The daily read from the close of 25 Aug 2025
Computed on the morning of 26 Aug 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 774 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +5.0% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -0.5% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +2.2%.
The read from the close of 25 Aug 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 773
LUMAXTECH
Lumax Auto Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
96.5
score /100rank 1 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,139.00close 25 Aug
Upside reference₹1,214.64+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,093.45-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+71.6% over three months · +71.1% vs Nifty · 89% of its three-month range · after results +28.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.0% (+0.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 773
IMFA
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited
▲ Look at
95.7
score /100rank 2 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹858.10close 25 Aug
Upside reference₹914.97+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹816.10-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+37.8% over three months · +37.4% vs Nifty · 97% of its three-month range · after results +12.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +16.9% (+17.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 773
KRISHANA
Krishana Phoschem Limited
▲ Look at
94.7
score /100rank 3 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹119.10close 25 Aug
Upside reference₹132.44+11.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹114.73-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+56.0% over three months · +55.5% vs Nifty · 97% of its three-month range · after results +11.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.6% (-6.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 773
CUMMINSIND
Cummins India Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
91.2
score /100rank 4 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹3,880.50close 25 Aug
Upside reference₹4,021.17+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,714.00-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+32.0% over three months · +31.5% vs Nifty · +30.8% vs its sector · 96% of its three-month range · after results +11.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.4% (+3.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 773
MUTHOOTFIN
Muthoot Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
90.9
score /100rank 5 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,693.70close 25 Aug
Upside reference₹2,778.98+3.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,625.55-2.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+28.9% over three months · +28.4% vs Nifty · +29.6% vs its sector · 89% of its three-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +9.2% (+9.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 773
NAZARA
Nazara Technologies Limited
▼ Stay away
6.8
score /100rank 773 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹279.05close 25 Aug
Upside reference₹288.88+3.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹270.06-3.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-14.6% over three months · -15.0% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -12.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.6% (-1.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 773
PNBHOUSING
PNB Housing Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
7.3
score /100rank 772 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹799.85close 25 Aug
Upside reference₹840.09+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹755.79-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-23.3% over three months · -23.8% vs Nifty · -22.7% vs its sector · 11% of its three-month range · after results -27.4% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.1% (+0.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 773
HPL
HPL Electric & Power Limited
▼ Stay away
7.7
score /100rank 771 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹479.10close 25 Aug
Upside reference₹511.60+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹447.01-6.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-12.7% over three months · -13.1% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -18.9% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.6% (-2.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 773
BAJAJHCARE
Bajaj Healthcare Limited
▼ Stay away
8.5
score /100rank 770 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹438.55close 25 Aug
Upside reference₹470.12+7.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹415.92-5.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-24.3% over three months · -24.7% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -12.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2)
10 sessions on: -2.7% (-2.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 773
ARVIND
Arvind Limited
▼ Stay away
8.5
score /100rank 769 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹292.55close 25 Aug
Upside reference₹305.72+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹281.12-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-20.1% over three months · -20.6% vs Nifty · 7% of its three-month range · after results -11.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.2% (+2.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | +0.8% | +0.1% | +5.3% | +10.3%▲ | +0.4%▲ | -7.0%▲ | -6.1%▲ | -5.3%▲ | +1.5%▲ | +0.4%▲ |
| IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | +1.5% | +0.4% | +2.6% | +5.4% | +5.0% | +5.7% | +6.2% | +14.6%▲ | +21.2%▲ | +17.3%▲ |
| KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | -0.3% | -0.5% | -0.8% | +0.3% | -2.2% | -1.3% | -2.2% | -4.0% | -6.8% | -6.2% |
| CUMMINSINDCummins India Ltd. | -0.1% | +0.7% | +0.8% | +1.4% | +0.2% | +1.1% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +3.0% | +3.8% |
| MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | +0.3% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +2.0% | +1.7% | +4.3%▲ | +5.9%▲ | +6.3%▲ | +8.5%▲ | +9.6%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | +2.5% | +4.0% | +6.2% | +5.4% | +5.4% | +2.8% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +0.0% | -1.2% |
| PNBHOUSINGPNB Housing Finance Ltd. | -1.1% | -2.2% | -3.6%▼ | -3.5%▼ | -0.2%▼ | +0.0%▼ | -1.2%▼ | -0.1%▼ | +0.8%▼ | +0.5%▼ |
| HPLHPL Electric & Power Limited | -0.6% | -1.8% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +0.3% | -0.1% | -1.4% | -1.9% | -2.0% | -2.2% |
| BAJAJHCAREBajaj Healthcare Limited | +0.1% | +0.6% | -1.7% | -1.5% | -1.2% | -2.4% | -1.7% | -1.0% | -2.0% | -2.3% |
| ARVINDArvind Limited | -2.2% | -0.8% | -1.8%▼ | -1.0%▼ | +0.3%▼ | +0.1%▼ | +1.6%▼ | -0.3%▼ | +1.8%▼ | +2.6%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | +0.7% | +0.2% | +1.9% | +4.0% | +0.1% | +0.5% | +1.7% | +3.5% | +5.7% | +5.5% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 25 Aug minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | 96.5 | 51% | ₹1,139.00 | +71.6% | +71.1% | — | 89% | +28.6% | +13.0 pp | +0.0% | +0.4% |
| 2 look at | IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 95.7 | 51% | ₹858.10 | +37.8% | +37.4% | — | 97% | +12.4% | +8.2 pp | +16.9% | +17.3% |
| 3 look at | KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | 94.7 | 51% | ₹119.10 | +56.0% | +55.5% | — | 97% | +11.2% | +6.0 pp | -6.6% | -6.2% |
| 4 look at | CUMMINSINDCummins India Ltd. | 91.2 | 51% | ₹3,880.50 | +32.0% | +31.5% | +30.8% | 96% | +11.1% | +3.5 pp | +3.4% | +3.8% |
| 5 look at | MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd. | 90.9 | 51% | ₹2,693.70 | +28.9% | +28.4% | +29.6% | 89% | +9.2% | +5.0 pp | +9.2% | +9.6% |
| 769 stay away | ARVINDArvind Limited | 8.5 | 52% | ₹292.55 | -20.1% | -20.6% | — | 7% | -11.2% | -5.4 pp | +2.2% | +2.6% |
| 770 stay away | BAJAJHCAREBajaj Healthcare Limited | 8.5 | 52% | ₹438.55 | -24.3% | -24.7% | — | 0% | -12.2% | -1.5 pp | -2.7% | -2.3% |
| 771 stay away | HPLHPL Electric & Power Limited | 7.7 | 52% | ₹479.10 | -12.7% | -13.1% | — | 0% | -18.9% | -4.8 pp | -2.6% | -2.2% |
| 772 stay away | PNBHOUSINGPNB Housing Finance Ltd. | 7.3 | 52% | ₹799.85 | -23.3% | -23.8% | -22.7% | 11% | -27.4% | -4.6 pp | +0.1% | +0.5% |
| 773 stay away | NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | 6.8 | 52% | ₹279.05 | -14.6% | -15.0% | — | 0% | -12.2% | -7.2 pp | -1.6% | -1.2% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.