The daily read from the close of 25 Apr 2025
Computed on the morning of 26 Apr 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 750 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +3.7% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged -1.9% (4 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +0.9%.
The read from the close of 25 Apr 2025 · Month
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 750
GODFRYPHLP
Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
96.5
score /100rank 1 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,673.50close 25 Apr
Upside reference₹2,942.72+10.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,467.48-7.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+54.6% over the month · +45.9% vs Nifty · +43.0% vs its sector · 94% of its month range · after results +6.0% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +7.3% (+3.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 750
CHOICEIN
Choice International Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
94.4
score /100rank 2 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹624.80close 25 Apr
Upside reference₹649.74+4.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹610.19-2.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+34.2% over the month · +25.5% vs Nifty · +21.1% vs its sector · 100% of its month range · after results +10.4% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.3% (+0.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 750
UJJIVANSFB
Ujjivan Small Finance Bank Limited
▲ Look at
93.5
score /100rank 3 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹44.09close 25 Apr
Upside reference₹45.67+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹42.39-3.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+37.2% over the month · +28.6% vs Nifty · 94% of its month range · after results +15.1% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery rising
10 sessions on: -2.4% (-6.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 750
FORCEMOT
Force Motors Ltd. · AUTO
▲ Look at
92.5
score /100rank 4 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹9,161.50close 25 Apr
Upside reference₹9,790.80+6.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹8,732.83-4.7% · its typical 10-session fall
+37.3% over the month · +28.7% vs Nifty · +30.0% vs its sector · 95% of its month range · after results +12.0% vs Nifty (last result, before the month)
10 sessions on: +17.4% (+13.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 750
BSE
BSE Ltd. · FINANCIAL SERVICES
▲ Look at
91.5
score /100rank 5 of 750
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,101.17close 25 Apr
Upside reference₹2,266.97+7.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,983.53-5.6% · its typical 10-session fall
+36.0% over the month · +27.4% vs Nifty · +23.0% vs its sector · 93% of its month range · after results +6.8% vs Nifty (last result, before the month)
10 sessions on: +10.3% (+6.7% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 750 of 750
DISHTV
Dish TV India Limited
▼ Stay away
6.3
score /100rank 750 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹5.15close 25 Apr
Upside reference₹5.40+4.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹4.83-6.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-19.7% over the month · -28.3% vs Nifty · 0% of its month range · after results -10.5% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: -2.3% (-6.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 749 of 750
SIEMENS
Siemens Ltd. · ENERGY
▼ Stay away
7.0
score /100rank 749 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,833.50close 25 Apr
Upside reference₹3,001.61+5.9% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,636.91-6.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-38.7% over the month · -47.4% vs Nifty · -51.8% vs its sector · 4% of its month range · after results -7.1% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.2% (-1.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 748 of 750
RATEGAIN
Rategain Travel Technologies Limited
▼ Stay away
7.2
score /100rank 748 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹442.30close 25 Apr
Upside reference₹456.33+3.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹422.79-4.4% · its typical 10-session fall
-9.7% over the month · -18.4% vs Nifty · 23% of its month range · after results -20.1% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +4.8% (+1.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 747 of 750
SHAREINDIA
Share India Securities Limited
▼ Stay away
7.3
score /100rank 747 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹150.48close 25 Apr
Upside reference₹153.81+2.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹141.95-5.7% · its typical 10-session fall
-20.0% over the month · -28.6% vs Nifty · 9% of its month range · after results -10.0% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +3.7% (-0.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 746 of 750
SUBEXLTD
Subex Limited
▼ Stay away
8.6
score /100rank 746 of 750
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹12.41close 25 Apr
Upside reference₹12.98+4.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹11.65-6.2% · its typical 10-session fall
-9.2% over the month · -17.8% vs Nifty · 43% of its month range · after results -13.9% vs Nifty (last result, before the month) · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +0.4% (-3.3% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| GODFRYPHLPGodfrey Phillips India Ltd. | +0.1% | +1.0% | -0.0% | +3.3% | +8.0% | +6.5% | +3.5% | +1.9% | +2.3% | +3.6% |
| CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | -1.6% | -3.0% | -3.6% | -2.7% | -1.5% | -2.1% | -1.9% | -1.8% | -0.7% | +0.7%▲ |
| UJJIVANSFBUjjivan Small Finance Bank Limited | -1.8% | -1.7% | -4.5% | -5.1% | -7.5% | -8.5% | -9.1% | -7.0% | -7.5% | -6.1% |
| FORCEMOTForce Motors Ltd. | -2.8% | -2.7% | -3.9% | +8.6%▲ | +9.4%▲ | +7.5%▲ | +10.8%▲ | +5.1%▲ | +6.1%▲ | +13.7%▲ |
| BSEBSE Ltd. | +2.9% | +4.1% | -0.3% | -1.2% | +0.6% | -2.3% | +4.0% | +5.2% | +4.4% | +6.7%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| DISHTVDish TV India Limited | -2.8% | -4.9% | -7.6%▼ | -8.3%▼ | -4.3%▼ | -3.9%▼ | -5.6%▼ | -6.6%▼ | -4.5%▼ | -6.0%▼ |
| SIEMENSSiemens Ltd. | +1.7% | +2.2% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +3.2% | -0.8% | +1.0% | -1.5% |
| RATEGAINRategain Travel Technologies Limited | +0.2% | +0.1% | -3.1% | +0.1% | -0.8% | -2.3% | -2.2% | -4.5% | -0.5% | +1.1% |
| SHAREINDIAShare India Securities Limited | +1.1% | -1.1% | -1.8% | -0.0% | +4.7% | -0.2% | -1.5% | -4.6% | -2.5% | -0.0% |
| SUBEXLTDSubex Limited | -2.8% | -1.4% | -4.0% | -8.9%▼ | +1.8%▼ | -5.4%▼ | -5.8%▼ | -7.0%▼ | -6.3%▼ | -3.3%▼ |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 50% | 49% | 50% | 51% | 52% | 53% | 53% | 52% | 53% | 53% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 53% | 53% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.1% | +0.6% | +0.6% | +3.6% | +1.0% | +2.1% | +3.9% | +5.4% | +3.5% | +5.7% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 25 Apr minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · top 50 and bottom 50
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, the month | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | GODFRYPHLPGodfrey Phillips India Ltd. | 96.5 | 51% | ₹2,673.50 | +54.6% | +45.9% | +43.0% | 94% | +6.0%* | +11.7 pp | +7.3% | +3.6% |
| 2 look at | CHOICEINChoice International Ltd. | 94.4 | 51% | ₹624.80 | +34.2% | +25.5% | +21.1% | 100% | +10.4% | +3.5 pp | +4.3% | +0.7% |
| 3 look at | UJJIVANSFBUjjivan Small Finance Bank Limited | 93.5 | 51% | ₹44.09 | +37.2% | +28.6% | — | 94% | +15.1%* | +3.4 pp | -2.4% | -6.1% |
| 4 look at | FORCEMOTForce Motors Ltd. | 92.5 | 51% | ₹9,161.50 | +37.3% | +28.7% | +30.0% | 95% | +12.0%* | +0.5 pp | +17.4% | +13.7% |
| 5 look at | BSEBSE Ltd. | 91.5 | 51% | ₹2,101.17 | +36.0% | +27.4% | +23.0% | 93% | +6.8%* | +1.4 pp | +10.3% | +6.7% |
| 746 stay away | SUBEXLTDSubex Limited | 8.6 | 52% | ₹12.41 | -9.2% | -17.8% | — | 43% | -13.9%* | -13.5 pp | +0.4% | -3.3% |
| 747 stay away | SHAREINDIAShare India Securities Limited | 7.3 | 52% | ₹150.48 | -20.0% | -28.6% | — | 9% | -10.0%* | -9.2 pp | +3.7% | -0.0% |
| 748 stay away | RATEGAINRategain Travel Technologies Limited | 7.2 | 52% | ₹442.30 | -9.7% | -18.4% | — | 23% | -20.1%* | -6.2 pp | +4.8% | +1.1% |
| 749 stay away | SIEMENSSiemens Ltd. | 7.0 | 52% | ₹2,833.50 | -38.7% | -47.4% | -51.8% | 4% | -7.1%* | -10.3 pp | +2.2% | -1.5% |
| 750 stay away | DISHTVDish TV India Limited | 6.3 | 52% | ₹5.15 | -19.7% | -28.3% | — | 0% | -10.5%* | -10.5 pp | -2.3% | -6.0% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over the month (last month plus this month so far), each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.