No lean over the next hour: 46% chance the close is higher — a coin toss

On this name's own 5-minute candles the close 12 candles later was higher 65% of the time (41 of 63 windows). The evidence in progress: Marubozu (live, up): went its way 7 of 25 times on this name; Volume spike (recent, up): went its way 834 of 1899 times across 180 names; N consecutive rising candles (recent, up): went its way 155 of 357 times across 120 names; Break of the session high / low (recent, up): went its way 100 of 271 times across 94 names; Shooting star (recent, down): went its way 662 of 1259 times across 175 names; RSI into overbought / oversold (recent, down): went its way 320 of 576 times across 111 names; Impulse wave (five swings, Elliott-style) (building, up): went its way 30 of 68 times across 35 names. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 46%.

The range: 12,202.56 to 12,281.89 — where four in five earlier windows of 12 candles ended

From the last close of 12,205.00, this name's own 12 candles moves ran from -0.02% (the 20th percentile) to +0.63% (the 80th); median +0.07%, typical size either way 0.13%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -0.31%, the best +1.59%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.

The trend line: rising 0.03% per candle, R² 0.53

Slope +0.03% per candle (up), R² 0.53 (choppy), 18 candles from the window's low, +0.87% from it; the last close is with the line. If that line simply continued for 12 candles it would print +0.41% — arithmetic, not a call; lines this choppy say little about the next candle.

How these outlooks have fared: 57 of 100 leaned the right way (57%)

Of the last 100 outlooks with a lean at this candle size and horizon across every name, 57 saw the close go the way they leaned; 59 of 100 closed inside the range printed. Every outlook issued is counted, none dropped.

Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.

No lean over the next two hours: 46% chance the close is higher — a coin toss

On this name's own 15-minute candles the close 8 candles later was higher 65% of the time (11 of 17 windows). The evidence in progress: Volume spike (live, up): went its way 224 of 531 times across 64 names; Inside bar, then a breakout (recent, up): went its way 233 of 560 times across 123 names; Shooting star (recent, down): went its way 220 of 375 times across 102 names; Break of the session high / low (recent, up): went its way 39 of 98 times across 56 names; RSI into overbought / oversold (recent, down): went its way 102 of 160 times across 56 names; Bearish engulfing (recent, down): went its way 268 of 452 times across 113 names; Morning star (recent, up): went its way 100 of 224 times across 78 names; Impulse wave (five swings, Elliott-style) (building, up): went its way 17 of 37 times across 24 names. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 46%.

The range: 12,191.57 to 12,303.86 — where four in five earlier windows of 8 candles ended

From the last close of 12,205.00, this name's own 8 candles moves ran from -0.11% (the 20th percentile) to +0.81% (the 80th); median +0.17%, typical size either way 0.30%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -0.30%, the best +1.37%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.

The trend line: rising 0.01% per candle, R² 0.15

Slope +0.02% per candle (up), R² 0.16 (choppy), 16 candles from the window's low, +0.91% from it; the last close is with the line. If that line simply continued for 8 candles it would print +0.12% — arithmetic, not a call; lines this choppy say little about the next candle.

How these outlooks have fared: 62 of 100 leaned the right way (62%)

Of the last 100 outlooks with a lean at this candle size and horizon across every name, 62 saw the close go the way they leaned; 51 of 100 closed inside the range printed. Every outlook issued is counted, none dropped.

Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.

No lean over the next six trading hours: 45% chance the close is higher — a coin toss

On this name's own hourly candles the close 6 candles later was higher 100% of the time (1 of 1 windows). The evidence in progress: Opening range breakout (recent, up): went its way 36 of 121 times across 51 names; Inside bar, then a breakout (recent, up): went its way 47 of 139 times across 51 names; N consecutive rising candles (building, up): went its way 6 of 26 times across 18 names; Impulse wave (five swings, Elliott-style) (building, up): went its way 6 of 12 times across 11 names. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 45%.

The range: 12,416.15 to 12,416.15 — where four in five earlier windows of 6 candles ended

From the last close of 12,205.00, this name's own 6 candles moves ran from +1.73% (the 20th percentile) to +1.73% (the 80th); median +1.73%, typical size either way 1.73%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was +1.73%, the best +1.73%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.

How these outlooks have fared: 48 of 100 leaned the right way (48%)

Of the last 100 outlooks with a lean at this candle size and horizon across every name, 48 saw the close go the way they leaned; 63 of 100 closed inside the range printed. Every outlook issued is counted, none dropped.

Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.

No lean over the next session: 52% chance the close is higher — a coin toss

On this name's own daily candles the close 1 session later was higher 49% of the time (123 of 250 windows). The evidence in progress: Higher highs and higher lows (live, up): went its way 27 of 48 times on this name; Trend line: slope, length, strength (live, up): went its way 7 of 9 times on this name; Evening star (live, down): went its way 5 of 6 times on this name; Move of X% within M candles (recent, up): went its way 60 of 120 times on this name; Impulse wave (five swings, Elliott-style) (building, up): went its way 3 of 6 times on this name. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 52%.

The range: 13,469.12 to 14,089.40 — where four in five earlier windows of 1 session ended

From the last close of 13,723.00, this name's own 1 session moves ran from -1.85% (the 20th percentile) to +2.67% (the 80th); median -0.03%, typical size either way 1.62%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -9.64%, the best +12.19%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.

The trend line: rising 1.12% per candle, R² 0.91

Slope +1.12% per candle (up), R² 0.91 (straight), 17 candles from the window's low, +18.89% from it; the last close is off the line. If that line simply continued for 1 session it would print +1.12% — arithmetic, not a call; lines this straight have tended to continue more often than not.

How these outlooks have fared: too few judged to say

Only 8 outlooks at this candle size and horizon has a closed window so far; the record is printed once there are 20.

Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.

No lean over the next five sessions: 52% chance the close is higher — a coin toss

On this name's own daily candles the close 5 sessions later was higher 59% of the time (147 of 250 windows). The evidence in progress: Higher highs and higher lows (live, up): went its way 28 of 47 times on this name; Trend line: slope, length, strength (live, up): went its way 4 of 9 times on this name; Evening star (live, down): went its way 5 of 6 times on this name; Move of X% within M candles (recent, up): went its way 58 of 120 times on this name; Impulse wave (five swings, Elliott-style) (building, up): went its way 2 of 6 times on this name. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 52%.

The range: 13,287.98 to 14,726.15 — where four in five earlier windows of 5 sessions ended

From the last close of 13,723.00, this name's own 5 sessions moves ran from -3.17% (the 20th percentile) to +7.31% (the 80th); median +1.46%, typical size either way 4.13%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -15.54%, the best +22.46%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.

The trend line: rising 1.12% per candle, R² 0.91

Slope +1.12% per candle (up), R² 0.91 (straight), 17 candles from the window's low, +18.89% from it; the last close is off the line. If that line simply continued for 5 sessions it would print +5.62% — arithmetic, not a call; lines this straight have tended to continue more often than not.

How these outlooks have fared: too few judged to say

Only 4 outlooks at this candle size and horizon has a closed window so far; the record is printed once there are 20.

Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.

No lean over the next ten sessions: 51% chance the close is higher — a coin toss

On this name's own daily candles the close 10 sessions later was higher 62% of the time (156 of 250 windows). The evidence in progress: Higher highs and higher lows (live, up): went its way 20 of 44 times on this name; Trend line: slope, length, strength (live, up): went its way 4 of 8 times on this name; Evening star (live, down): went its way 3 of 6 times on this name; Move of X% within M candles (recent, up): went its way 59 of 120 times on this name; Impulse wave (five swings, Elliott-style) (building, up): went its way 3 of 6 times on this name. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 51%.

The range: 13,208.39 to 15,026.68 — where four in five earlier windows of 10 sessions ended

From the last close of 13,723.00, this name's own 10 sessions moves ran from -3.75% (the 20th percentile) to +9.50% (the 80th); median +2.32%, typical size either way 5.76%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -15.68%, the best +26.51%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.

The trend line: rising 1.12% per candle, R² 0.91

Slope +1.12% per candle (up), R² 0.91 (straight), 17 candles from the window's low, +18.89% from it; the last close is off the line. If that line simply continued for 10 sessions it would print +11.24% — arithmetic, not a call; lines this straight have tended to continue more often than not.

How these outlooks have fared: too few judged to say

Only 4 outlooks at this candle size and horizon has a closed window so far; the record is printed once there are 20.

Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.