The daily read from the close of 4 Apr 2025
Computed on the morning of 5 Apr 2025 (simulated: computed after the fact, standing on that close with only what was known then): 752 names ranked. Judged ten sessions later: the names to look at averaged -0.7% vs Nifty (1 of 5 beat it), the names to stay away from averaged +0.5% (3 of 5 trailed it), the whole field -0.1%.
The read from the close of 4 Apr 2025 · Quarter
Our calculation, not advice.
Follow in my book
rank 1 of 752
TATACONSUM
Tata Consumer Products Ltd. · FMCG
▲ Look at
97.0
score /100rank 1 of 752
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,087.85close 4 Apr
Upside reference₹1,121.16+3.1% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,055.61-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+15.8% over three months · +20.4% vs Nifty · +22.7% vs its sector · 100% of its three-month range · after results +7.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.7% (-0.5% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 2 of 752
SRF
SRF Ltd.
▲ Look at
94.9
score /100rank 2 of 752
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,854.85close 4 Apr
Upside reference₹2,982.01+4.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,774.74-2.8% · its typical 10-session fall
+24.9% over three months · +29.5% vs Nifty · 77% of its three-month range · after results +7.2% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.1% (-1.1% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 3 of 752
UPL
UPL Ltd.
▲ Look at
94.7
score /100rank 3 of 752
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹637.70close 4 Apr
Upside reference₹664.50+4.2% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹618.65-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+20.4% over three months · +25.0% vs Nifty · 85% of its three-month range · after results +7.0% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +6.6% (+0.4% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 4 of 752
KOTAKBANK
Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. · BANK
▲ Look at
94.0
score /100rank 4 of 752
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹2,131.95close 4 Apr
Upside reference₹2,183.56+2.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹2,091.87-1.9% · its typical 10-session fall
+16.0% over three months · +20.5% vs Nifty · +14.9% vs its sector · 90% of its three-month range · after results +6.5% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +4.5% (-1.8% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 5 of 752
NAVINFLUOR
Navin Fluorine International Ltd.
▲ Look at
93.9
score /100rank 5 of 752
chance it beats
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹4,071.15close 4 Apr
Upside reference₹4,207.33+3.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹3,950.93-3.0% · its typical 10-session fall
+21.2% over three months · +25.8% vs Nifty · 80% of its three-month range · after results +4.1% vs Nifty · delivery rising
10 sessions on: +5.9% (-0.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; upside reference reached
Follow in my book
rank 752 of 752
SONATSOFTW
Sonata Software Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
5.9
score /100rank 752 of 752
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹321.45close 4 Apr
Upside reference₹342.26+6.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹300.24-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-48.9% over three months · -44.3% vs Nifty · -25.5% vs its sector · 0% of its three-month range · after results -21.9% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.0% (-4.2% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 751 of 752
KEC
Kec International Ltd. · INFRASTRUCTURE
▼ Stay away
8.9
score /100rank 751 of 752
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹689.40close 4 Apr
Upside reference₹732.95+6.3% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹654.90-5.0% · its typical 10-session fall
-43.7% over three months · -39.1% vs Nifty · -39.4% vs its sector · 3% of its three-month range · after results -8.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +7.1% (+0.9% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 750 of 752
JBMA
JBM Auto Ltd. · AUTO
▼ Stay away
9.2
score /100rank 750 of 752
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹606.60close 4 Apr
Upside reference₹636.81+5.0% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹566.67-6.6% · its typical 10-session fall
-61.6% over three months · -57.0% vs Nifty · -47.4% vs its sector · 11% of its three-month range · after results -54.5% vs Nifty
10 sessions on: +16.6% (+10.3% vs Nifty) —
went against the lean; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 749 of 752
NETWEB
Netweb Technologies India Ltd. · IT
▼ Stay away
9.6
score /100rank 749 of 752
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹1,499.00close 4 Apr
Upside reference₹1,581.58+5.5% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹1,419.16-5.3% · its typical 10-session fall
-47.2% over three months · -42.6% vs Nifty · -23.8% vs its sector · 11% of its three-month range · after results -28.7% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +2.2% (-4.0% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Follow in my book
rank 748 of 752
MANYAVAR
Vedant Fashions Limited
▼ Stay away
9.7
score /100rank 748 of 752
chance it trails
Nifty in 10 sessions
Nifty in 10 sessions
Entry reference₹765.65close 4 Apr
Upside reference₹799.08+4.4% · its typical 10-session rise
Downside reference₹728.13-4.9% · its typical 10-session fall
-39.1% over three months · -34.5% vs Nifty · 3% of its three-month range · after results -13.0% vs Nifty · delivery falling
10 sessions on: +5.6% (-0.6% vs Nifty) —
went the way it leaned; downside reference not reached
Session by session · the full window
| Name | T+1 | T+2 | T+3 | T+4 | T+5 | T+6 | T+7 | T+8 | T+9 | T+10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ Names to look at — move vs Nifty since the close; green while ahead | ||||||||||
| TATACONSUMTata Consumer Products Ltd. | -0.5% | -0.1% | +2.4% | +1.3% | -0.4% | -0.7% | -1.2% | -2.3% | -1.0%▲ | -0.5%▲ |
| SRFSRF Ltd. | -1.6% | -1.7% | -1.7% | +3.6% | +3.5%▲ | +2.5%▲ | +0.6%▲ | +0.8%▲ | +0.1%▲ | -1.1%▲ |
| UPLUPL Ltd. | -0.4% | -2.0% | -1.5% | +0.5% | +1.3% | +1.1% | -1.2% | -0.1%▲ | -0.0%▲ | +0.4%▲ |
| KOTAKBANKKotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. | -1.2% | -2.0% | -1.5% | -0.6% | -2.4% | -2.7% | -1.5%▲ | -0.2%▲ | +0.9%▲ | -1.8%▲ |
| NAVINFLUORNavin Fluorine International Ltd. | -1.5% | -3.9% | -0.0% | +1.0% | +0.7% | +2.6%▲ | +0.1%▲ | -1.8%▲ | -0.5%▲ | -0.3%▲ |
| ▼ Names to stay away from — move vs Nifty since the close; green while behind | ||||||||||
| SONATSOFTWSonata Software Ltd. | -3.1% | -3.4% | -0.5% | -1.5% | +1.9% | +1.9% | -6.2% | -5.5% | -5.6% | -4.2% |
| KECKec International Ltd. | -1.4% | -2.0% | -2.3% | -3.9% | +1.3% | +2.6% | -1.0% | -0.4% | +2.0% | +0.9% |
| JBMAJBM Auto Ltd. | +0.1% | +0.4% | -1.0% | +2.2% | +1.2% | +12.2% | +11.4% | +11.2% | +10.2% | +10.3% |
| NETWEBNetweb Technologies India Ltd. | -1.0% | -0.9% | -2.9% | -1.7% | -1.2% | -1.0% | -4.3% | -5.1% | -5.4% | -4.0% |
| MANYAVARVedant Fashions Limited | +5.9% | +3.9% | +5.0% | +5.1% | +1.6% | +0.3% | -2.5% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -0.6% |
| Look at, ahead of Nifty | 0/5 | 0/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| … on the record | 49% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 52% | 51% | 51% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Stay away, behind Nifty | 3/5 | 3/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 1/5 | 1/5 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| … on the record | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Spread, look-at minus stay-away | -1.1% | -1.5% | -0.1% | +1.1% | -0.4% | -2.7% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -0.3% | -1.1% |
| … on the record | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Each cell is the name's move from the close of 4 Apr minus Nifty's over the same sessions, at that session's close. A ▲ or ▼ marks the first session by which the card's upside or downside reference had printed. The on the record rows are what every past call has done at that point — 1,865 calls a side — so a day can be read against what usually happens, not just against zero. Sessions are the name's own; a name that did not trade on a day is measured on the sessions it did.
The whole field · every name
| Rank | Company | Score | Chance | Close | Move, three months | vs Nifty | vs sector | Range | After results | Delivery | 10 sessions on | vs Nifty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 look at | TATACONSUMTata Consumer Products Ltd. | 97.0 | 51% | ₹1,087.85 | +15.8% | +20.4% | +22.7% | 100% | +7.2% | +17.5 pp | +5.7% | -0.5% |
| 2 look at | SRFSRF Ltd. | 94.9 | 51% | ₹2,854.85 | +24.9% | +29.5% | — | 77% | +7.2% | +12.0 pp | +5.1% | -1.1% |
| 3 look at | UPLUPL Ltd. | 94.7 | 51% | ₹637.70 | +20.4% | +25.0% | — | 85% | +7.0% | +10.1 pp | +6.6% | +0.4% |
| 4 look at | KOTAKBANKKotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. | 94.0 | 51% | ₹2,131.95 | +16.0% | +20.5% | +14.9% | 90% | +6.5% | +8.1 pp | +4.5% | -1.8% |
| 5 look at | NAVINFLUORNavin Fluorine International Ltd. | 93.9 | 51% | ₹4,071.15 | +21.2% | +25.8% | — | 80% | +4.1% | +12.2 pp | +5.9% | -0.3% |
| 748 stay away | MANYAVARVedant Fashions Limited | 9.7 | 52% | ₹765.65 | -39.1% | -34.5% | — | 3% | -13.0% | -9.3 pp | +5.6% | -0.6% |
| 749 stay away | NETWEBNetweb Technologies India Ltd. | 9.6 | 52% | ₹1,499.00 | -47.2% | -42.6% | -23.8% | 11% | -28.7% | -4.6 pp | +2.2% | -4.0% |
| 750 stay away | JBMAJBM Auto Ltd. | 9.2 | 52% | ₹606.60 | -61.6% | -57.0% | -47.4% | 11% | -54.5% | -0.8 pp | +16.6% | +10.3% |
| 751 stay away | KECKec International Ltd. | 8.9 | 52% | ₹689.40 | -43.7% | -39.1% | -39.4% | 3% | -8.0% | -15.9 pp | +7.1% | +0.9% |
| 752 stay away | SONATSOFTWSonata Software Ltd. | 5.9 | 52% | ₹321.45 | -48.9% | -44.3% | -25.5% | 0% | -21.9% | -3.4 pp | +2.0% | -4.2% |
Score ranks every name on six checks over three months, each placed from first to last across the field, then blended: the move and the move against Nifty 30% (on one day and one period they order the field the same way, so they count once), against the sector 20%, where the close sits between the period's high and low 20%, the move against Nifty in the ten sessions after each result in the period 15% (* its last result before the period when there was none), and delivery over the second half of the period against the first half 15%. A missing check's weight is shared among the rest. Chance is the historical rate at which names ranked in the same tenth on this period went the way that tenth leans — blank until a tenth has a hundred judged rows. Every call is judged ten sessions after the close against Nifty, whatever the period.