The daily read from the close of 13 Aug 2025
Computed on the morning of 14 Aug 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 773 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +1.2% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +2.3% (2 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +1.7%.
The read from the close of 13 Aug 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 772
DELHIVERY
Delhivery Ltd.
▲ Look at
95.1
score /100rank 1 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹467.10close 13 Aug
Upside reference₹493.89+5.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹446.85-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+46.6% over three months · +46.4% vs Nifty · 99% of its three-month range · after results +12.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.2% (+1.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 772
LUMAXTECH
Lumax Auto Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
94.2
score /100rank 2 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,012.00close 13 Aug
Upside reference₹1,077.75+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹968.40-4.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+69.5% over three months · +69.4% vs Nifty · 69% of its three-month range · after results +24.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +16.1% (+16.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 772
GABRIEL
Gabriel India Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
93.9
score /100rank 3 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,109.60close 13 Aug
Upside reference₹1,193.00+7.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,051.40-5.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+77.9% over three months · +77.7% vs Nifty · +73.7% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +7.1% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +3.9% (+4.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 772
MCX
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
93.7
score /100rank 4 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,667.80close 13 Aug
Upside reference₹1,805.56+8.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,572.89-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+40.4% over three months · +40.3% vs Nifty · +40.3% vs its sector · 77% of its three-month range · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -11.4% (-10.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 772
COSMOFIRST
COSMO FIRST LIMITED
▲ Look at
93.7
score /100rank 5 of 772
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,061.70close 13 Aug
Upside reference₹1,116.53+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹999.05-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+73.9% over three months · +73.7% vs Nifty · 69% of its three-month range · after results +72.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.8% (-6.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 772 of 772
PGEL
PG Electroplast Ltd. · CONSUMER DURABLES
▼ Stay away
1.6
score /100rank 772 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹486.10close 13 Aug
Upside reference₹525.60+8.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹464.94-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-42.6% over three months · -42.8% vs Nifty · -40.5% vs its sector · 0% of its three-month range · after results -13.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +9.7% (+10.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 771 of 772
PNBHOUSING
PNB Housing Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▼ Stay away
7.0
score /100rank 771 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹773.05close 13 Aug
Upside reference₹811.57+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹730.47-5.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.2% over three months · -29.4% vs Nifty · -29.3% vs its sector · 4% of its three-month range · after results -27.4% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.5% (-1.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 770 of 772
SIGACHI
Sigachi Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
8.2
score /100rank 770 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹30.90close 13 Aug
Upside reference₹32.94+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹29.02-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-28.9% over three months · -29.1% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -3.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.4% (+1.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 769 of 772
ARVIND
Arvind Limited
▼ Stay away
8.4
score /100rank 769 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹291.65close 13 Aug
Upside reference₹305.34+4.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹279.97-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-25.6% over three months · -25.8% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -8.0% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.7% (-2.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 768 of 772
ABFRL
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd.
▼ Stay away
9.3
score /100rank 768 of 772
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹74.68close 13 Aug
Upside reference₹77.65+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹71.72-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-72.1% over three months · -72.3% vs Nifty · 1% of its three-month range · after results -13.6% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +3.6% (+4.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | -0.7% | -1.5% | -0.5% | -0.9% | -0.8% | +0.4% | +0.7% | +2.1% | +0.9% | +1.0% |
| LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | -0.8% | +7.7%▲ | +10.6%▲ | +13.1%▲ | +11.0%▲ | +11.8%▲ | +11.1%▲ | +12.0%▲ | +11.1%▲ | +16.9%▲ |
| GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | -3.1% | +2.3% | +4.4% | +5.2% | +6.3%▲ | +6.5%▲ | +0.9%▲ | +0.6%▲ | +2.7%▲ | +4.6%▲ |
| MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | -2.3% | -1.4% | -2.0% | -3.1% | -6.8% | -5.6% | -5.4% | -8.1% | -10.8% | -10.6% |
| COSMOFIRSTCOSMO FIRST LIMITED | -4.2% | -4.8% | -2.8% | -4.8% | -5.3% | -4.9% | -4.9% | -5.6% | -6.1% | -6.1% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | +0.7% | +7.7% | +9.7% | +8.6% | +13.1% | +14.9% | +18.7% | +14.3% | +11.8% | +10.5% |
| PNBHOUSINGPNB Housing Finance Ltd. | -0.8% | +0.7% | +4.3% | +2.8% | +2.1% | +2.4% | +2.1% | +0.9% | -0.3% | -1.7% |
| SIGACHISigachi Industries Limited | -0.8% | -0.9% | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.2% | +0.6% | +1.5% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +1.1% |
| ARVINDArvind Limited | -1.6% | -0.5% | +3.1% | +2.9% | +1.5% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -3.3% | -1.9% | -2.9% |
| ABFRLAditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. | +0.4% | +1.3% | +1.9% | +0.4% | -0.6% | +7.8% | +8.4% | +10.2% | +5.0% | +4.4% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 0/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.8% | -1.2% | -1.7% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -3.5% | -5.4% | -4.2% | -3.3% | -1.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 13 Aug minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | DELHIVERYDelhivery Ltd. | 95.1 | 51% | ₹467.10 | +46.6% | +46.4% | — | 99% | +12.0% | +6.9 pp | +0.2% | +1.0% |
| 2 look at | LUMAXTECHLumax Auto Technologies Limited | 94.2 | 51% | ₹1,012.00 | +69.5% | +69.4% | — | 69% | +24.8% | +11.9 pp | +16.1% | +16.9% |
| 3 look at | GABRIELGabriel India Ltd. | 93.9 | 51% | ₹1,109.60 | +77.9% | +77.7% | +73.7% | 100% | +7.1% | +3.9 pp | +3.9% | +4.6% |
| 4 look at | MCXMulti Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. | 93.7 | 51% | ₹1,667.80 | +40.4% | +40.3% | +40.3% | 77% | — | +10.4 pp | -11.4% | -10.6% |
| 5 look at | COSMOFIRSTCOSMO FIRST LIMITED | 93.7 | 51% | ₹1,061.70 | +73.9% | +73.7% | — | 69% | +72.2% | +7.8 pp | -6.8% | -6.1% |
| 768 stay away | ABFRLAditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd. | 9.3 | 52% | ₹74.68 | -72.1% | -72.3% | — | 1% | -13.6% | -1.9 pp | +3.6% | +4.4% |
| 769 stay away | ARVINDArvind Limited | 8.4 | 52% | ₹291.65 | -25.6% | -25.8% | — | 0% | -8.0% | -3.6 pp | -3.7% | -2.9% |
| 770 stay away | SIGACHISigachi Industries Limited | 8.2 | 52% | ₹30.90 | -28.9% | -29.1% | — | 0% | -3.7% | -8.9 pp | +0.4% | +1.1% |
| 771 stay away | PNBHOUSINGPNB Housing Finance Ltd. | 7.0 | 52% | ₹773.05 | -29.2% | -29.4% | -29.3% | 4% | -27.4% | -3.5 pp | -2.5% | -1.7% |
| 772 stay away | PGELPG Electroplast Ltd. | 1.6 | 52% | ₹486.10 | -42.6% | -42.8% | -40.5% | 0% | -13.0% | -17.8 pp | +9.7% | +10.5% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.