The daily read from the close of 3 Oct 2025
Computed on the morning of 4 Oct 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 787 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +0.6% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -10.4% (5 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -4.9%.
The read from the close of 3 Oct 2025 · Year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 787
AVALON
Avalon Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
94.1
score /100rank 1 of 787
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,055.20close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹1,119.64+6.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,015.85-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+88.4% over the year · +89.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its year range · after results +4.5% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +11.4% (+8.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 787
TVSMOTOR
TVS Motor Company Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.4
score /100rank 2 of 787
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,456.10close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹3,611.52+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,355.84-2.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+534.0% over the year · +535.4% vs Nifty · +532.3% vs its sector · 96% of its year range · after results +3.7% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.7% (+2.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 787
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 3 of 787
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,289.80close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹1,391.95+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,210.76-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+155.6% over the year · +157.0% vs Nifty · +153.9% vs its sector · 97% of its year range · after results +11.3% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.2% (-7.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 787
INDIANB
Indian Bank · PSU BANK
▲ Look at
90.4
score /100rank 4 of 787
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹765.95close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹799.47+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹745.80-2.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+48.5% over the year · +49.9% vs Nifty · +34.9% vs its sector · 100% of its year range · after results +2.5% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.1% (-1.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 787
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
90.2
score /100rank 5 of 787
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹783.50close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹814.72+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹767.78-2.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+66.3% over the year · +67.7% vs Nifty · +55.6% vs its sector · 89% of its year range · after results +4.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.5% (+1.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 787 of 787
PCJEWELLER
PC Jeweller Limited
▼ Stay away
1.4
score /100rank 787 of 787
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹13.41close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹14.10+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹12.40-7.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-92.0% over the year · -90.6% vs Nifty · 2% of its year range · after results -12.6% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -10.0% (-13.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 786 of 787
JAIBALAJI
Jai Balaji Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
3.8
score /100rank 786 of 787
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹100.35close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹105.22+4.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹94.83-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-54.8% over the year · -53.4% vs Nifty · 4% of its year range · after results -8.2% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -6.6% (-9.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 785 of 787
SWSOLAR
Sterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Limited
▼ Stay away
4.2
score /100rank 785 of 787
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹245.93close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹261.67+6.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹226.51-7.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-56.8% over the year · -55.4% vs Nifty · 6% of its year range · after results -15.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.9% (-11.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 784 of 787
ROUTE
ROUTE MOBILE LIMITED
▼ Stay away
6.2
score /100rank 784 of 787
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹794.60close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹814.26+2.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹762.98-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-49.4% over the year · -48.0% vs Nifty · 1% of its year range · after results -4.8% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -7.9% (-11.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 783 of 787
JTLIND
JTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED
▼ Stay away
6.2
score /100rank 783 of 787
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹71.67close 3 Oct
Upside reference₹76.04+6.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹66.30-7.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-70.0% over the year · -68.6% vs Nifty · 6% of its year range · after results -14.0% vs Nifty (avg of 4) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.2% (-6.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| AVALONAvalon Technologies Limited | +6.5%▲ | +17.9%▲ | +15.9%▲ | +15.9%▲ | +15.0%▲ | +14.2%▲ | +7.9%▲ | +6.7%▲ | +6.2%▲ | +8.1%▲ |
| TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | +0.8% | +0.8% | +0.2% | -0.3% | -0.6% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +1.7% | +0.7% | +2.5%▲ |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -1.6% | +0.9% | +1.4% | -1.1% | -3.0% | -4.5% | -6.5% | -1.4% | -4.6% | -7.5% |
| INDIANBIndian Bank | -1.8% | -1.9% | -1.3% | -1.1% | -0.2% | +1.0% | -0.7% | -0.5% | -2.1% | -1.1% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | +1.6% | +2.3% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +0.0% | +3.5%▲ | +3.0%▲ | +3.2%▲ | +2.2%▲ | +1.3%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PCJEWELLERPC Jeweller Limited | -3.3% | -4.4% | -4.8% | -4.6% | -5.8% | -8.6% | -11.0%▼ | -10.9%▼ | -11.8%▼ | -13.3%▼ |
| JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | -2.3% | -2.3% | -3.1% | -3.4% | -3.8% | -5.7% | -7.4%▼ | -5.9%▼ | -7.5%▼ | -9.9%▼ |
| SWSOLARSterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Limited | -2.3% | -4.0% | -2.4% | -3.8% | -0.1% | +0.3% | -1.8% | -2.7% | -3.9% | -11.2%▼ |
| ROUTEROUTE MOBILE LIMITED | -2.1% | -3.5% | -3.5% | -5.3%▼ | -5.9%▼ | -6.4%▼ | -7.6%▼ | -9.2%▼ | -10.4%▼ | -11.2%▼ |
| JTLINDJTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED | -3.2% | -4.8% | -4.8% | -4.3% | -5.3% | -6.6% | -4.3% | -5.3% | -4.3% | -6.5% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 50% | 51% | 51% | 53% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 | 5/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 59% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 60% | 60% | 61% | 61% | 62% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +3.8% | +7.8% | +7.1% | +7.1% | +6.4% | +8.2% | +7.2% | +8.7% | +8.1% | +11.0% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 3 Oct minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the year | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | AVALONAvalon Technologies Limited | 94.1 | 53% | ₹1,055.20 | +88.4% | +89.8% | — | 100% | +4.5% | +7.3 pp | +11.4% | +8.1% |
| 2 look at | TVSMOTORTVS Motor Company Ltd. | 93.4 | 53% | ₹3,456.10 | +534.0% | +535.4% | +532.3% | 96% | +3.7% | +5.7 pp | +5.7% | +2.5% |
| 3 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 92.0 | 53% | ₹1,289.80 | +155.6% | +157.0% | +153.9% | 97% | +11.3% | +3.4 pp | -4.2% | -7.5% |
| 4 look at | INDIANBIndian Bank | 90.4 | 53% | ₹765.95 | +48.5% | +49.9% | +34.9% | 100% | +2.5% | +6.5 pp | +2.1% | -1.1% |
| 5 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 90.2 | 53% | ₹783.50 | +66.3% | +67.7% | +55.6% | 89% | +4.8% | +5.0 pp | +4.5% | +1.3% |
| 783 stay away | JTLINDJTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED | 6.2 | 58% | ₹71.67 | -70.0% | -68.6% | — | 6% | -14.0% | -3.3 pp | -3.2% | -6.5% |
| 784 stay away | ROUTEROUTE MOBILE LIMITED | 6.2 | 58% | ₹794.60 | -49.4% | -48.0% | — | 1% | -4.8% | -6.0 pp | -7.9% | -11.2% |
| 785 stay away | SWSOLARSterling and Wilson Renewable Energy Limited | 4.2 | 58% | ₹245.93 | -56.8% | -55.4% | — | 6% | -15.8% | -7.5 pp | -7.9% | -11.2% |
| 786 stay away | JAIBALAJIJai Balaji Industries Limited | 3.8 | 58% | ₹100.35 | -54.8% | -53.4% | — | 4% | -8.2% | -11.1 pp | -6.6% | -9.9% |
| 787 stay away | PCJEWELLERPC Jeweller Limited | 1.4 | 58% | ₹13.41 | -92.0% | -90.6% | — | 2% | -12.6% | -11.4 pp | -10.0% | -13.3% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the year, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.