higher
On this name's own 5-minute candles the close 12 candles later was higher 70% of the time (44 of 63 windows). Nothing in progress on the latest candle has a record worth counting, so the chance is the base rate alone.
The range: 1,520.13 to 1,549.18 — where four in five earlier windows of 12 candles ended
From the last close of 1,529.00, this name's own 12 candles moves ran from -0.58% (the 20th percentile) to +1.32% (the 80th); median +0.84%, typical size either way 0.98%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -2.34%, the best +2.70%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.
The trend line: rising 0.13% per candle, R² 0.64
Slope +0.13% per candle (up), R² 0.64 (choppy), 17 candles from the window's low, +2.96% from it; the last close is with the line. If that line simply continued for 12 candles it would print +1.58% — arithmetic, not a call; lines this choppy say little about the next candle.
How these outlooks have fared: 57 of 100 leaned the right way (57%)
Of the last 100 outlooks with a lean at this candle size and horizon across every name, 57 saw the close go the way they leaned; 59 of 100 closed inside the range printed. Every outlook issued is counted, none dropped.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.