The daily read from the close of 18 Aug 2025
Computed on the morning of 19 Aug 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 774 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +1.4% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +4.5% (1 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +2.9%.
The read from the close of 18 Aug 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 773
LUMAXTECH
Lumax Auto Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
95.7
score /100rank 1 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,100.30close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹1,171.47+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,053.35-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+77.4% over three months · +78.0% vs Nifty · 83% of its three-month range · after results +24.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.4% (+3.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 773
KRISHANA
Krishana Phoschem Limited
▲ Look at
95.3
score /100rank 2 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹112.53close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹125.14+11.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹108.34-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+59.8% over three months · +60.3% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +11.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.9% (+3.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 773
IMFA
Indian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited
▲ Look at
95.2
score /100rank 3 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹830.25close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹881.79+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹789.62-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+29.4% over three months · +30.0% vs Nifty · 100% of its three-month range · after results +14.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +6.9% (+8.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 773
DELHIVERY
Delhivery Ltd.
▲ Look at
94.7
score /100rank 4 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹465.20close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹492.02+5.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹445.03-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+45.0% over three months · +45.6% vs Nifty · 98% of its three-month range · after results +12.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +1.5% (+2.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 773
PFIZER
Pfizer Ltd. · HEALTHCARE INDEX
▲ Look at
93.6
score /100rank 5 of 773
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹5,766.50close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹5,971.73+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹5,503.37-4.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+30.7% over three months · +31.2% vs Nifty · +26.7% vs its sector · 92% of its three-month range · after results +20.5% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -11.4% (-10.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 773 of 773
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
6.3
score /100rank 773 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹528.60close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹571.55+8.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹504.52-4.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-34.3% over three months · -33.7% vs Nifty · -34.5% vs its sector · 12% of its three-month range · after results -13.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +6.0% (+7.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 773
PNBHOUSING
PNB Housing Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
7.0
score /100rank 772 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹786.20close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹825.70+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹742.90-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-26.7% over three months · -26.1% vs Nifty · -27.2% vs its sector · 8% of its three-month range · after results -27.4% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.1% (+1.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 773
SIGACHI
Sigachi Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
9.0
score /100rank 771 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹30.94close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹32.98+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹29.06-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-30.0% over three months · -29.4% vs Nifty · 1% of its three-month range · after results -3.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.9% (+4.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 773
ARVIND
Arvind Limited
▼ Stay away
10.6
score /100rank 770 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹293.25close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹306.71+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹281.23-4.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-22.6% over three months · -22.0% vs Nifty · 6% of its three-month range · after results -11.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.5% (-0.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 773
ABFRL
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd.
▼ Stay away
10.8
score /100rank 769 of 773
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹76.46close 18 Aug
Upside reference₹79.34+3.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹73.44-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-72.5% over three months · -71.9% vs Nifty · 2% of its three-month range · after results -6.2% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +9.0% (+10.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | +2.7% | +4.9% | +3.0% | +3.8% | +3.2% | +4.0% | +3.2% | +8.6%▲ | +13.8%▲ | +3.6%▲ |
| KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | +1.7% | +2.9% | +4.6% | +7.0% | +5.5% | +5.1% | +4.8% | +4.5% | +5.7% | +3.1% |
| IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | -0.8% | -0.4% | +1.7% | +4.3% | +3.0% | +4.5% | +3.3% | +5.6% | +8.5%▲ | +8.1%▲ |
| DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | +1.0% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +1.8% | +2.1% | +3.5% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +2.9% | +2.7% |
| PFIZERPfizer Ltd. | -1.6% | -2.6% | -2.3% | -1.7% | -5.6% | -8.3% | -8.9% | -8.8% | -9.9% | -10.2% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +1.8% | +0.8% | +4.9% | +6.7% | +10.1% | +6.1% | +3.9% | +2.7% | +6.0% | +7.2% |
| PNBHOUSINGPNB Housing Finance Ltd. | +3.6% | +2.1% | +1.5% | +1.8% | +1.4% | +0.2% | -0.9% | -2.3% | -2.2% | +1.1% |
| SIGACHISigachi Industries Limited | +0.5% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +1.5% | +2.4% | +0.9% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +5.1% | +4.1% |
| ARVINDArvind Limited | +3.5% | +3.4% | +2.0% | +0.3% | -0.6% | -2.8% | -1.4% | -2.4%▼ | -1.6%▼ | -0.3%▼ |
| ABFRLAditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. | +0.5% | -1.0% | -1.9% | +6.3% | +6.9% | +8.6% | +3.6% | +3.0% | +10.0% | +10.2% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.4% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -0.2% | -2.4% | -0.8% | -0.2% | +1.9% | +0.7% | -3.0% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 18 Aug minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | 95.7 | 51% | ₹1,100.30 | +77.4% | +78.0% | — | 83% | +24.8% | +12.3 pp | +2.4% | +3.6% |
| 2 look at | KRISHANAKrishana Phoschem Limited | 95.3 | 51% | ₹112.53 | +59.8% | +60.3% | — | 100% | +11.2% | +5.6 pp | +1.9% | +3.1% |
| 3 look at | IMFAIndian Metals & Ferro Alloys Limited | 95.2 | 51% | ₹830.25 | +29.4% | +30.0% | — | 100% | +14.5% | +8.1 pp | +6.9% | +8.1% |
| 4 look at | DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | 94.7 | 51% | ₹465.20 | +45.0% | +45.6% | — | 98% | +12.0% | +7.0 pp | +1.5% | +2.7% |
| 5 look at | PFIZERPfizer Ltd. | 93.6 | 51% | ₹5,766.50 | +30.7% | +31.2% | +26.7% | 92% | +20.5% | +7.8 pp | -11.4% | -10.2% |
| 769 stay away | ABFRLAditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. | 10.8 | 52% | ₹76.46 | -72.5% | -71.9% | — | 2% | -6.2% | -2.1 pp | +9.0% | +10.2% |
| 770 stay away | ARVINDArvind Limited | 10.6 | 52% | ₹293.25 | -22.6% | -22.0% | — | 6% | -11.2% | -3.6 pp | -1.5% | -0.3% |
| 771 stay away | SIGACHISigachi Industries Limited | 9.0 | 52% | ₹30.94 | -30.0% | -29.4% | — | 1% | -3.7% | -7.3 pp | +2.9% | +4.1% |
| 772 stay away | PNBHOUSINGPNB Housing Finance Ltd. | 7.0 | 52% | ₹786.20 | -26.7% | -26.1% | -27.2% | 8% | -27.4% | -4.4 pp | -0.1% | +1.1% |
| 773 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 6.3 | 52% | ₹528.60 | -34.3% | -33.7% | -34.5% | 12% | -13.0% | -20.3 pp | +6.0% | +7.2% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.