The next hour
5-minute candles · 12 aheadNo five-minute candles stored for AGOL yet. Sign in and star it; candles are captured from the next session.
What the candles in progress say about the coming hours and days, counted from what followed the same candles before. For any name: the chance the close is higher over each horizon, the range four in five earlier windows ended inside, the evidence behind it, and how often earlier outlooks leaned the right way. A chance, never a certainty — and the record of the misses sits beside it.
No five-minute candles stored for AGOL yet. Sign in and star it; candles are captured from the next session.
No five-minute candles stored for AGOL yet. Sign in and star it; candles are captured from the next session.
No five-minute candles stored for AGOL yet. Sign in and star it; candles are captured from the next session.
On this name's own daily candles the close 1 session later was higher 50% of the time (5 of 10 windows). The evidence in progress: Gap at the open (live, down): went its way 5 of 8 times on this name; Move of X% within M candles (live, down): went its way 76465 of 143694 times across 2851 names; Marubozu (recent, down): went its way 20762 of 38482 times across 2726 names; Bearish engulfing (recent, down): went its way 18747 of 33961 times across 2694 names; N consecutive falling candles (building, down): went its way 13693 of 25107 times across 2698 names. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 46%.
From the last close of 6.07, this name's own 1 session moves ran from -5.02% (the 20th percentile) to +11.90% (the 80th); median -0.62%, typical size either way 5.18%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was -9.93%, the best +20.00%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.
Of the last 26 outlooks with a lean at this candle size and horizon across every name, 14 saw the close go the way they leaned; 7 of 26 closed inside the range printed. Every outlook issued is counted, none dropped.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.
On this name's own daily candles the close 5 sessions later was higher 100% of the time (6 of 6 windows). The evidence in progress: Gap at the open (live, down): went its way 5 of 5 times on this name; Move of X% within M candles (live, down): went its way 78035 of 142217 times across 2846 names; Marubozu (recent, down): went its way 20937 of 37967 times across 2710 names; Bearish engulfing (recent, down): went its way 19384 of 33785 times across 2681 names; N consecutive falling candles (building, down): went its way 12787 of 24316 times across 2657 names. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 55%.
From the last close of 6.07, this name's own 5 sessions moves ran from +16.74% (the 20th percentile) to +48.45% (the 80th); median +37.63%, typical size either way 37.63%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was +7.43%, the best +55.86%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.
Only 17 outlooks at this candle size and horizon has a closed window so far; the record is printed once there are 20.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.
On this name's own daily candles the close 10 sessions later was higher 100% of the time (1 of 1 windows). The evidence in progress: Gap at the open (live, down): went its way 75750 of 137748 times across 2821 names; Move of X% within M candles (live, down): went its way 78615 of 140366 times across 2840 names; Marubozu (recent, down): went its way 20765 of 37460 times across 2699 names; Bearish engulfing (recent, down): went its way 19390 of 33360 times across 2665 names; N consecutive falling candles (building, down): went its way 13093 of 24107 times across 2629 names. Weighed together as 80 observations against the base rate's 20, that gives 55%.
From the last close of 6.07, this name's own 10 sessions moves ran from +25.41% (the 20th percentile) to +25.41% (the 80th); median +25.41%, typical size either way 25.41%. One in five windows ended outside that range — the worst was +25.41%, the best +25.41%. The two references are those percentiles on today's close, nothing more.
Of the last 24 outlooks with a lean at this candle size and horizon across every name, 17 saw the close go the way they leaned; 8 of 24 closed inside the range printed. Every outlook issued is counted, none dropped.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.
Our arithmetic from stored candles — no recommendation, no forecast of any price: a chance counted from this name's own record, with the times it was wrong counted beside it. The decision, and the risk, are yours.
Over this name's own stored candles (the last 250 sessions for the daily cards; every five-minute candle on file for the hourly ones), how often the close the chosen number of candles later was higher, and where the moves fell — the 20th, 50th and 80th percentiles. With nothing in progress this is the outlook: the name's own habit, nothing added.
Every pattern in the library that is in progress, just hit, or building on the latest candle, with what followed its earlier hits on this same name — the share of times the close went the hit's way. When the name itself has fewer than five earlier hits, the library's pooled record across every name it has been seen on stands in, and the card says so. A pattern with no usable record is listed but counts for nothing.
The chance is the base rate pulled toward the evidence in proportion to how much evidence there is: the base rate counts as twenty observations; each pattern counts as its number of earlier hits, at most sixty, scaled by whether it is live (1.0), just hit (0.7) or still building (0.4); and all the evidence together counts as at most eighty, because two patterns saying "up" on the same candles are not two independent witnesses. No evidence returns the base rate; strong evidence moves the chance toward its record but can never reach 0 or 100. The lean is called only past 55% (up) or below 45% (down); in between the card says no lean.
The two references are the 20th and 80th percentiles of the name's own moves over that horizon, applied to the last close — where four in five earlier windows ended. The trend line is the least-squares fit on the latest candles (slope per candle, R² for straightness) carried forward as arithmetic; the text says whether lines that straight have tended to continue.
Every outlook is stored when it is made and judged once the horizon has traded: did the close go the way it leaned, and did it end inside the range. The card shows the last hundred at that candle size and horizon — for the name when it has twenty judged, else site-wide — and every outlook issued is counted, none dropped. The number is printed whether it is 40% or 70%.