The daily read from the close of 23 Dec 2025
Computed on the morning of 24 Dec 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 754 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +6.3% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.9% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +2.2%.
The read from the close of 23 Dec 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 754
FEDERALBNK
Federal Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
95.0
score /100rank 1 of 754
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹265.45close 23 Dec
Upside reference₹275.15+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹258.31-2.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+36.0% over three months · +32.0% vs Nifty · +29.2% vs its sector · 95% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.6% (-2.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 754
SHRIRAMFIN
Shriram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
94.1
score /100rank 2 of 754
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹957.80close 23 Dec
Upside reference₹1,008.20+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹917.24-4.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+52.3% over three months · +48.3% vs Nifty · +48.5% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +8.8% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.0% (+4.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 754
NATIONALUM
National Aluminium Co. Ltd. · METAL
▲ Look at
94.0
score /100rank 3 of 754
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹290.15close 23 Dec
Upside reference₹302.95+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹278.41-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+38.9% over three months · +34.9% vs Nifty · +33.0% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +5.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +21.5% (+21.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 754
AUBANK
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
93.7
score /100rank 4 of 754
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹980.35close 23 Dec
Upside reference₹1,019.27+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹940.04-4.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+34.0% over three months · +30.0% vs Nifty · +27.2% vs its sector · 95% of its three-month range · after results +11.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.5% (+2.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 754
LAURUSLABS
Laurus Labs Ltd. · PHARMA
▲ Look at
93.2
score /100rank 5 of 754
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,068.40close 23 Dec
Upside reference₹1,126.30+5.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,021.76-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
+17.4% over three months · +13.4% vs Nifty · +14.8% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +8.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.6% (+5.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 754 of 754
GANECOS
Ganesha Ecosphere Limited
▼ Stay away
4.8
score /100rank 754 of 754
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹863.55close 23 Dec
Upside reference₹891.51+3.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹819.33-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-31.4% over three months · -35.4% vs Nifty · 7% of its three-month range · after results -18.4% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -5.3% (-5.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 753 of 754
SERVOTECH
Servotech Renewable Power System Limited
▼ Stay away
5.6
score /100rank 753 of 754
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹79.91close 23 Dec
Upside reference₹83.66+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹74.66-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-38.3% over three months · -42.3% vs Nifty · 5% of its three-month range · after results -20.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.4% (-2.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 752 of 754
ROLEXRINGS
Rolex Rings Limited
▼ Stay away
6.0
score /100rank 752 of 754
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹130.44close 23 Dec
Upside reference₹137.47+5.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹123.19-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-90.5% over three months · -94.5% vs Nifty · 2% of its three-month range · after results -7.6% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.6% (-3.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 751 of 754
SAREGAMA
Saregama India Ltd · MEDIA
▼ Stay away
6.4
score /100rank 751 of 754
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹347.55close 23 Dec
Upside reference₹358.14+3.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹333.99-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-27.9% over three months · -31.9% vs Nifty · -15.3% vs its sector · 0% of its three-month range · after results -16.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +8.6% (+8.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 750 of 754
KAYNES
Kaynes Technology India Ltd.
▼ Stay away
7.5
score /100rank 750 of 754
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹4,140.50close 23 Dec
Upside reference₹4,421.60+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,889.92-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-42.8% over three months · -46.8% vs Nifty · 9% of its three-month range · after results -12.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.5% (-7.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | -1.3% | -0.8% | -0.1% | +1.7% | +0.8% | +0.4% | -0.0% | -0.9% | -3.3% | -2.5% |
| SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | +1.8% | +0.8% | +0.7% | +3.2% | +4.2% | +6.6%▲ | +4.9%▲ | +4.5%▲ | +4.7%▲ | +4.1%▲ |
| NATIONALUMNational Aluminium Co. Ltd. | +1.9% | +6.3%▲ | +4.6%▲ | +10.0%▲ | +8.5%▲ | +8.5%▲ | +13.3%▲ | +13.7%▲ | +19.5%▲ | +21.7%▲ |
| AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | -0.5% | -0.0% | +1.5% | +2.6% | +1.6% | +2.1% | +1.4% | +3.2% | +2.9% | +2.6% |
| LAURUSLABSLaurus Labs Ltd. | +1.7% | +2.1% | +2.1% | +3.1% | +3.9% | +4.0% | +3.0% | +3.0% | +4.4% | +5.8%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| GANECOSGanesha Ecosphere Limited | +1.4% | +1.5% | +0.2% | -1.1% | -1.3% | -2.5% | -2.0% | -3.6% | -4.4% | -5.2%▼ |
| SERVOTECHServotech Renewable Power System Limited | -1.5% | -0.1% | -0.3% | -2.0% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -0.5% | -2.0% | -2.1% | -2.3% |
| ROLEXRINGSRolex Rings Limited | -1.6% | -3.0% | -1.0% | -1.0% | -1.1% | -1.8% | +2.3% | -1.2% | -3.2% | -3.5% |
| SAREGAMASaregama India Ltd | +0.9% | +1.3% | +3.8% | +1.9% | +1.2% | +1.0% | +2.4% | +6.3% | +1.7% | +8.8% |
| KAYNESKaynes Technology India Ltd. | -0.4% | -1.4% | -2.8% | -4.1% | -2.9% | -4.6% | -4.5% | -3.7% | -8.4%▼ | -7.3%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +1.0% | +2.0% | +1.8% | +5.4% | +4.7% | +6.2% | +5.0% | +5.6% | +8.9% | +8.2% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 23 Dec minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | FEDERALBNKFederal Bank Ltd. | 95.0 | 51% | ₹265.45 | +36.0% | +32.0% | +29.2% | 95% | +12.4% | +5.5 pp | -2.6% | -2.5% |
| 2 look at | SHRIRAMFINShriram Finance Ltd. | 94.1 | 51% | ₹957.80 | +52.3% | +48.3% | +48.5% | 100% | +8.8% | +3.0 pp | +4.0% | +4.1% |
| 3 look at | NATIONALUMNational Aluminium Co. Ltd. | 94.0 | 51% | ₹290.15 | +38.9% | +34.9% | +33.0% | 100% | +5.1% | +4.6 pp | +21.5% | +21.7% |
| 4 look at | AUBANKAU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | 93.7 | 51% | ₹980.35 | +34.0% | +30.0% | +27.2% | 95% | +11.5% | +4.4 pp | +2.5% | +2.6% |
| 5 look at | LAURUSLABSLaurus Labs Ltd. | 93.2 | 51% | ₹1,068.40 | +17.4% | +13.4% | +14.8% | 100% | +8.4% | +8.0 pp | +5.6% | +5.8% |
| 750 stay away | KAYNESKaynes Technology India Ltd. | 7.5 | 52% | ₹4,140.50 | -42.8% | -46.8% | — | 9% | -12.7% | -5.4 pp | -7.5% | -7.3% |
| 751 stay away | SAREGAMASaregama India Ltd | 6.4 | 52% | ₹347.55 | -27.9% | -31.9% | -15.3% | 0% | -16.5% | -6.4 pp | +8.6% | +8.8% |
| 752 stay away | ROLEXRINGSRolex Rings Limited | 6.0 | 52% | ₹130.44 | -90.5% | -94.5% | — | 2% | -7.6% | -17.1 pp | -3.6% | -3.5% |
| 753 stay away | SERVOTECHServotech Renewable Power System Limited | 5.6 | 52% | ₹79.91 | -38.3% | -42.3% | — | 5% | -20.5% | -4.5 pp | -2.4% | -2.3% |
| 754 stay away | GANECOSGanesha Ecosphere Limited | 4.8 | 52% | ₹863.55 | -31.4% | -35.4% | — | 7% | -18.4% | -8.3 pp | -5.3% | -5.2% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.