The daily read from the close of 5 May 2025
Computed on the morning of 6 May 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 745 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.7% vs Nifty (2 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +5.9% (0 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +2.6%.
The read from the close of 5 May 2025 · Month
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 745
PARAGMILK
Parag Milk Foods Limited
▲ Look at
94.5
score /100rank 1 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹208.10close 5 May
Upside reference₹222.07+6.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹197.23-5.2% · its typical 10-session fall
+39.2% over the month · +35.2% vs Nifty · 100% of its month range · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.2% (+3.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 745
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
94.4
score /100rank 2 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹626.40close 5 May
Upside reference₹651.41+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹611.75-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+24.8% over the month · +20.8% vs Nifty · +20.5% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +10.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +10.2% (+8.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 745
CREDITACC
CreditAccess Grameen Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
94.2
score /100rank 3 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,170.30close 5 May
Upside reference₹1,230.71+5.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,100.61-6.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+22.9% over the month · +18.9% vs Nifty · +18.6% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +13.9% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.3% (-6.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 745
GODFRYPHLP
Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
92.0
score /100rank 4 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,935.50close 5 May
Upside reference₹3,248.28+10.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,701.45-8.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+30.1% over the month · +26.1% vs Nifty · +23.9% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +6.0% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -4.7% (-6.6% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 745
PNBHOUSING
PNB Housing Finance Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
90.2
score /100rank 5 of 745
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,057.40close 5 May
Upside reference₹1,113.42+5.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,007.06-4.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+20.0% over the month · +16.0% vs Nifty · +15.6% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +2.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -0.2% (-2.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 745 of 745
SYNGENE
Syngene International Ltd. · HEALTHCARE INDEX
▼ Stay away
7.0
score /100rank 745 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹629.20close 5 May
Upside reference₹652.48+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹603.11-4.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-13.4% over the month · -17.4% vs Nifty · -16.4% vs its sector · 9% of its month range · after results -14.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.0% (+0.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 744 of 745
PRAJIND
Praj Industries Limited
▼ Stay away
9.4
score /100rank 744 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹470.40close 5 May
Upside reference₹497.16+5.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹448.07-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-15.2% over the month · -19.2% vs Nifty · 18% of its month range · after results -11.1% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.2% (+3.2% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 743 of 745
PTCIL
PTC Industries Ltd.
▼ Stay away
9.9
score /100rank 743 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹12,765.00close 5 May
Upside reference₹13,882.70+8.8% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹12,097.90-5.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-14.6% over the month · -18.6% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -13.7% vs Nifty (last result, before the month)
10 sessions on: +9.7% (+7.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 742 of 745
RGL
Renaissance Global Limited
▼ Stay away
10.5
score /100rank 742 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹109.36close 5 May
Upside reference₹118.19+8.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹103.80-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-11.5% over the month · -15.5% vs Nifty · 17% of its month range · after results -10.9% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +20.0% (+18.0% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 741 of 745
RKFORGE
Ramkrishna Forgings Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
11.1
score /100rank 741 of 745
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹601.50close 5 May
Upside reference₹623.97+3.7% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹560.21-6.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-22.2% over the month · -26.2% vs Nifty · -28.8% vs its sector · 4% of its month range · after results -24.5% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +2.4% (+0.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| PARAGMILKParag Milk Foods Limited | -5.8% | -4.6% | -5.5% | -6.8% | -4.9% | -2.0% | +0.3% | -0.4% | +0.8% | +3.2% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | -0.6% | -0.4% | -0.3% | +0.8% | +2.2%▲ | +4.7%▲ | +7.3%▲ | +6.0%▲ | +6.9%▲ | +8.3%▲ |
| CREDITACCCreditAccess Grameen Ltd. | -5.3% | -2.7% | -2.0% | -1.9% | -2.6% | +1.0% | +0.8% | -0.3% | +0.7% | -6.2% |
| GODFRYPHLPGodfrey Phillips India Ltd. | -1.4% | -4.1% | -5.5% | -5.1% | -4.2% | +1.6% | +1.0% | +1.8% | -3.3% | -6.6% |
| PNBHOUSINGPNB Housing Finance Ltd. | -1.4% | +0.4% | -2.4% | -0.6% | -0.6% | +2.8% | +1.5% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.2% |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| SYNGENESyngene International Ltd. | -1.3% | -1.1% | -2.2% | -0.5% | -2.5% | -0.4% | +1.0% | -1.0% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
| PRAJINDPraj Industries Limited | -3.3% | -1.4% | -2.2% | -2.2% | -1.1% | -0.6% | +0.9% | +1.6% | +2.4% | +3.2% |
| PTCILPTC Industries Ltd. | -3.0% | -2.7% | -3.3% | -1.9% | -2.0% | -0.6% | +8.9% | +10.0% | +9.5% | +7.7% |
| RGLRenaissance Global Limited | +0.1% | +3.6% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +6.5% | +6.7% | +6.1% | +6.4% | +12.9% | +18.0% |
| RKFORGERamkrishna Forgings Ltd. | -0.7% | -2.5% | -3.0% | -4.0% | -6.9% | -4.5% | -3.9% | +1.3% | +1.4% | +0.4% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 0/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 49% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 53% | 53% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.3% | -1.4% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +1.5% | -0.4% | -2.4% | -4.5% | -6.6% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 5 May minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the month | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | PARAGMILKParag Milk Foods Limited | 94.5 | 51% | ₹208.10 | +39.2% | +35.2% | — | 100% | — | +6.3 pp | +5.2% | +3.2% |
| 2 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 94.4 | 51% | ₹626.40 | +24.8% | +20.8% | +20.5% | 100% | +10.1% | +5.5 pp | +10.2% | +8.3% |
| 3 look at | CREDITACCCreditAccess Grameen Ltd. | 94.2 | 51% | ₹1,170.30 | +22.9% | +18.9% | +18.6% | 100% | +13.9%* | +5.6 pp | -4.3% | -6.2% |
| 4 look at | GODFRYPHLPGodfrey Phillips India Ltd. | 92.0 | 51% | ₹2,935.50 | +30.1% | +26.1% | +23.9% | 100% | +6.0%* | +3.0 pp | -4.7% | -6.6% |
| 5 look at | PNBHOUSINGPNB Housing Finance Ltd. | 90.2 | 51% | ₹1,057.40 | +20.0% | +16.0% | +15.6% | 100% | +2.4% | +4.4 pp | -0.2% | -2.2% |
| 741 stay away | RKFORGERamkrishna Forgings Ltd. | 11.1 | 52% | ₹601.50 | -22.2% | -26.2% | -28.8% | 4% | -24.5%* | +2.7 pp | +2.4% | +0.4% |
| 742 stay away | RGLRenaissance Global Limited | 10.5 | 52% | ₹109.36 | -11.5% | -15.5% | — | 17% | -10.9%* | -6.0 pp | +20.0% | +18.0% |
| 743 stay away | PTCILPTC Industries Ltd. | 9.9 | 52% | ₹12,765.00 | -14.6% | -18.6% | — | 0% | -13.7%* | -1.6 pp | +9.7% | +7.7% |
| 744 stay away | PRAJINDPraj Industries Limited | 9.4 | 52% | ₹470.40 | -15.2% | -19.2% | — | 18% | -11.1% | -5.6 pp | +5.2% | +3.2% |
| 745 stay away | SYNGENESyngene International Ltd. | 7.0 | 52% | ₹629.20 | -13.4% | -17.4% | -16.4% | 9% | -14.7% | -4.2 pp | +2.0% | +0.1% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the month (last month plus this month so far), each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.