The next hour
5-minute candles · 12 aheadbase rate 49% · evidence 2 patterns (64 obs)
- Last close
- ₹1,810.00 as of Mon 21 Sep, 15:28 IST
- Range, 20th–80th
- ₹1,798.78 – ₹1,818.69 -0.62% · +0.48%
- Typical move
- +0.00% median of 61 windows
- Trend line
- -0.002%/candle · R² 0.02 carried forward -0.02%
- Record
- 53 of 100 leaned right (53%) site-wide
How this was counted, in words
No lean over the next hour: 45% chance the close is higher — a coin toss
On this name's own 5-minute candles the close 12 candles later was higher 49% of the time (30 of 61 windows). The evidence in progress: Bullish engulfing (recent, up): went its way 620 of 1400 times across 206 names; Impulse wave (five swings, Elliott-style) (building, up): went its way 24 of 55 times across 30 names. Weighed together as 64 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 45%.
The range: 1,798.78 to 1,818.69 — where four in five earlier windows of 12 candles ended
From the last close of 1,810.00, this name's own 12 candles moves ran from -0.62% (the 20th percentile) to +0.48% (the 80th); median +0.00%, typical size either way 0.42%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -1.44%, the best +0.99%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.
The trend line: falling 0.00% per candle, R² 0.01
Slope -0.00% per candle (down), R² 0.02 (choppy), 9 candles from the window's high, -0.17% from it; the last close is off the line. If that line simply continued for 12 candles it would print -0.02% — arithmetic, not a call; lines this choppy say little about the next candle.
How these outlooks have fared: 53 of 100 leaned the right way (53%)
Of the last 100 outlooks with a lean at this candle size and horizon across every name, 53 saw the close go the way they leaned; 62 of 100 closed inside the range printed. Every outlook issued is counted, none dropped.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.