The next hour
5-minute candles · 12 aheadbase rate 60% · evidence 4 patterns (80 obs)
- Last close
- ₹350.00 as of Mon 21 Sep, 15:25 IST
- Range, 20th–80th
- ₹349.40 – ₹350.70 -0.17% · +0.20%
- Typical move
- +0.10% median of 63 windows
- Trend line
- +0.016%/candle · R² 0.54 carried forward +0.19%
- Record
- 53 of 100 leaned right (53%) site-wide
How this was counted, in words
No lean over the next hour: 48% chance the close is higher — a coin toss
On this name's own 5-minute candles the close 12 candles later was higher 60% of the time (38 of 63 windows). The evidence in progress: Volume spike (live, up): went its way 665 of 1549 times across 176 names; Inside bar, then a breakout (live, up): went its way 4 of 7 times on this name; Marubozu (recent, up): went its way 4 of 6 times on this name; Bullish engulfing (recent, up): went its way 620 of 1400 times across 206 names. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 48%.
The range: 349.40 to 350.70 — where four in five earlier windows of 12 candles ended
From the last close of 350.00, this name's own 12 candles moves ran from -0.17% (the 20th percentile) to +0.20% (the 80th); median +0.10%, typical size either way 0.16%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -0.49%, the best +0.69%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.
The trend line: rising 0.02% per candle, R² 0.54
Slope +0.02% per candle (up), R² 0.54 (choppy), 11 candles from the window's low, +0.55% from it; the last close is with the line. If that line simply continued for 12 candles it would print +0.19% — arithmetic, not a call; lines this choppy say little about the next candle.
How these outlooks have fared: 53 of 100 leaned the right way (53%)
Of the last 100 outlooks with a lean at this candle size and horizon across every name, 53 saw the close go the way they leaned; 62 of 100 closed inside the range printed. Every outlook issued is counted, none dropped.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.