The next hour
5-minute candles · 12 aheadbase rate 46% · evidence 2 patterns (64 obs)
- Last close
- ₹335.30 as of Tue 6 Oct, 15:25 IST
- Range, 20th–80th
- ₹333.15 – ₹337.81 -0.64% · +0.75%
- Typical move
- -0.05% median of 1,369 windows
- Trend line
- -0.004%/candle · R² 0.03 carried forward -0.05%
- Record
- 14 of 26 leaned right (54%) on this name
How this was counted, in words
No lean over the next hour: 47% chance the close is higher — a coin toss
On this name's own 5-minute candles the close 12 candles later was higher 46% of the time (630 of 1369 windows). The evidence in progress: Volume spike (live, up): went its way 70 of 144 times on this name; Impulse wave (five swings, Elliott-style) (building, down): went its way 6 of 9 times on this name. Weighed together as 64 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 47%.
The range: 333.15 to 337.81 — where four in five earlier windows of 12 candles ended
From the last close of 335.30, this name's own 12 candles moves ran from -0.64% (the 20th percentile) to +0.75% (the 80th); median -0.05%, typical size either way 0.50%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -4.66%, the best +8.23%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.
The trend line: falling 0.00% per candle, R² 0.03
Slope -0.00% per candle (down), R² 0.03 (choppy), 7 candles from the window's high, -0.37% from it; the last close is with the line. If that line simply continued for 12 candles it would print -0.05% — arithmetic, not a call; lines this choppy say little about the next candle.
How these outlooks have fared: 14 of 26 leaned the right way (54%)
Of the last 26 outlooks with a lean at this candle size and horizon on this name, 14 saw the close go the way they leaned; 23 of 26 closed inside the range printed. Every outlook issued is counted, none dropped.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.