The daily read from the close of 16 May 2025
Computed on the morning of 17 May 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 751 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.1% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +0.2% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +0.1%.
The read from the close of 16 May 2025 · Month
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 751
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
90.8
score /100rank 1 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹684.20close 16 May
Upside reference₹711.60+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹668.20-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+36.3% over the month · +30.0% vs Nifty · +30.8% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +9.7% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.5% (+3.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 751
BIRLACORPN
Birla Corporation Limited
▲ Look at
90.4
score /100rank 2 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,384.00close 16 May
Upside reference₹1,436.12+3.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,330.23-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+31.1% over the month · +24.7% vs Nifty · 100% of its month range · after results +23.9% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.7% (+0.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 751
CREDITACC
CreditAccess Grameen Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
90.0
score /100rank 3 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,204.70close 16 May
Upside reference₹1,267.37+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,131.15-6.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+26.6% over the month · +20.2% vs Nifty · +21.0% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +13.9% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.0% (-3.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 751
GMDCLTD
Gujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd. · METAL
▲ Look at
88.6
score /100rank 4 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹354.60close 16 May
Upside reference₹371.60+4.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹336.48-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
+33.7% over the month · +27.3% vs Nifty · +32.5% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +0.8% (+1.8% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 751
RITES
RITES Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
87.7
score /100rank 5 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹286.99close 16 May
Upside reference₹300.96+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹271.05-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+28.5% over the month · +22.1% vs Nifty · +21.4% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +15.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -3.3% (-2.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 751 of 751
NEULANDLAB
Neuland Laboratories Ltd. · HEALTHCARE INDEX
▼ Stay away
9.1
score /100rank 751 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹11,056.00close 16 May
Upside reference₹11,846.28+7.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹10,427.02-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-8.4% over the month · -14.8% vs Nifty · -11.3% vs its sector · 4% of its month range
10 sessions on: +4.0% (+5.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 750 of 751
ASALCBR
Associated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd.
▼ Stay away
9.1
score /100rank 750 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,122.30close 16 May
Upside reference₹1,230.05+9.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,065.96-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-19.4% over the month · -25.8% vs Nifty · 22% of its month range · after results -15.2% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: -2.7% (-1.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 749 of 751
MONARCH
Monarch Networth Capital Limited
▼ Stay away
9.2
score /100rank 749 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹314.95close 16 May
Upside reference₹335.88+6.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹295.08-6.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-4.8% over the month · -11.1% vs Nifty · 34% of its month range · after results -11.2% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.7% (-0.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 748 of 751
JSWENERGY
JSW Energy Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
9.8
score /100rank 748 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹503.85close 16 May
Upside reference₹531.32+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹473.79-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-6.3% over the month · -12.7% vs Nifty · -12.6% vs its sector · 56% of its month range · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.2% (-2.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 747 of 751
PHOENIXLTD
Phoenix Mills Ltd. · REALTY
▼ Stay away
10.1
score /100rank 747 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,550.90close 16 May
Upside reference₹1,651.60+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,458.87-5.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-5.6% over the month · -12.0% vs Nifty · -12.8% vs its sector · 36% of its month range · after results -9.6% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.9% (+0.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | +1.2% | +2.5% | +3.1% | +4.4% | +3.5% | +3.3% | +3.8% | +5.0% | +3.9% | +3.6% |
| BIRLACORPNBirla Corporation Limited | +2.0% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +2.1% | +2.0% | +1.6% | +2.3% | +0.6% | +1.2% | +0.4% |
| CREDITACCCreditAccess Grameen Ltd. | -6.7% | -7.2% | -7.8% | -5.5% | -6.6% | -5.0% | -1.8% | -0.5% | -2.3% | -3.9% |
| GMDCLTDGujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd. | +0.8% | +1.4% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +0.6% | +2.1% | +1.9% | +1.7% | +3.4% | +1.8% |
| RITESRITES Ltd. | +3.1% | -2.7% | -2.6% | -3.1% | -4.0% | -3.4% | -2.9% | +1.3% | +0.0% | -2.3% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| NEULANDLABNeuland Laboratories Ltd. | +1.8% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +2.9% | +1.6% | +2.5% | +1.3% | +1.1% | +2.3% | +5.1% |
| ASALCBRAssociated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd. | -1.1% | -1.2% | -1.6% | -1.2% | -0.9% | -4.4% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -3.6% | -1.6% |
| MONARCHMonarch Networth Capital Limited | +1.6% | +0.8% | +0.4% | +1.6% | -0.1% | -3.6% | -1.7% | -0.2% | -2.2% | -0.6% |
| JSWENERGYJSW Energy Ltd. | +2.6% | +1.5% | +1.0% | +0.9% | -0.8% | +0.3% | -0.5% | -0.4% | +0.2% | -2.1% |
| PHOENIXLTDPhoenix Mills Ltd. | +3.9% | +3.2% | +5.1% | +4.3% | +3.7% | +3.0% | +4.8% | +3.6% | +2.5% | +0.2% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 49% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 53% | 53% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.7% | -2.3% | -2.6% | -2.2% | -1.6% | +0.2% | +0.2% | +1.0% | +1.4% | -0.3% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 16 May minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the month | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 90.8 | 51% | ₹684.20 | +36.3% | +30.0% | +30.8% | 100% | +9.7% | +4.0 pp | +2.5% | +3.6% |
| 2 look at | BIRLACORPNBirla Corporation Limited | 90.4 | 51% | ₹1,384.00 | +31.1% | +24.7% | — | 100% | +23.9% | +5.1 pp | -0.7% | +0.4% |
| 3 look at | CREDITACCCreditAccess Grameen Ltd. | 90.0 | 51% | ₹1,204.70 | +26.6% | +20.2% | +21.0% | 100% | +13.9%* | +4.8 pp | -5.0% | -3.9% |
| 4 look at | GMDCLTDGujarat Mineral Development Corporation Ltd. | 88.6 | 51% | ₹354.60 | +33.7% | +27.3% | +32.5% | 100% | — | +2.7 pp | +0.8% | +1.8% |
| 5 look at | RITESRITES Ltd. | 87.7 | 51% | ₹286.99 | +28.5% | +22.1% | +21.4% | 100% | +15.4% | +2.1 pp | -3.3% | -2.3% |
| 747 stay away | PHOENIXLTDPhoenix Mills Ltd. | 10.1 | 52% | ₹1,550.90 | -5.6% | -12.0% | -12.8% | 36% | -9.6% | -3.8 pp | -0.9% | +0.2% |
| 748 stay away | JSWENERGYJSW Energy Ltd. | 9.8 | 52% | ₹503.85 | -6.3% | -12.7% | -12.6% | 56% | — | -4.9 pp | -3.2% | -2.1% |
| 749 stay away | MONARCHMonarch Networth Capital Limited | 9.2 | 52% | ₹314.95 | -4.8% | -11.1% | — | 34% | -11.2%* | -6.7 pp | -1.7% | -0.6% |
| 750 stay away | ASALCBRAssociated Alcohols & Breweries Ltd. | 9.1 | 52% | ₹1,122.30 | -19.4% | -25.8% | — | 22% | -15.2% | -1.1 pp | -2.7% | -1.6% |
| 751 stay away | NEULANDLABNeuland Laboratories Ltd. | 9.1 | 52% | ₹11,056.00 | -8.4% | -14.8% | -11.3% | 4% | — | -1.9 pp | +4.0% | +5.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the month (last month plus this month so far), each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.