The next hour
5-minute candles · 12 aheadbase rate 44% · evidence 0 patterns
- Last close
- ₹882.30 as of Mon 5 Oct, 15:55 IST
- Range, 20th–80th
- ₹878.15 – ₹885.92 -0.47% · +0.41%
- Typical move
- -0.07% median of 354 windows
- Trend line
- +0.017%/candle · R² 0.25 carried forward +0.20%
- Record
- 54 of 100 leaned right (54%) site-wide
How this was counted, in words
Leaning down over the next hour: 56% chance the close is lower
On this name's own 5-minute candles the close 12 candles later was higher 44% of the time (155 of 354 windows). Nothing in progress on the latest candle has a record worth counting, so the chance is the base rate alone.
The range: 878.15 to 885.92 — where four in five earlier windows of 12 candles ended
From the last close of 882.30, this name's own 12 candles moves ran from -0.47% (the 20th percentile) to +0.41% (the 80th); median -0.07%, typical size either way 0.36%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -1.34%, the best +3.85%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.
The trend line: rising 0.02% per candle, R² 0.25
Slope +0.02% per candle (up), R² 0.25 (choppy), 17 candles from the window's low, +0.36% from it; the last close is off the line. If that line simply continued for 12 candles it would print +0.20% — arithmetic, not a call; lines this choppy say little about the next candle.
How these outlooks have fared: 54 of 100 leaned the right way (54%)
Of the last 100 outlooks with a lean at this candle size and horizon across every name, 54 saw the close go the way they leaned; 67 of 100 closed inside the range printed. Every outlook issued is counted, none dropped.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.