The next hour
5-minute candles · 12 aheadNo five-minute candles stored for GERMAN yet. Sign in and star it; candles are captured from the next session.
What the candles in progress say about the coming hours and days, counted from what followed the same candles before. For any name: the chance the close is higher over each horizon, the range four in five earlier windows ended inside, the evidence behind it, and how often earlier outlooks leaned the right way. A chance, never a certainty — and the record of the misses sits beside it.
No five-minute candles stored for GERMAN yet. Sign in and star it; candles are captured from the next session.
No five-minute candles stored for GERMAN yet. Sign in and star it; candles are captured from the next session.
No five-minute candles stored for GERMAN yet. Sign in and star it; candles are captured from the next session.
On this name's own daily candles the close 1 session later was higher 30% of the time (3 of 10 windows). The evidence in progress: Gap at the open (live, up): went its way 2 of 6 times on this name; Move of X% within M candles (live, down): went its way 75482 of 142697 times across 2847 names; Inside bar, then a breakout (live, down): went its way 19760 of 38122 times across 2726 names; Bullish engulfing (recent, up): went its way 11622 of 25954 times across 2667 names; Shooting star (recent, down): went its way 14308 of 26426 times across 2628 names; Marubozu (recent, up): went its way 11097 of 20138 times across 2499 names; Impulse wave (five swings, Elliott-style) (building, down): went its way 3734 of 7443 times across 2305 names. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 44%.
From the last close of 111.50, this name's own 1 session moves ran from -5.61% (the 20th percentile) to +0.42% (the 80th); median -3.27%, typical size either way 3.73%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -7.96%, the best +19.99%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.
After earlier hits of the same reading, the move within 1 session typically reached +1.64% in the hit's favour and -1.89% against it before the window closed. Typically — half the hits did less.
Of the last 20 outlooks with a lean at this candle size and horizon across every name, 11 saw the close go the way they leaned; 7 of 20 closed inside the range printed. Every outlook issued is counted, none dropped.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.
On this name's own daily candles the close 5 sessions later was higher 67% of the time (4 of 6 windows). The evidence in progress: Gap at the open (live, up): went its way 121179 of 262155 times across 2839 names; Move of X% within M candles (live, down): went its way 77130 of 141661 times across 2841 names; Inside bar, then a breakout (live, down): went its way 19891 of 37858 times across 2715 names; Bullish engulfing (recent, up): went its way 10757 of 25613 times across 2651 names; Shooting star (recent, down): went its way 14966 of 26181 times across 2615 names; Marubozu (recent, up): went its way 9833 of 19892 times across 2484 names; Impulse wave (five swings, Elliott-style) (building, down): went its way 3741 of 7353 times across 2293 names. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 50%.
From the last close of 111.50, this name's own 5 sessions moves ran from -13.20% (the 20th percentile) to +6.44% (the 80th); median +3.56%, typical size either way 6.48%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -17.01%, the best +6.52%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.
Only 7 outlooks at this candle size and horizon has a closed window so far; the record is printed once there are 20.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.
On this name's own daily candles the close 10 sessions later was higher 0% of the time (0 of 1 windows). The evidence in progress: Gap at the open (live, up): went its way 114176 of 258923 times across 2824 names; Move of X% within M candles (live, down): went its way 77681 of 139578 times across 2824 names; Inside bar, then a breakout (live, down): went its way 20261 of 37328 times across 2701 names; Bullish engulfing (recent, up): went its way 10680 of 25217 times across 2628 names; Shooting star (recent, down): went its way 15112 of 25957 times across 2596 names; Marubozu (recent, up): went its way 9320 of 19625 times across 2459 names; Impulse wave (five swings, Elliott-style) (building, down): went its way 3778 of 7225 times across 2281 names. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 36%.
From the last close of 111.50, this name's own 10 sessions moves ran from -13.11% (the 20th percentile) to -13.11% (the 80th); median -13.11%, typical size either way 13.11%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -13.11%, the best -13.11%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.
After earlier hits of the same reading, the move within 10 sessions typically reached +5.71% in the hit's favour and -5.30% against it before the window closed. Typically — half the hits did less.
Only 14 outlooks at this candle size and horizon has a closed window so far; the record is printed once there are 20.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.
Over this name's own stored candles (the last 250 sessions for the daily cards; every five-minute candle on file for the hourly ones), how often the close the chosen number of candles later was higher, and where the moves fell — the 20th, 50th and 80th percentiles. With nothing in progress this is the outlook: the name's own habit, nothing added.
Every pattern in the library that is in progress, just hit, or building on the latest candle, with what followed its earlier hits on this same name — the share of times the close went the hit's way. When the name itself has fewer than five earlier hits, the library's pooled record across every name it has been seen on stands in, and the card says so. A pattern with no usable record is listed but counts for nothing.
The chance is the base rate pulled toward the evidence in proportion to how much evidence there is: the base rate counts as twenty observations; each pattern counts as its number of earlier hits, at most sixty, scaled by whether it is live (1.0), just hit (0.7) or still building (0.4); and all the evidence together counts as at most eighty, because two patterns saying "up" on the same candles are not two independent witnesses. No evidence returns the base rate; strong evidence moves the chance toward its record but can never reach 0 or 100. The lean is called only past 55% (up) or below 45% (down); in between the card says no lean.
The two references are the 20th and 80th percentiles of the name's own moves over that horizon, applied to the last close — where four in five earlier windows ended. The trend line is the least-squares fit on the latest candles (slope per candle, R² for straightness) carried forward as arithmetic; the text says whether lines that straight have tended to continue.
Every outlook is stored when it is made and judged once the horizon has traded: did the close go the way it leaned, and did it end inside the range. The card shows the last hundred at that candle size and horizon — for the name when it has twenty judged, else site-wide — and every outlook issued is counted, none dropped. The number is printed whether it is 40% or 70%.