The daily read from the close of 16 May 2025
Computed on the morning of 17 May 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 751 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +0.3% vs Nifty (3 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +0.5% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +0.4%.
The read from the close of 16 May 2025 · Half year
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 751
NAZARA
Nazara Technologies Limited
▲ Look at
95.1
score /100rank 1 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹314.82close 16 May
Upside reference₹329.17+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹306.18-2.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+38.1% over six months · +31.8% vs Nifty · 100% of its six-month range · after results +5.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.8% (+3.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 751
SHREECEM
Shree Cement Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▲ Look at
91.6
score /100rank 2 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹31,615.00close 16 May
Upside reference₹32,634.58+3.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹30,696.58-2.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+31.2% over six months · +24.9% vs Nifty · +23.9% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +4.8% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -6.4% (-5.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 751
V2RETAIL
V2 Retail Limited
▲ Look at
91.2
score /100rank 3 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,844.70close 16 May
Upside reference₹2,033.47+10.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,762.24-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
+60.2% over six months · +53.8% vs Nifty · 79% of its six-month range · after results +9.2% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +0.8% (+1.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 751
MANAPPURAM
Manappuram Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.1
score /100rank 4 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹229.48close 16 May
Upside reference₹245.14+6.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹221.05-3.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+47.5% over six months · +41.1% vs Nifty · +33.3% vs its sector · 88% of its six-month range · after results +2.6% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.0% (+5.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 751
TATACONSUM
Tata Consumer Products Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
90.8
score /100rank 5 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,168.00close 16 May
Upside reference₹1,210.74+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,133.36-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+26.3% over six months · +20.0% vs Nifty · +24.0% vs its sector · 100% of its six-month range · after results +2.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -5.3% (-4.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 751 of 751
PCJEWELLER
PC Jeweller Limited
▼ Stay away
1.7
score /100rank 751 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹12.53close 16 May
Upside reference₹14.22+13.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹11.67-6.8% · its typical 10-session fall
-91.3% over six months · -97.7% vs Nifty · 1% of its six-month range · after results -14.2% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -0.1% (+1.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 750 of 751
TEJASNET
Tejas Networks Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
4.1
score /100rank 750 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹740.60close 16 May
Upside reference₹790.21+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹693.11-6.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-41.6% over six months · -47.9% vs Nifty · -48.9% vs its sector · 13% of its six-month range · after results -20.7% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -3.1% (-2.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 749 of 751
NEULANDLAB
Neuland Laboratories Ltd. · HEALTHCARE INDEX
▼ Stay away
4.1
score /100rank 749 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹11,056.00close 16 May
Upside reference₹11,846.28+7.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹10,427.02-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-29.1% over six months · -35.4% vs Nifty · -30.6% vs its sector · 8% of its six-month range · after results -17.4% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +4.0% (+5.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 748 of 751
RKFORGE
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
4.6
score /100rank 748 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹623.70close 16 May
Upside reference₹647.21+3.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹580.28-7.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.1% over six months · -39.4% vs Nifty · -37.7% vs its sector · 14% of its six-month range · after results -24.5% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.8% (-1.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 747 of 751
JBMA
JBM Auto Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
4.8
score /100rank 747 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹726.05close 16 May
Upside reference₹763.37+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹673.21-7.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-50.1% over six months · -56.4% vs Nifty · -54.6% vs its sector · 18% of its six-month range · after results -25.3% vs Nifty (avg of 2) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -1.2% (-0.1% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | +0.9% | +4.2% | +4.0% | +5.0% | +4.4% | +1.3% | +2.5% | +2.3% | +3.0% | +3.9% |
| SHREECEMShree Cement Ltd. | +0.2% | +1.1% | +0.4% | +1.0% | +0.3% | -1.6% | -1.3% | -4.4% | -4.6% | -5.3% |
| V2RETAILV2 Retail Limited | +2.3% | +4.2% | +2.5% | +3.2% | +3.3% | +7.8% | +7.9% | +2.8% | -2.4% | +1.9% |
| MANAPPURAMManappuram Finance Ltd. | -0.1% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +1.7% | +1.2% | +0.5% | +1.8% | +2.2% | +1.8% | +5.1% |
| TATACONSUMTata Consumer Products Ltd. | -1.3% | -2.0% | -1.7% | -1.9% | -1.7% | -1.8% | -1.8% | -2.9% | -4.2% | -4.2% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| PCJEWELLERPC Jeweller Limited | +1.5% | +1.3% | -0.1% | -1.1% | +5.0% | +3.3% | +4.0% | +2.5% | +1.3% | +1.0% |
| TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | +0.4% | -1.0% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +0.8% | +0.1% | +0.6% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -2.0% |
| NEULANDLABNeuland Laboratories Ltd. | +1.8% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +2.9% | +1.6% | +2.5% | +1.3% | +1.1% | +2.3% | +5.1% |
| RKFORGERamkrishna Forgings Ltd. | -1.0% | +0.4% | -0.8% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -1.9% | -1.3% | -1.4% | -3.5% | -1.7% |
| JBMAJBM Auto Ltd. | +0.4% | +0.4% | +0.2% | -0.4% | +2.7% | +0.8% | +1.2% | +0.5% | +0.2% | -0.1% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 3/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 49% | 48% | 47% | 47% | 47% | 48% | 48% | 48% | 48% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 58% | 57% | 58% | 58% | 58% | 59% | 59% | 58% | 59% | 59% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.2% | +1.0% | +0.5% | +1.1% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +0.7% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -0.2% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 16 May minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, six months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | NAZARANazara Technologies Limited | 95.1 | 50% | ₹314.82 | +38.1% | +31.8% | — | 100% | +5.3% | +11.2 pp | +2.8% | +3.9% |
| 2 look at | SHREECEMShree Cement Ltd. | 91.6 | 50% | ₹31,615.00 | +31.2% | +24.9% | +23.9% | 100% | +4.8% | +4.6 pp | -6.4% | -5.3% |
| 3 look at | V2RETAILV2 Retail Limited | 91.2 | 50% | ₹1,844.70 | +60.2% | +53.8% | — | 79% | +9.2% | — | +0.8% | +1.9% |
| 4 look at | MANAPPURAMManappuram Finance Ltd. | 91.1 | 50% | ₹229.48 | +47.5% | +41.1% | +33.3% | 88% | +2.6% | +7.5 pp | +4.0% | +5.1% |
| 5 look at | TATACONSUMTata Consumer Products Ltd. | 90.8 | 50% | ₹1,168.00 | +26.3% | +20.0% | +24.0% | 100% | +2.7% | +7.7 pp | -5.3% | -4.2% |
| 747 stay away | JBMAJBM Auto Ltd. | 4.8 | 55% | ₹726.05 | -50.1% | -56.4% | -54.6% | 18% | -25.3% | -4.5 pp | -1.2% | -0.1% |
| 748 stay away | RKFORGERamkrishna Forgings Ltd. | 4.6 | 55% | ₹623.70 | -33.1% | -39.4% | -37.7% | 14% | -24.5% | -5.8 pp | -2.8% | -1.7% |
| 749 stay away | NEULANDLABNeuland Laboratories Ltd. | 4.1 | 55% | ₹11,056.00 | -29.1% | -35.4% | -30.6% | 8% | -17.4% | -9.6 pp | +4.0% | +5.1% |
| 750 stay away | TEJASNETTejas Networks Ltd. | 4.1 | 55% | ₹740.60 | -41.6% | -47.9% | -48.9% | 13% | -20.7% | -5.6 pp | -3.1% | -2.0% |
| 751 stay away | PCJEWELLERPC Jeweller Limited | 1.7 | 55% | ₹12.53 | -91.3% | -97.7% | — | 1% | -14.2% | -14.8 pp | -0.1% | +1.0% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over six months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.