The daily read from the close of 7 Apr 2025
Computed on the morning of 8 Apr 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 751 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged +5.2% vs Nifty (4 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +7.7% (0 of 5 trailed it), the whole field +6.4%.
The read from the close of 7 Apr 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 751
TATACONSUM
Tata Consumer Products Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
95.4
score /100rank 1 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,047.35close 7 Apr
Upside reference₹1,079.74+3.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,016.34-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+9.7% over three months · +16.2% vs Nifty · +15.8% vs its sector · 73% of its three-month range · after results +7.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +10.9% (+1.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 751
SRF
SRF Ltd.
▲ Look at
93.8
score /100rank 2 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,715.20close 7 Apr
Upside reference₹2,834.61+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,638.66-2.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+17.6% over three months · +24.1% vs Nifty · 57% of its three-month range · after results +7.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +11.9% (+2.5% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 751
GODFRYPHLP
Godfrey Phillips India Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
93.6
score /100rank 3 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,115.15close 7 Apr
Upside reference₹2,311.25+9.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,961.53-7.3% · its typical 10-session fall
+27.5% over three months · +34.0% vs Nifty · +33.6% vs its sector · 72% of its three-month range · after results +6.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +29.6% (+20.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 751
UPL
UPL Ltd.
▲ Look at
93.5
score /100rank 4 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹614.45close 7 Apr
Upside reference₹640.40+4.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹595.00-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+12.9% over three months · +19.4% vs Nifty · 65% of its three-month range · after results +7.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +11.4% (+1.9% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 751
KOTAKBANK
Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
93.0
score /100rank 5 of 751
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,037.85close 7 Apr
Upside reference₹2,087.19+2.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,999.01-1.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+15.0% over three months · +21.5% vs Nifty · +15.7% vs its sector · 68% of its three-month range · after results +6.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +9.1% (-0.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 751 of 751
ZAGGLE
Zaggle Prepaid Ocean Services Limited
▼ Stay away
8.5
score /100rank 751 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹307.80close 7 Apr
Upside reference₹327.42+6.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹294.07-4.5% · its typical 10-session fall
-43.6% over three months · -37.1% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -20.8% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +16.3% (+6.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 750 of 751
ITI
ITI Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
9.2
score /100rank 750 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹234.04close 7 Apr
Upside reference₹245.96+5.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹218.69-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-52.2% over three months · -45.7% vs Nifty · -46.3% vs its sector · 0% of its three-month range · after results -7.8% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +18.8% (+9.4% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 749 of 751
SONATSOFTW
Sonata Software Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
9.2
score /100rank 749 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹301.10close 7 Apr
Upside reference₹320.68+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹281.12-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-51.3% over three months · -44.8% vs Nifty · -26.7% vs its sector · 0% of its three-month range · after results -21.9% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +18.1% (+8.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 748 of 751
KEC
Kec International Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
9.6
score /100rank 748 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹657.25close 7 Apr
Upside reference₹698.26+6.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹624.06-5.1% · its typical 10-session fall
-41.7% over three months · -35.2% vs Nifty · -35.8% vs its sector · 0% of its three-month range · after results -8.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +12.3% (+2.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 747 of 751
RALLIS
Rallis India Limited
▼ Stay away
10.9
score /100rank 747 of 751
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹202.06close 7 Apr
Upside reference₹209.34+3.6% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹193.92-4.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-33.8% over three months · -27.3% vs Nifty · 0% of its three-month range · after results -18.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +20.2% (+10.7% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TATACONSUMTata Consumer Products Ltd. | +0.4% | +3.0%▲ | +1.8%▲ | +0.1%▲ | -0.2%▲ | -0.7%▲ | -1.8%▲ | -0.5%▲ | +0.0%▲ | +1.5%▲ |
| SRFSRF Ltd. | -0.0% | +0.0% | +5.5%▲ | +5.5%▲ | +4.4%▲ | +2.5%▲ | +2.7%▲ | +2.0%▲ | +0.7%▲ | +2.5%▲ |
| GODFRYPHLPGodfrey Phillips India Ltd. | +3.3% | +8.0% | +7.9%▲ | +10.0%▲ | +10.0%▲ | +12.7%▲ | +10.3%▲ | +9.8%▲ | +15.1%▲ | +20.2%▲ |
| UPLUPL Ltd. | -1.7% | -1.1% | +1.0% | +1.8%▲ | +1.6%▲ | -0.8%▲ | +0.4%▲ | +0.4%▲ | +0.9%▲ | +1.9%▲ |
| KOTAKBANKKotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. | -0.8% | -0.3% | +0.6%▲ | -1.2%▲ | -1.6%▲ | -0.3%▲ | +1.1%▲ | +2.3%▲ | -0.5%▲ | -0.3%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| ZAGGLEZaggle Prepaid Ocean Services Limited | +1.2% | -3.0% | +1.2% | +2.6% | +2.5% | -0.0% | +1.5% | +4.5% | +6.6% | +6.9% |
| ITIITI Ltd. | +1.8% | +6.8% | +4.7% | +3.9% | +8.8% | +5.4% | +6.4% | +12.0% | +10.4% | +9.4% |
| SONATSOFTWSonata Software Ltd. | -0.2% | +2.8% | +1.8% | +5.5% | +5.5% | -3.1% | -2.3% | -2.4% | -0.9% | +8.7% |
| KECKec International Ltd. | -0.6% | -1.0% | -2.6% | +3.0% | +4.3% | +0.5% | +1.2% | +3.7% | +2.6% | +2.9% |
| RALLISRallis India Limited | +0.5% | +2.2% | +4.9% | +7.0% | +5.8% | +10.3% | +8.4% | +12.3% | +15.9% | +10.7% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 2/5 | 3/5 | 5/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 2/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 | 0/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 0/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -0.3% | +0.4% | +1.4% | -1.2% | -2.5% | +0.1% | -0.5% | -3.2% | -3.7% | -2.5% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 7 Apr minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TATACONSUMTata Consumer Products Ltd. | 95.4 | 51% | ₹1,047.35 | +9.7% | +16.2% | +15.8% | 73% | +7.2% | +16.2 pp | +10.9% | +1.5% |
| 2 look at | SRFSRF Ltd. | 93.8 | 51% | ₹2,715.20 | +17.6% | +24.1% | — | 57% | +7.2% | +11.5 pp | +11.9% | +2.5% |
| 3 look at | GODFRYPHLPGodfrey Phillips India Ltd. | 93.6 | 51% | ₹2,115.15 | +27.5% | +34.0% | +33.6% | 72% | +6.0% | +6.6 pp | +29.6% | +20.2% |
| 4 look at | UPLUPL Ltd. | 93.5 | 51% | ₹614.45 | +12.9% | +19.4% | — | 65% | +7.0% | +9.1 pp | +11.4% | +1.9% |
| 5 look at | KOTAKBANKKotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. | 93.0 | 51% | ₹2,037.85 | +15.0% | +21.5% | +15.7% | 68% | +6.5% | +7.6 pp | +9.1% | -0.3% |
| 747 stay away | RALLISRallis India Limited | 10.9 | 52% | ₹202.06 | -33.8% | -27.3% | — | 0% | -18.7% | -6.5 pp | +20.2% | +10.7% |
| 748 stay away | KECKec International Ltd. | 9.6 | 52% | ₹657.25 | -41.7% | -35.2% | -35.8% | 0% | -8.0% | -15.8 pp | +12.3% | +2.9% |
| 749 stay away | SONATSOFTWSonata Software Ltd. | 9.2 | 52% | ₹301.10 | -51.3% | -44.8% | -26.7% | 0% | -21.9% | -1.1 pp | +18.1% | +8.7% |
| 750 stay away | ITIITI Ltd. | 9.2 | 52% | ₹234.04 | -52.2% | -45.7% | -46.3% | 0% | -7.8% | — | +18.8% | +9.4% |
| 751 stay away | ZAGGLEZaggle Prepaid Ocean Services Limited | 8.5 | 52% | ₹307.80 | -43.6% | -37.1% | — | 0% | -20.8% | -3.5 pp | +16.3% | +6.9% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.